WATCH: TRENDING PLAYER – CLINT CAPELA
We have a nice six game slate on tap and some interesting options to choose from, so let’s jump right into some players to target tonight.
Chris Paul ($8,900) – Paul is in a great spot tonight against the Nets who are yielding the most fantasy points per game to point guards and have allowed an average of +2.55 points above expectation to the position. Brooklyn is also amongst the league leaders in game pace, which creates more opportunities for opposing players. The one concern I have here is a potential blowout, but even in blowout situations we have seen Paul score fantasy points by the bunches. In fact, in his last meeting against the Nets, he scored 51 Draftkings Fantasy Points (DKFP) in 25 minutes.
Other Options – Giannis Antetokounmpo $9,200, Kemba Walker $7,800, Kyrie Irving $7,600
Elfrid Payton ($5,100) – Typically we try to avoid players against the Spurs, but that does not necessarily hold true for point guards. San Antonio has allowed +1.11 points above expectation to opposing point guards and in their last 10 games, they are yielding the eighth most fantasy points per game. Payton is not a big scorer but he is able to accumulate fantasy points with his peripheral stats. He has topped 25 DKFP in four straight games, despite scoring no more than 16 real points in any of those contests. At this price, it will not take much for him to hit value.
Other Options – Tim Frazier $5,500, Jose Calderon $3,700
James Harden ($11,300) – Going up against the Jazz is never an easy task as they play good defense and play at one of the slowest paces in the league. However, that did not stop Harden from dropping 31 points, 10 assists, and 57.3 DKFP in their last meeting. Harden is matchup proof, and even on nights like these where his ceiling may be somewhat capped, he provides an insanely high floor. He has topped 49 DKFP in nine of his last 10 games.
Jamal Crawford ($3,700) – Crawford is averaging 24.5 minutes per game for the season, but has played 26 or more minutes in seven consecutive games. He has now topped 15 DKFP in three straight games and has two 20+ DKFP games over that stretch. The last time he faced off against the Nets, he scored 27.5 DKFP. Brooklyn has allowed +4.22 points above expectation to opposing shooting guards and are yielding the second most fantasy points per game to the position. Although volatile, at this price, Crawford can provide a huge return on investment.
Other Options – Lou Williams $5,700, Rodney Hood $5,600, Matthew Dellavedova $4,100
LeBron James ($9,700) – Not that matchup matters much for LeBron, but this is actually a favorable situation against the Bucks. Milwaukee is giving up the fifth most fantasy points per game to small forwards and have allowed +3.04 points above expectation to the position. LeBron has topped 55 DKFP in five of his last 10 games and has scored fewer than 44 DKFP just once in that span. He does it all in Cleveland as he owns a 28 percent usage rate, accounts for 27 percent of the points scored, 23.5 percent of the rebounds and 51.3 percent of the assists. He offers plenty of upside and a high floor for a player under $10,000.
Other Options – Kawhi Leonard $8,400
Marcus Morris ($4,500) – The small forward position is somewhat thin today, and finding value is not all that easy, but Morris stands out at his price. After a good start to the season, he has cooled off a bit, but continues to average over 30 minutes per game and has a 21 percent usage rate. The matchup against the Hornets is one that he could be successful in as they give up the seventh most fantasy points to the position and have allowed +0.82 points above expectation. When choosing a low salary player, a couple things come into play, secure minutes being one that Morris has. He makes sense if you are looking for some salary relief.
Other Options – Brandon Ingram $4,300
Anthony Davis ($11,600) – Davis has topped 60 DKFP in three consecutive games and has scored over 50 DKFP in 9 of his last 10 games. So long as he is healthy and on the court, he is going to produce fantasy points as the Pelicans offense funnels through him. He owns a 34.1 percent usage rate, accounts for 39.1 percent of the points, 32.9 percent of the rebounds and 52.2 percent of the blocks for the Pelicans. He has a favorable matchup against the Lakers who are yielding the seventh most fantasy points per game to power forwards.
Other Options – Blake Griffin $8,600, Kevin Love $$8,200
Frank Kaminsky ($5,400) – The price has gone up for Kaminsky, but there is still value to be had. He has played 30 or more minutes in five of his last six games and is averaging 28.1 DKFP during that stretch, while not scoring fewer than 24 DKFP in any of those contests. He continues to start in place of the injured Marvin Williams and will do so again this evening against Detroit. He has attempted double-digit shots in eight consecutive games. Tonight’s matchup is not the most appealing one, but you can’t have it all when looking for value.
Other Options – LaMarcus Aldridge $6,700, Tobias Harris $5,700, Terrance Jones $4,900
Andre Drummond ($7,400) – Drummond is arguably the best pure center in tonight’s slate and comes at a reasonable price when you consider his ability and output. He is all but a lock for a double-double and gets a favorable matchup against the Hornets who have allowed +1.51 points above expectation to centers. Charlotte is yielding the seventh most fantasy points per game to opposing bigs and are giving up 45.9 rebounds per game (seventh most). Drummond should be able to dominate the boards in this matchup.
Other Options – Nikola Vucevic $6,200
DeAndre Jordan ($6,300) – This may not be the best bargain in town, but at this price Jordan possesses value. He has topped 30 DKFP in four consecutive games and in six of his last seven. The Nets have allowed + 4.12 points above expectation to opposing centers and are yielding the most rebounds per game, with a -4.8 differential. Jordan finds himself in a good spot to continue his 30+ fantasy point streak.
Note: Keep a close eye on news prior to lock as this could open up some value plays that were not considered early in the day.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Armando28) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.