After the insanity of Friday with every NBA team in action, we are back to a much more sedate Saturday night game set with just ten teams playing. Not to fear, there are plenty of contests and lots of different strategies we can still employ!
If you have any questions, you can reach out to me on Twitter @EmacDFS.
Russell Westbrook – OKC at DET – $11,900 – Westbrook is the lone standout option in the five figure range tonight, and the question will be do we go with him or do we try to swim upstream against the current of a player averaging 32.0ppg, 9.8rpg, 10.9apg and 1.7 combined blocks/steals for 64.4 DraftKings points?! If we are ever going to do it, tonight is the night after Westy drug the Thunder to a victory in last night’s overtime affair. This is also the fourth game in five nights for Oklahoma City who are back home after a three game California/Colorado road trip. While it seems like Westbrook never tires, this would be the time to test that theory.
Kemba Walker – CHA vs NYK – $7,900 – This is a home-and-home with these same two squads having faced off last night in Madison Square Garden. Walker has seen his home/away splits come into play again this season- he is averaging 44.5 DraftKings points per game at home vs. 39.6 DraftKings points per game on the road, which adds up to a 12.3% premium in the Spectrum Center.
Other Options – Stephen Curry ($9,000)
Ish Smith – DET at OKC – $$4,900 – While this is a back-to-back for both teams, the Pistons will be riding high after dealing the Clippers their first road loss of the season. We have to like the price point on Smith, and while there are arguments for and against using fantasy point Defense vs Position in the NBA with the evolution to “positionless” basketball, we can still infer that more often than not point guards and centers typically square off against their counterparts. The Thunder are allowing opposing point guards to score the second most fantasy points per game. Smith is averaging 25ish DraftKings points per game and it would not be a surprise for him to pass the thirty fantasy point plateau in this matchup.
Other Options – Ricky Rubio ($5,900), Andrew Harrison ($3,300)
Klay Thompson – GSW vs MIN – $6,200 – Thompson is still the forgotten man in daily fantasy circles having to share the rock with Stephen Curry, Kevin Durant, and of course Draymond Green. This is the third game in four nights for the Warriors and also the fourth in six days so there is a chance that we see them curb the minutes for their Big Three. This of course would mean more fantasy opportunity will be available for Klay Thompson and outside of extreme blowouts, he generally gets his standard fourth quarter rotation, even when the other ‘Dubs are cheering from the bench.
Other Options – Victor Oladipo ($6,400)
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope – DET at OKC – $5,100 – This is a game that has KCP’s pace written all over it! In his last three meetings with the Thunder he is averaging just over 25 DraftKings points, and that is right about his season average.
Other Options – Andre Roberson ($4,200), Justin Holiday ($3,300)
Kawhi Leonard – SAS at WAS – $8,300 – This is the third road game in four days for the Spurs; however, they do not play again until Tuesday back in San Antonio against the Orlando Magic. This is a very winnable game for them against the Wizards who will be keeping an eye on John Wall’s minutes (minor offseason surgery on both knees) in this back-to-back game for Washington. The Wizards are once again struggling against wings and are in the bottom half of the league from a fantasy production perspective.
Carmelo Anthony – NYK at CHA – $7,300 – Friday night was a great moment for Carmelo Anthony and the Knicks as they just squeaked by the Hornets in overtime 113 to 111 with ‘Melo leading the way posting 68.0 DraftKings points with 35 points, 14 rebounds, five assists and three combined blocks/steals. While a repeat performance twenty-four hours later is unlikely, at this price point he is well worth taking a chance on since even a mid-40s fantasy point outing will be a steal at his current price tag.
Other Options – Andrew Wiggins ($7,000), Nicolas Batum ($6,800)
James Johnson – MIA vs MEM – $4,400 – The player fondly known as “Neck Tat” (just go look at his player profile) will be going up against one of his former teams in this matchup, and as a fiend with the hustle/helper stats, he is in play for tournaments with his 30 fantasy point upside at this very reasonable price.
Other Options – Justin Holiday ($3,300), Andre Roberson ($4,200)
Kevin Durant – GSW vs MIN – $9,600 – KD qualifies at both forward positions and with teammate Draymond Green having an abbreviated showing in both outings against the Lakers with an eye-poke on Wednesday and a tweaked ankle on Friday, there is a chance he is given a light night of action on Saturday. That puts Durant in a prime spot to capitalize at home against the Timberwolves. On a side note, the ‘Dubs are still on pace for 73 wins and we know they are VERY aware of that number.
LaMarcus Aldridge – SAS at WAS – $6,300 – Washington has been a middle-of-the-pack team against opposing frontcourts this season, and they are really missing the size of Nene Hilario. This will likely not change until they get Ian Mahinmi back after he completes his post-knee surgery rehabilitation. Since this is the first game of the night, we should know well in advance if any of the Spurs stalwarts are being rested on this third road game in four nights.
Other Options – Kristaps Porzingis ($7,700)
Frank Kaminsky – CHA vs NYY – $4,800 – Frank the Tank continues to produce for the Hornets and he has posted 28+ DraftKings points in five of his last six outings. As long as he continues to flirt with thirty DraftKings points, he is a tremendous bargain at his current price point.
Other Options – Jon Leuer ($4,500)
Andre Drummond – DET at OKC – $7,500 – Despite getting into foul trouble early against DeAndre Jordan, Drummond still managed to accumulate 36.5 DraftKings points in just over 26 minutes on Friday. There should be no temptation or need to foul Steven Adams and Enes Kanter, so Drummond is in play for a signature 20/20 game in this matchup.
Other Options – Hassan Whiteside ($8,600), Karl-Anthony Towns ($8,400)
Cody Zeller – CHA vs NYK – $4,000 – After missing a week with a shoulder issue, Cody Z was back in effect against the Knicks on Friday with his steady 25ish DraftKings points, and we should see similar production once again in his home arena.
Other Options – Enes Kanter ($4,600), Steven Adams ($5,000)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is emac) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.