Friday features an 11-game slate. That means there will be a lot of players to chose from tonight. Here are the studs and value plays I like for tonight’s games.
POINT GUARD TARGETS
- John Wall @ TOR ($9800) – There are a myriad of reasons to like Wall on Friday. Toronto has been bad against point guards, Wall just had a 61.0 fantasy-point game against the Knicks, his worst game this season was 25.25 points and he is averaging 47.7 fantasy-points per game so far this season.
- Ricky Rubio @ ORL ($7500) – Orlando has been slightly better against point guards this season than Toronto has been — very slightly and both have been bad against the position. If you are into trends, Rubio improved his fantasy point total in each of his first five games, if that trend continues tonight, he will get you 51+ fantasy points.
- Trey Burke vs. DAL ($5300) – The first time Burke faced Dallas this season he put up 33.25 fantasy points. Dallas has not improved defensively and this game is not in Dallas. There is no reason to think that Burke will not put up similar, if not better numbers against Dallas this time.
- Marcus Smart vs. IND ($4100) – You would not think that Indiana would be a good matchup but this is a new season; this season, the Pacers rank 26th against point guards this — worse than both Dallas and Toronto. Smart is not a sure thing, but he has topped 20 fantasy-points in two of his four games this season and does have the favorable opponent.
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
- DeMar DeRozan vs. WAS ($7800) – Shooting guard is lacking in elite options despite the 11-games. DeRozan is the highest prices SG available, and also the one averaging the most fantasy-points per game. His matchup is slightly unfavorable, but his worst game this season has been 23.75 points. In other words, DeRozan is a safe pick, yet also has a good deal of upside as he has topped 35 fantasy-points in all but one game this season.
- Monta Ellis @ UTA ($6900) – Sure, it is a very small sample-size, but Ellis has been better on the road than at home — 36.1 fantasy-points per game versus 25.9 fantasy-points per game. Ellis also has a favorable matchup and given he accrues stats in a variety of categories, is a safe bet to have a good fantasy game each night. He probably will not give you 50 fantasy-points, but is a good bet to give you 25-40.
- Kyle Korver @ CHA ($4800) – Thanks to Korver having facing San Antonio in his last game, he comes into tonight with a nice price-tag. Perfect timing with him facing a Charlotte team that ranks 25th against opposing shooting guards so far this season.
- Courtney Lee @ OKC ($3800) – Quite frankly, Lee is just way under-priced. He is averaging 30+ minutes per game this season and 27.8 fantasy-points per game. He is facing a weak defense and his worst game so far has been 20.5 fantasy-points.
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
- LeBron James @ DEN ($10500) – I know, LeBron is the easy choice as a stud tonight. Easy is not always wrong. Denver’s “D” is bad, James is good, and has been better on the road this season. It is tough to make room for a $10000+ player, but James is worth it.
- Josh Smith vs. MIL ($7600) – Smith has topped 34 fantasy-points in each of his last two games, and has a favorable matchup tonight. It does not hurt that he is also racking up rebounds in bunches, has been blocking almost two shots per game and is averaging over four assists per game. Smith is a safe play with a good deal of upside.
- Hollis Thompson vs. CHI ($4200) – Chicago has issues against opposing small forwards this season — they rank 23rd in fantasy-points allowed to the position. Thompson has quietly been a solid fantasy option this season, averaging 21.5 fantasy-points per game while topping 20 fantasy points in four of his five games this season.
- Khris Middleton @ DET ($3600) – A pick does not need to be exciting to be good. Middleton is not someone you get excited about; he is not someone you can expect to get you 40 fantasy points very often. What he is, is a player you can get cheap who is almost a lock for 15+ fantasy-points any given night.
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
- Kevin Love @ DEN ($9000) – Love is not off to the best start with his new team, yet he is averaging over 40 fantasy-points per game this season. He is also facing a bad Denver defense tonight, making him well worth his $9000 price tag.
- Derrick Favors vs. DAL ($7400) – Already this season, Favors has two games with over 40 fantasy-points, and one of over 50. His last game was 40.5 fantasy-points against Cleveland; he is at home against a weak Dallas defense tonight.
- Amar’e Stoudemire @ BKN ($5000) – Amar’e might be a pain to own in a season-long league, but he is a solid option for daily fantasy. He is healthy now, and has been a good fantasy player when healthy. Oh, Brooklyn is not very good at defending power forwards either.
- Trevor Booker vs. DAL ($3700) – Booker is the power forward version of Middleton; the guy you can count on for 15+ fantasy points night after night, but with limited upside. Sure, it is nice to get a monster game from your bargain priced players, but I am fine “settling” for three to four times value when I am confident in my higher-priced players.
- Nikola Vucevic vs. MIN ($8100) – You probably do not think of Vucevic when you think of elite centers, but he is averaging over 42 fantasy-points per game this season. He costs less than both DeMarcus Cousins and Al Jefferson and has a more favorable matchup than both too.
- Marc Gasol @ OKC ($7800) – Gasol has scored between 33 and 40 fantasy points in each of his last four games — and had 54.25 in his first game this season. He is facing an Oklahoma City team that has struggled against centers this season. Gasol is a nice option for Friday.
- Larry Sanders @ DET ($5600) – No, Sanders is not a huge bargain compared to the other guys I have been listing as bargains. I do think he is a nice value despite the relatively high price though. He is blocking two shots per game, averaging over nine rebounds per game, and there is just no way he will continue to his less than 40% of his shots.
- Jason Smith @ BKN ($3000) – So, you only have $3000 left to buy a center tonight? Smith is the guy for you. He is playing over 20 minutes a game, is averaging 14.8 fantasy-points per game, and had 22.8 fantasy-points in his last game. Worst case, is Smith matches his worst game this season –9.25 fantasy points which is still better the triple value.