There are just four games tonight, but some intriguing options to choose from, so let’s jump right into some players to target.
Russell Westbrook ($12,500) – There is not much I can say besides Westbrook is an elite play any time he is on the slate. He is averaging 63 DraftKings Fantasy Points Per Game (DKFPPG), has five triple-doubles, and has scored more than 54 DraftKings Fantasy Points (DKFP) in seven straight games. Tonight’s matchup against the Lakers is a favorable one, as they have allowed +2.34 points above expectations to opposing point guards. Both teams play up-tempo and this contest has the highest projected total, with just a three-point spread. I’ll be trying to fit him in my lineup.
Other Options – Damian Lillard $8,900
Jrue Holiday ($6,400) – Holiday returned to action several nights ago and has played two games. In each of those games, he has scored at least 38 DKFP, averaging 1.5 DKFP per minute. The Pelicans face off against the Hawks, who are playing up in pace (fourth-highest in league) and have allowed +1.63 points above expectations to point guards. Atlanta is also yielding the seventh-most fantasy points per game to the position. Holiday’s price has not caught up to his production, and it is something I think we can take advantage of.
Other Options – Emmanuel Mudiay $5,900, Derrick Rose $5,800, Rajon Rondo $5,600
Dwyane Wade ($6,000) – Wade got some rest on Sunday, so he should be nice and fresh for this evening’s game. The Bulls face the Nuggets, who are yielding the most fantasy points per game to shooting guards. Denver also plays paced up, which should create some extra touch opportunities for Wade. He has topped 38 DKFP in two of his last three games and comes at an affordable price, while offering plenty of upside.
Other Options – C.J. McCollum $7,400, Victor Oladipo $6,600
Lou Williams ($5,300) – This is someone that I have been rostering often this season, and it has paid off. Williams is currently second on the Lakers with a 28.3 percent usage rate. Despite playing just 23.2 minutes per game, he is averaging 28 DKFPPG (1.2 fantasy points per minutes). His shot has been falling, and he has also contributed in steals and assists. Williams has exceeded value 75 percent of the time by an average of 5.84 points, per Fantasy Labs. This should be a paced up game with plenty of scoring, which translates to potential opportunities for Williams.
Other Options – Nick Young $4,400
Carmelo Anthony ($7,800) – Melo has topped 40 DKFP in three of his last five games and has scored fewer than 35 DKFP just once in that span. He is playing 33 minutes per game and leads the Knicks with a 29 percent usage rate. In his last 10 games, he has exceeded value 70 percent of the time by an average of 2.79 points, per Fantasy Labs. This contest has the second-highest projected point total of the evening and just a 1.5 point spread, so there should be plenty of fantasy goodness in this contest, starting with Melo.
Other Options – Jimmy Butler $9,200
Danilo Gallinari ($5,900) – Gallinari has topped 30 DKFP in four straight games and remains at an affordable price. In his last 10 games, he has exceeded value 60 percent of the time by an average of 1.85 points. Although the Bulls play at a slower pace, the Nuggets play at the seventh-highest pace in the league, so they could push the pace on Chicago being that they are at home. Gallinari has attempted at least 13 shots in four straight. At this price he offers 6X upside, which is what we are looking for in tournaments.
Other Options – Wilson Chandler $5,700, Kent Bazemore $5,500, Andre Roberson $4,300
Anthony Davis ($11,000) – Davis has topped 50 DKFP in seven straight games and has eclipsed 68 DKFP in two consecutive games. Even at his high price tag, he has exceeded value 60 percent of the time by an average of 3.7 points in his last 10 games. This offense funnels through Davis, and his 34 percent usage rate is a good indicator of that. Despite the unappealing matchup, Davis is still in play because of the upside he brings to the table.
Other Options – Paul Millsap $7,900, Kristaps Porzingis $7,500
Julius Randle ($6,700) – Randle is averaging 4.7 more points, 1.2 more rebounds, 1.5 more assists, and 4.7 more DKFPPG at home this season. He is also shooting 58.5 percent at home compared to 48.3 percent on the road. Clearly he plays much better at home, and that is where tonight’s game is. The Thunder have allowed fantasy point ceiling, Randle is your guy.
Other Options – Kenneth Faried $5,700, Taj Gibson $5,400, Domantas Sabonis $3,300
Dwight Howard ($7,700) – Howard is not playing a ton of minutes, but remains very efficient and is averaging 1.4 DKFP per minute. He has scored 40 or more DKFP in seven of his last 10 games and has not scored fewer than 30 DKFP in that span. He also has double-digit rebounds in each of his last 10 games and nine double-doubles in that time frame. The Pelicans are surrendering the most rebounds per game (48.8) and have a -5.2 differential. I think Howard is by far the best play at the center position in this small slate.
Mason Plumlee ($5,600) – If you haven’t noticed, Plumlee typically makes his way in my value play at center when he is on the slate. He remains affordable and contributes to multiple categories, which increases his floor. He has scored 28 or more DKFP in four of his last six games, including two 30+ performances. If you are looking to save some salary at this positon, Plumlee makes a good option.
Other Options – Robin Lopez $5,300, Enes Kanter $4,600
Note: Keep a close eye on news prior to lock as this could open up some value plays that were not considered early in the day.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Armando28) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.