We have a nice six game slate on this fine Tuesday evening and some intriguing options to choose from. Let’s jump right into some player to target tonight.
Damian Lillard ($9,100) – Lillard finds himself in a favorable matchup against the Suns, who are yielding the third most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards. This matchup is set to be at a higher tempo as both teams are in the top 10 for pace of play. This contest also holds the highest projected total of the evening at 218.5 points. Lillard averages 36.2 minutes per game and has a very healthy usage rate of 32.7 percent. Considering the matchup and potential game flow, Lillard should be in line for a productive evening.
Other Options – Kyrie Irving $7,400, Mike Conley $6,900 (check status)
J.J. Barea ($6,000) – The price has increased for Barea, but he is still at a price point where value is attainable. With Deron Williams doubtful for tonight’s game, Barea is set to get the start at the point. In every game Barea has played 30 or more minutes this season, he has topped 30 fantasy points. The Mavs take on the Lakers who are giving up the eighth most fantasy points to opposing point guards, as well as, 2.65 points above expectations. The Lakers also lead the league in game pace, so despite Dallas playing slow, the Lakers could push the pace up a bit, creating some extra opportunities for Barea to receive touches.
Other Options – Dennis Schroeder $6,100, Kris Dunn $5,400
Devin Booker ($6,600) – The shooting guard position is thin tonight, and one of the few bright spots is Booker. He has attempted over 20 shots in each of the last two games and has scored at least 38 real points in both of those games, while eclipsing 45 fantasy points in those contests. Booker is averaging over 35 minutes per game and leads the Suns with a 28.6 percent usage rate. At this price he has the ability to 7-8X his salary making him a very appealing tournament play this evening. As I mentioned above, this matchup has the highest projected total.
Other Options – C.J. McCollum $7,100
Lou Williams ($4,700) – Williams is shooting the ball well this season with a .467 field goal percentage, and that is translating into fantasy points. Williams is averaging 23.2 minutes and 26.9 fantasy points per game, which equates to 1.2 fantasy points per minute. He has topped 30 fantasy points in three straight games and has played at least 26 minutes in three of the last four games. The Mavs are giving up the eighth most fantasy point per game to the two guard position, making this a favorable, potentially up-tempo, matchup.
Other Options – Jordan Clarkson $4,700, E’Twaun Moore $4,100
LeBron James ($9,900) – LeBron faces a Hawks team he is very familiar with and has had solid success against. In seven games against them last season, he averaged 55.54 fantasy points per game and exceeded value 71.4 percent of the time by an average of 5.74 points. He scored fewer than 50 fantasy points just twice and never scored less than 46 fantasy points. LeBron is always a threat for a triple-double and already has three double-doubles this season. He is averaging 22.8 points, 8.8 rebounds, and 10.7 assists per game. This contest has the second high projected point total of the slate, and the Cavs have the second highest implied team total. There is plenty to like about King James this evening.
Other Options – T.J. Warren $6,900, Rudy Gay $6,800
Thabo Sefolosha ($4,000) – Kyle Korver will miss tonight’s game due to the birth of his child, and Sefolosha is expected to get the start in his place. While he is starting at the two, he is only eligible for the SF position. The Cavs have actually struggled against shooting guards this season, allowing the third most fantasy points per game, making this a plus matchup. Sefolosha is not a high usage guy, but will get you steals and rebounds. With Korver out, he should also see a minor bump in usage. He is not a high upside player, but should have secure minutes tonight.
Other Options – Andrew Wiggins $6,000, Kent Bazemore $5,000,
DeMarcus Cousins ($10,400) – The Pelicans are on the second night of a back-to-back and face off against a rested Sacramento team. This is a spot where Cousins should absolutely eat. In four games against the Pelicans last season, he scored 50 or more fantasy points in each game (Anthony Davis played in three of those). The Pelicans are yielding the third most fantasy points per a game to power forwards and have allowed 2.9 points above expectations. Cousins is one of the top options on the board this evening in my opinion.
Other Options – Anthony Davis $11,000, Paul Millsap $7,900, Kevin Love $7,300
Gorgui Dieng ($6,500) – While his price is a bit above my normal “value” recommendations, Dieng is averaging 31.3 minutes per game and has a favorable matchup at a decent salary. The Nets are yielding the fourth most fantasy points per game and have allowed 6.15 points above expectations to opposing power forwards. Brooklyn is also playing paced up this season, which should create some extra touch opportunities for Dieng. He is a good source of blocks, rebounds and has displayed his 35+ fantasy point upside on several occasions already this season.
Other Options – Zach Randolph $5,500, Al-Farouq Aminu $4,800
Karl-Anthony Towns ($8,500) – Towns has put together two consecutive strong performances and could make it a third against the Nets, who have allowed 8.55 points above expectations to centers. He has scored more than 30 real points in each of the last two games, as well as over 42 fantasy points. The Nets push the pace, which should open up some extra touch opportunities for Towns. He is an elite player and provides tons of upside.
Other Options – Dwight Howard $7,800, Marc Gasol $7,000
Andrew Bogut ($4,200) – Bogut has played at least 27 minutes in three of the last four games and has grabbed double-digit rebounds in each of those three. This is a good matchup for him as the Lakers have allowed 3.27 points above expectations to centers and are giving up 15.8 boards per game. While there is volatility when you play Bogut due to the lack of minutes at times, there is also great opportunity. At this price he offers 6-7X upside.
Other Options – Mason Plumlee $5,000, Kosta Koufos $3,300
Note: Keep a close eye on news prior to lock as this could open up some value plays that were not considered early in the day.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Armando28) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.