Now that the weekend is over and there are no NFL games until Thursday night, the attention will be focused on the NBA. Last Tuesday we kicked off the season with a three game slate and tonight we have a seven game slate on deck. Although tonight’s slate does not offer the star studded options we had on Monday night, there are still several good options to choose from. Let’s jump right in to some targets for tonight’s games.
Reggie Jackson ($7,500) – Jackson’s price remains the same despite him having his best game of the season in his previous game. He’s averaging 35.3 fantasy points per game, but scored 43.25 fantasy points in the last game. Tonight he faces a Pacers defense that’s allowing the fifth highest field goal percentage and 50.9 fantasy points per game to opposing point guards. This is one of four games tonight that has an over/under of 200+ points. The Pistons implied point total is 103.75. Jackson isn’t the most expensive point guard this evening, but offers the highest ceiling.
Kyle Lowry ($7,900) – Lowry has topped 38 fantasy points in each game this season. He is averaging 40.9 fantasy points per game and fills up the stat sheet in just about every game. Lowry is averaging 17.3 points, 5 rebounds, 7.3 assists, and 3 steals per game. Even when he has an off shooting night like he did in his second game, he contributes in other categories and still produces plenty of fantasy points. Lowry has the safest floor at his position tonight and also provides some upside. He also has a solid matchup against Deron Williams who doesn’t bring his A game defensively every night.
Other Options – Kemba Walker ($7,000), Mike Conley ($6,800)
Emmanuel Mudiay ($5,900) – The rookie has struggled in some categories this season. In game one, he turned the ball over 11 times and in the last two games, he’s shot under .340 percent. However, despite the growing pains, he is averaging 26.3 fantasy points per game and has topped 27 fantasy points twice. Tonight he has a favorable matchup against the Lakers who allow the second most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards (60.2). The Lakers also allow the second most points per game in the NBA (115). This game has the highest over/under of the night at 207.5 points. I’m anticipating a fast paced game with plenty of scoring opportunities for both teams. Mudiay should also be able to pick up his field goal percentage as the Lakers allow the second highest field goal percentage to opposing point guards.
Jordan Clarkson ($5,200) – On the other side of the court is Clarkson. Denver is allowing the fourth most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards (58.9). They’re surrendering nearly a triple double to opposing point guards as they allow 20.8 points, 10 assists, and 9.7 rebounds per game. Clarkson showed his ability to shoot the ball well against a subpar defense as he scored 22 points against the Kings in his second game of the season. He has another shot at a productive night as he takes on another below average defense in the Nuggets.
Other Options – Elfrid Payton ($6,200), Deron Williams ($5,700), Jrue Holiday ($5,000), Darren Collison ($4,700)
Jimmy Butler ($7,700) – Butler has produced some quality numbers through the first four games of the season. He’s averaging 39.5 fantasy points per game, but has topped 42 fantasy points twice. He has two or more steals in every game and doesn’t turn the ball over much. The Hornets have struggled against shooting guards this season, allowing 46.8 fantasy points per game, which is the fifth most by any team. The only concern I have here is the pace of the game which could limit Butler’s ceiling. This game does have the lowest over/under of the night at 193 points. That being said, Butler should still be able to get his in a favorable matchup.
Victor Oladipo ($7,500) – Oladipo had a monster game against the Thunder last week in an overtime loss. He recorded a triple-double and 63.75 fantasy points. In three games, Oladipo has one double-double and one triple-double. He has a favorable matchup against the Pelicans who are allowing opponents the most points per game. He needs 38.5 fantasy points to hit value and has already topped that twice in two games.
Other Options – DeMar DeRozan ($7,400), Dwyane Wade ($7,000)
C.J. Miles ($4,200) – After opening the season in the starting lineup, Miles went back to his bench role, but has averaged 23.5 minutes per game in the last two games. He’s averaging 22.8 fantasy points per game and has topped 25 fantasy points twice. Playing nearly 24 minutes per game and averaging 20.63 points off the bench isn’t all that bad when you’re paying just $4,200. He needs 21 fantasy points to hit value and has topped that twice this season (once in 21 minutes of play).
Eric Gordon ($5,400) – Gordon has seen a bigger role in this offense with Jrue Holiday’s minutes monitored and Tyreke Evans out with an injury. Gordon has topped 26 fantasy points in two of his three games and is a good source of three pointers and steals. He’s averaging over 32 minutes per game and should continue to see plenty of PT and scoring opportunities. This should be a fast paced game with plenty of scoring. The over/under for this game is 206.5 which is the second highest of the night. Gordon should have no trouble hitting value.
Other Options – Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ($4,900), Evan Fournier ($4,300), Will Barton ($4000)
Paul George ($8,100) – The Pacers have been experimenting with George at the four in some games this season. However, it hasn’t worked quite as planned. He’s expected to start at power forward once again tonight and will be matched up against Ersan Ilyasova who is much more of a situational player than a defender. George started off the season with a big game as he scored 50 fantasy points, but has scored just 60.25 combined in his last two. He has plenty of upside and a plus matchup.
Rudy Gay ($7,400) – If I’m paying up for a small forward tonight, it would be for Rudy Gay. With Cousins sidelined for the next two games, Gay will likely be the primary focus of this offense. He has topped 35 fantasy points in consecutive games. He has four steals, 15 boards, five assists, four three pointers, and has attempted 35 shots in the last two games. Memphis has struggled against small forwards this season as they’re allowing 45.7 fantasy points per game against them.
Other Options – Nicolas Batum ($6,800)
Luol Deng ($4,700) – Luol Deng has been dealing with a hip injury since the preseason, but has played through it. Tonight he faces the Atlanta Hawks who are surrendering the most fantasy points per game to opposing small forwards (56.6). Deng is averaging 22.9 fantasy points and 28.5 minutes per game this season. At this price in a plus matchup, it’s tough for him to miss value.
Marcus Morris ($5,600) – Morris is another affordable small forward with a great matchup. He has fit right in Detroit and is playing well. Morris is averaging 19.3 points per game and 7.7 rebounds. He has topped 37 fantasy points in two of his three games. The Pacers have surrendered 47.8 fantasy point per game to opposing small forwards this season. Morris is playing a ton of minutes and has been very efficient. He provides a decent ceiling with a safe floor for someone at his price.
Other Options – Jeff Green ($4,600)
Anthony Davis ($10,500) – Davis is coming off of his best game of the season thus far and should carry that momentum over against the Magic who are surrendering the most points per game to opposing power forwards (30.6). His numbers have gotten better in each game. He is averaging 44.9 fantasy points per game, but I have a feeling that’ll be much higher after tonight’s game. He’s arguably the best DFS option in the NBA and certainly the best player in tonight’s slate.
Paul Millsap ($8,000) – Millsap has put together several quality starts in three consecutive games. He has two double-doubles and has topped 40 fantasy points twice in that span. He faces the Heat who allow the fifth most fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards (49.8). While Hassan Whiteside is a force in the front court, Millsap will match up against Chris Bosh who isn’t known to be aggressive under the boards. Millsap has a decent shot to record his third double-double of the season.
Other Options – Pau Gasol ($7,200), Chris Bosh ($7,100), Zach Randolph ($6,800)
Marvin Williams ($4,500) – Williams has played a big role in this Hornets offense to start the season. He’s averaging 35.3 minutes per game, 12.3 points per game, and nine rebounds per game. As far as fantasy points are concerned, he’s averaging 31.6 fantasy points per game. The Bulls are allowing 45 fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards, so he could be in for another productive evening. He has not scored fewer than 28 fantasy points in any game and only needs 22.5 fantasy point to hit value. He’s one of the top values in tonight’s slate.
Ryan Anderson ($5,200) – Although Anderson comes off the bench, he’s playing 32.2 minutes per game. He started off the season with a poor performance, but has picked it up in the last two games. He has scored 40 points in the last two games and drained five three pointers. He has also grabbed 16 boards in that span. While this is out of the norm for Anderson who is usually very dependent on his shooting to be effective, it shouldn’t go overlooked. He’s affordable and makes a solid tournament play because of his potential 30+ point upside.
Other Options – Kenneth Faried ($6,300), Julius Randle ($6,100), Dwight Powell ($3,400)
Andre Drummond ($8,200) – Aside from Anthony Davis, Drummond is my top play for this evening. He has a double-double in every game so far this season. He has grabbed 19 or more boards and topped 50 fantasy points in two of his first three games. He also has two blocks in every game. I had Drummond as a potential breakout candidate this year now that Greg Monroe is no longer in the picture and he certainly living up to expectations. He has displayed his ability to be one of the league’s best big men and should continue to dominate under the glass. The Pacers are allowing 19.8 rebounds per game to opposing centers. Even though Ian Mahinmi is known to be a solid defender, he stands no chance against Drummond.
Marc Gasol ($7,800) – If you’ve been playing DFS for a while, you’ve probably heard of recency bias. This would be a great example of that as Gasol has been far from impressive this season and could see low ownership due to that. He will be going up against a rookie center tonight which could be just what the doctor ordered. The Kings are allowing the second most fantasy points per game to opposing centers (59.5) and are yielding 19 boards per game. This is a great spot for a potential bounce back game. I’d take a shot at him in a lineup or two this evening.
Other Options – Nikola Vucevic ($7,700), Al Horford ($7,600), Hassan Whiteside ($7,300), Al Jefferson ($6,900)
Jonas Valanciunas ($6,200) – It’s slim pickings at center if you’re looking for value and I don’t necessarily consider Valanciunas a great value, but for someone under $7K, he’s produced some solid games. He’s inconsistent to say the least, but provides a relatively high ceiling. He has topped 40 points once and is averaging 31.6 fantasy points per game. He’s averaging 15.3 points and 11 boards. He would need 31 fantasy points to hit value which is an amount he has topped twice this season.
Willie Cauley-Stein ($4,000) – A starting center who is playing 26.5 minutes per game and is averaging 31.5 fantasy points per game in the last two games at just $4,000, sign me up. While this isn’t an ideal matchup for the rookie, he’s seeing enough minutes and producing 1.18 fantasy points per minute. Assuming he receives 25+ minutes, he should easily exceed value.
Other Options – Zaza Pachulia ($5,600), Kosta Koufos ($3,700)