Today’s NBA targets break down the 5-game NBA slate we have with a look at the studs, sleepers and mid-range players you want to have rotating in your lineups.
POINT GUARD TARGETS
- Jrue Holiday vs. SAC ($7,500) – Holiday is a pretty solid value overall, with the contributions he makes offensively and defensively at the PG slot. There’s been no real hike in his salary this season, not enough to make him climb out of the range I’m willing to pay for one of the better point guards in the league. One thing to keep in mind is that Holiday is a different player at home than on the road when it comes to sinking his shot. Take a gander: .529 FG% in five games at home, compared to .374 FG% in seven away games. The matchup is a good one, and guess what? Holiday is at home. Yee-haw, fire up the grill… we’re having filet Mignon tonight!
- Mario Chalmers vs. GS ($6,400) – Listen, I could throw up John Wall, Stephen Curry or Ty Lawson here if I wanted to, and they’ll get their numbers on Tuesday, but I’m just not that thrilled with any of their OPRK matchups. And, I’m not crazy about spending big bucks on a player that I doesn’t have a somewhat good matchup. Catch my drift? So, I’m going to put Chalmers in the “stud” category, whether you like it or not. The matchup is good, the price is right, and Chalmers has been red-hot of late, like totally and completely red-hot. Like, you know? He’s averaged just a smidge over 44 FPPG over his last two played, while really seeing his minutes stay consistent over the 35 MPG mark over his last eight games played.
- Shabazz Napier vs. GS ($4,400) -Napier’s minutes are leveling off over 30 a game now, at least over his last three played. And so is his shot, along with his FPPG which has been incredibly consistent for a rookie. I like what Napier has done given the opportunity he’s received of late. The matchup isn’t anything to write home about, however.
- Austin Rivers vs. SAC ($3,600) – When injury strikes we DFS owners need to take advantage, hence Rivers. Expect Rivers’ minutes to jump up over the next few games with Eric Gordon fighting a shoulder injury, although I’m not expecting any sort of consistency with Rivers’ numbers. I think at 3.6K you can afford to take the chance though, especially if the youngster takes more of a chance on his beyond-the-arc shot.
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
- Jimmy Butler vs. DEN ($7,300) – Butler is going to put up the points for DFS owners on Tuesday. Why? The Bulls still aren’t 100 percent and Butler is having a breakout season so far. You gotta love his 36.9 FPPG average and the consistency in his across-the-board numbers, including points scored, assists and rebounds. Plus, dude nets a steal and a half per game roughly.
- Klay Thompson vs. MIA ($7,100) – Thompson is incredible at home with his 3-point shot, knocking down 22-of-37 attempts for a .595 3P%. But, too bad Thompson will be on the road in Miami where he’s not quite the same player with his long-range shot. Still, Thompson only loses about three FPPG on the road (34.0 compared to 37.7 at home). For some reason, Thompson dishes the ball and ups his blocks on the road which helps make up for his 3p%. The matchup is nice with a 24th OPRK.
- Bradley Beal vs. ATL ($6,000) – Since returning from a preseason wrist injury last week, Beal has put up very consistent numbers averaging over 30 FPPG. He’s doing a bit of everything and should continue to see his minutes stay over the 30 MPG mark. Actually, I’m expecting Beal’s minutes to climb even more. It’s not a priority to put Beal into your lineup, but if you’re playing the mid-range lineup thing and not going with superstars then Beal fits the bill.
- O.J. Mayo vs. DET ($4,400) – You can’t count on Mayo’s minutes, which is troubling for me and DFS owners alike. Right? It’s troubling. But, I’ve got a sneaky suspicion that Mayo gets the playing time facing a 3-10 Pistons club. Expect the Bucks to get up early in this game, leaving Mayo in awhile longer to fill up the stat sheet. I think we all like a little Mayo on Tuesday night, eh?
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
- Rudy Gay vs. NO ($7,900) – Just a warning first: Gay is a game-time decision to play on Tuesday. Now that we’ve got that out of the way, I think he guts it out and gets in the game and puts up close to his 37.2 FPPG average. There isn’t much Gay can’t do and while I consider his salary a tad high overall, it’s the reliability factor that I like. Of course, you’re going to want to check pre game lineup news before locking Gay in considering his Achilles injury.
- Josh Smith vs. MIL ($6,500) – Smith bounced back nicely from a bad night last week facing the Suns, as he put up 35 fantasy points against the Hawks on Friday. Like I’ve said before on Smith, it’s not his shot that gets him into your lineup it’s his defensive skills and the ability to pass the ball and share nicely with his teammates. I think the poor games Smith had last week is just a slight chink in the armor. He’s back on track to take an important role in your lineup for 6.5K.
- Mike Dunleavy vs. DEN ($4,600) – I’m only suggesting Dunleavy based on two points: 1) I love the matchup for him. 2) The value based on the expected minutes he’ll net due to the continue health situation with the Bulls as a whole. I’ve got 25 points from Dunleavy as a ceiling, although I’d be happy with 18-20 fantasy points for the price.
- Danilo Gallinari vs. CHI ($4,000) – Gallinari is a risk considering the lack of consistent minutes he gets, but I’m digging him with his recent two-game stretch with double-digit points scored rocketing his FPPG average to 25 during those two games – worth the risk to me at the price tag.
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
- Anthony Davis vs. SAC ($11,500) – I can see throwing Davis’ name up here just because he’s an amazing talent, and worth every cap dollar spent, but the kid has a solid matchup as well which really gets me excited. Like, coffee-and-donuts excited! That’s how excited I am right now about Davis. Did you know that Davis has put up four 60-point fantasy games over his last 10 games played?
- Pau Gasol vs. DEN ($7,200) – This is the buy of the night as far as I’m concerned. Take advantage of the DraftKings discount with Gasol just now coming off injury, which forced him out of the last three games. Before the injury, Gasol was sitting at 8.5 K, but now he’s dropped a hefty chunk sitting at 7.2K. I know you can do the math yourself, but you’ve got to jump on that, right? Of course you do. Get Gasol into your lineup, like asap, considering his 40.4 FPPG average.
- Ryan Anderson vs. SAC ($6,100) – I’m not crazy about Anderson’s awful shot percentage lately, or that he’s 0-for-11 from 3-point range over his last two games. But, the last time Anderson had a good game was when the Pelicans last played the Kings which was just last week, right before his double-stinker days. Look for Anderson to get back on track early on in this one.
- Kris Humphries vs. ATL ($4,800) – Humphries may be a bit of a reach for good, valued fantasy points, but with his minutes bumping up due to injury and other circumstance he’s a deep take-a-risk play. If I’m going the Stars-and-Scrubs line up route, I’d get Humphries in there.
- Joakim Noah vs. DEN ($7,700) – Expect Noah to be fine for Tuesday’s game, just in case you were concerned about the eye injury he suffered on Monday – he is one of the toughest players in the game even with his sometimes marred injury history. Noah should have an easy time finding rebounds against the Nuggets, with his night headed towards a 30-35 fantasy point performance even though Noah only scores about 8 PPG. You’re not expecting anything more than that anyway from him, are you? Just give me the rebounds, throw in a block or two and do all the other underrated stuff he does on a nightly basis.
- Andre Drummond vs. MIL ($7,100) – Drummond fights consistency issues game-to-game, but I’m not too crazy about spending the big bucks on Chris Bosh. What about DeMarcus Cousins, say you? Sure, if you want to spend the plus-10K for Cousins, then by all means he’s the best center within Tuesday’s slated games; however, I’m giving other options just in case you’re not in a spending mood. And, Drummond is a decent play considering the matchup and price.
- Marcin Gortat vs. ATL ($6,200) – The Wizards have been playing excellent basketball to this point and the consistent production of Gortat has certainly helped. Bradley Beal, who has returned to action, could keep Gortat’s scoring in check a bit, but I still see double-digit rebounds as a fantastic possibility on Tuesday along with a couple of blocks. Gortat still has great potential here on out even with the Wizards getting healthier. Keep in mind that Gortat is always a candidate for a double-double, which isn’t bad at all for the 6.2K price you have to pay.
- Timofey Mozgov vs. CHI ($5,600) – I love saying this guys name for some reason. It just sort of rolls right off my tongue, and sounds way cool coming from my simple mouth. Three out of the last four games played for Mozgov has netted 30-plus fantasy points for the big man and his minutes have remained steady, which is always important. I like Mozgov – come on, say it with me… Mozgov – to outplay his 22 FPPG average on Tuesday giving owners a nice expected production for the price.
Good luck on Tuesday! Catch me on Twitter @TheRolyPolyBoy