Greetings gamers! We have a very nice seven game slate for Saturday night and with lots of high powered offenses everything is setting up well for tournaments. Let’s see what sort of fantasy goodness we can uncover for tonight’s matchups.
If you have any questions, you can reach out to me on Twitter @EmacDFS.
Giannis Antetokounmpo – MIL vs SAC – $9,500 – There is not a lot of easy “yield” left now that Antetokounmpo has been appropriately priced as a player who is capable of posting a dozen triple doubles this season. The best part is that there is a great chance this will scare away a lot of the more casual gamers who are more interested in some bigger names. The Kings simply do not have anyone capable of guarding Giannis and he is an outstanding option in all formats.
Elfrid Payton – ORL vs WAS – $6,200 – Payton is also capable of getting a triple double on any night, though he usually falls short in two of the three categories. Regardless, he is an excellent play against the Wizards, particularly without John Wall, at this reasonable price point with his past history including topping 30+ DraftKings points in three of the last four matchups.
Other Options – Kyrie Irving ($7,600)
Sergio Rodriguez – PHI vs CLE – $5,300 – This is a good matchup for Rodriguez against Kyrie Irving who has improved his defense this season, but it’s still average at best. It is clear that the 76ers most talented players are in their frontcourt and there is not much standing between Rodriguez and a secure 30 minutes per game other than the whims of Coach Brett Brown.
Other Options – Ty Lawson ($5,000), Ish Smith ($5,200)
James Harden – HOU at ATL – $11,600 – Harden is the most expensive player Saturday, and for good reason. He is averaging 31.8ppg, 7.0rpg, 12.4apg, 1.2spg and 3.6 three-pointers which are worth a half point bonus on DraftKings. That is SIXTY-TWO DRAFTKINGS POINTS PER GAME! The Hawks may be a little tired having played last night in Washington, DC and the Rockets have had a full three days to rest up for this contest.
Evan Fournier – ORL vs WAS – $6,100 – We know from past history that we can pick on the Wizards with wing players and not much has changed with regards to their defenders other than losing Nene Hilario and Jared Dudley. Fournier has had less than 15 shot attempts just once this season and he is the perfect partner for Elfrid Payton in the Magic backcourt.
Other Options – Jimmy Butler ($7,800), Monta Ellis ($5,500)
Eric Gordon – HOU at ATL – $5,600 – Gordon has been a steady player with his new team in Coach Mike D’Antoni’s offense with just one game below 27.7 DraftKings points. While he has only exceeded 30+ DraftKings points just once in five attempts, he is the perfect “high floor” player to give your team a solid base to build on.
Matthew Dellavedova – MIL vs SAC – $4,900 – Dellavedova has nice flexibility being eligible at both guard positions. The one concern with targeting Sacramento is that they went from the highest Hollinger Pace last season at 102.2 to the second slowest this season at 95.8 which is a major downshift. Of course they still have a weak backcourt both with their starters and reserves as long as Darren Collison is still serving his suspension for one more game.
Other Options – Kent Bazemore ($5,000), Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ($4,900)
LeBron James – CLE at PHI – $9,700 – There are few players as consistent as LeBron James who has yet to have a sub-40 DraftKings point game this season. The only worry here is the blowout risk, but the 76ers have had three days to gear up for this matchup and King James can reach the forty fantasy point plateau in just three quarters of action. His tournament upside is pretty well capped, but he is another player with a fantastic baseline for H2H format games (H2Hs, double-ups, 3-mans, etc.). It should be noted that LBJ has topped 60 DraftKings points in three of his last six games against the 76ers and been between 41 and 44 DraftKings points in the other three.
Other Options – Kawhi Leonard ($8,800), Jabari Parker ($5,900)
Marcus Morris – DET vs DEN – $5,700 – Morris has been an excellent source of production and he is still flying under the radar averaging just over 15 field goal attempts per game and a career high 18.00 points and 6.0 rebounds per game.
Thabo Sefolosha – ATL vs HOU – $4,100 – Now that he is fully healthy this season, Sefolosha has been a solid contributor across the hustle/helper categories for the Hawks with 5.3rpg, 3.0apg and 3.0spg. His upside is entirely tied to his scoring, but this should be an up-tempo matchup against the Houston Rockets on Saturday night.
Other Options – Markieff Morris ($5,500), Aaron Gordon ($5,800)
DeMarcus Cousins – SAC at MIL – $10,200 – While the Kings and Bucks generally play each other just twice a year, over the last four meetings, Cousins has danced his way to 54.5 DraftKings points with 27.0ppg, 13.0rpg, 4.8apg and 2.25 combined blocks/steals. That actually seems like an achievable baseline (65% probability) and in two of those contests he posted 60+ DraftKings points. Cousins is also eligible as a center.
Kevin Love – CLE at PHI – $7,400 – This is a nice matchup for Love who should see plenty of wide option shots and lots of loose rebounds against the 76ers. This is more of a price point play than anything else and unless we get word of Kyrie Irving or LeBron James getting a night off, Love is best suited for tournaments. Like Cousins, Love is also eligible as a center.
Other Options – LaMarcus Aldridge ($6,900)
Jon Leuer – DET vs DEN – $4,000 – In an interesting move, Coach Stan Van Gundy went with Jon Leuer and Aron Baynes manning the pivot down the stretch in the Pistons last game with Andre Drummond benched for the last 16 minutes due to a lack of effort/desire. The question is how much of a fire does that light under him. In the meantime, we know that the Pistons will need all of their BIGS to show up against the Denver frontcourt and considering that Leuer has tallied 19.5+ DraftKings points in four of the first five games this season, he is definitely worthy of consideration as a discount dandy in tournaments.
Other Options – Jahlil Okafor ($4,700), Ersan Ilyasova ($4,500), Andrew Nicholson ($3,200)
Dwight Howard – ATL vs HOU – $8,000 – Outside of an abbreviated outing against Philadelphia, D12 has had a double double in every game this season which is worth 1.5 bonus points on DraftKings. He is averaging nearly 40 fantasy points per game and it is hard to see him falling short of that benchmark against his old friends on the Rockets tonight.
Jusuf Nurkic – DEN at DET – $6,500 – Nurkic is in shape and has been a double double waiting to happen and he has reached the forty fantasy point plateau in two of his five starts this season. Despite his rebounding acumen, Andre Drummond is not much of a defender and this is a great spot to roll with Nurkic as most casual gamers are still loathe to take BIGS against the Pistons.
Other Options – DeAndre Jordan ($6,600), Nikola Vucevic ($6,300)
Joel Embiid – PHI vs CLE – $5,600 – With Philly playing it safe on the minutes for Joel Embiid and teammate Jahlil Okafor – $4,900 as they recover from their injuries, they are both being limited to 20-24 minutes of action. The key will be for the coaching staff to continue staggering their play so they are not on the court at the same time. As long as these youngsters have room to operate in the paint, they are both nightly double double threats even in limited minutes.
Other Options – Aron Baynes ($3,000) and Kostas Koufos ($3,400) are extreme punt plays for tournaments.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is emac) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.