Saturday there is a solid half dozen games beginning at 7:00pm ET and with DraftKings posting a healthy $750,000+ in guaranteed prize pools and large field 50/50s there are options for everyone to find what suits their desires.
John Wall – WAS at DET – $8,600 – On the season, the Pistons have been a middle of the pack team against opposing point guards. It looks like SG Bradley Beal (shoulder) will return from his three game absence after making it through a full practice on Friday. Wall has performed well on the season averaging 17.6ppg, 3.4rpg, 8.6apg and 2.0spg for 40.9 DraftKings points. He averaged just 33.6 fantasy points and had his three lowest totals on the season. Having his running mate back should boost his totals back to 40+ again.
Mike Conley – MEM at SAS – $6,300 – This is a different San Antonio defense than we have seen in recent years as they have dropped from a top ten team against point guards to a bottom ten team from a fantasy perspective. Conley is a sneaky option as he has been dealing with a myriad of injuries over the last two seasons which has kept his production down, in turn suppressing his price. He has flashed his upside over the last three games with a healthy 43+ DraftKings points per game.
Mario Chalmers – MEM at SAS – $3,700 – While I would not advocate using both Conley and Chalmers on the same roster, I do think Chalmers is a fine discount option. In the four games since he was acquired from the Miami Heat he has scored no less than 21 DraftKings points in each outing.
Monta Ellis – IND vs MIL – $6,300 – If either PG George Hill and/or SG Rodney Stuckey are out again on Saturday, Ellis is a fine option to lock into the two-guard slot at a discounted price. He should be in the 34-38 fantasy point range which will provide close to the 6x salary ratio we are looking for from our players.
James Harden – HOU vs NYK – $10,200 – New York and Houston both played last night, but the Rockets get the edge since they are at home. The Knickerbockers just don’t have anyone equipped to deal with The Beard and with Dwight Howard likely out, this is a nice spot to deploy Harden in tournaments.
Tyler Johnson – MIA vs PHI – $3,900 – It would seem that Miami should be able to handle Philadelphia who are coming off a back-to-back and are playing their seventh game in eleven days. If the Heat can get out to a lead, they are currently fourteen point favorites, that means more time for former Fresno State star Tyler Johnson. We have seen him flash his 30 fantasy point upside twice in his last three games and this is lining up to be a good spot to take a shot at the brass ring!
Paul George – IND vs MIL – $9,700 – If PG13 keeps up his torrid pace, this may be the last time we see him under $10,000 for a while. Depending on the opponent, George has been shifting between small forward and power forward and generally destroying whoever is the evening’s opponent. On the season he is averaging 25.3ppg, 8.6rpg 4.7apg and 1.6spg, with one performance under 39.3 DraftKings points and that came on Opening Night against the Utah Jazz. Finally, despite all of their lanky defenders, the Milwaukee Bucks are in the bottom third of the league against all forwards this season.
Marcus Morris – DET vs WAS – $6,100 – Morris has tailed earlier this week, however, he looked great last night against the Timberwolves in Minnesota. The Washington Wizards are really missing the veteran presence of Paul Pierce and they are allowing the second most fantasy points to small forwards this season. This is a nice opportunity for Morris to get back on track and continue to contribute across the all categories.
Justise Winslow – MIA vs PHI – $4,000 – While he is averaging just 0.6 DraftKings points per minute, he should see close to 30 minutes if this game goes according to projections and that should be enough to get him to 20ish fantasy points.
Chris Bosh – MIA vs PHI – $7,500 – In his last three games against the tank-mode 76ers, Bosh is averaging 25 points and 8 rebounds. Throw in a couple blocks, assists and steals and we have the makings of a 40+ fantasy point performance. A benchmark the mobile big man has surpassed in four of his last six games. Bosh is the best play of the night at this position.
Kristaps Porzingis – NYK at HOU – $6,300 – Tonight there are no “must plays” at the power forward position so it looks like focusing on some value/upside plays is the way to go. Porzingis definitely falls in the upside category and he showed his future potential with a career high 29 points against Charlotte on Tuesday. He also has nabbed double digit rebounds in half of his game this season. The Rockets are allowing the fifth most fantasy points to power forwards this season, so this is shaping up to be a nice route to take towards the winner’s circle in tournaments.
Tristan Thompson – CLE vs ATL – $4,800 – The Cavs are going to need Thompson to bang in the paint with Al Horford and Paul Millsap. This means that Coach Blatt will likely play his BIGs more and Thompson should be in line for a chance at a double double.
Hassan Whiteside – MIA vs PHI – $8,300 – Whiteside has been outstanding this season and he is averaging 15.0 points, 11.3 rebounds and a league leading 4.3 blocks per game. He is one of a handful of players on this slate that possesses 60 fantasy point upside and this is the sort of matchup where he can make it happen…as long as he stays out of foul trouble.
Lavoy Allen – IND vs MIL – $3,500 – Allen has been pretty steady this season and he has averaged 20 fantasy points per game over his last three contests. He should be safe for 20ish minutes against the Bucks on Saturday and he is a fine deep discount option.
Clint Capela – HOU vs NYK – $4,700 – Dwight Howard will likely be out this game, as long as the new coaching regime follows the practice of only playing him in one game of back-to-back contests. This will open the door for Clint Capela who is scoring just over a fantasy point per minute in his last four games. If he can get 20ish minutes of action tonight, he is a fine differentiation play in all formats.