Today’s NBA targets break down the 11-game NBA slate we have with a look at the studs, sleepers and mid-range players you want to have rotating in your lineups.
Strategy for Wednesday’s lineup is quite interesting, so says the dude eagerly typing away with his Farmer John sausage-fingers. This is a fantastic night to snag the best at SG and SF, with all the bitchin’ options at PG and PF. And, yes, even C offers some depth on Wednesday. You don’t believe me? Check ‘er out for yourself. It’s a cornucopia of lovely goodness where the Big-Man is concerned. Anyway, that’s one strategy I’ll be employing on Wednesday. How about you?
POINT GUARD TARGETS
- Chris Paul vs. ORL ($10,000) – I’m geeked. There are just too many fancy options at PG on Wednesday. Can I play them all? I’d be happy going with Paul, John Wall, Rajon Rondo, Ty Lawson, and a bunch more. There are just so many groovy plays. Unfortunately, you have to narrow down the choices. I like Paul a but more than the others if I’m looking to spend 9-10K at the PG spot. Why? It’s all about his individual OPRK (Opponent Rank vs. Position). Paul has the best matchup of the bunch, unless you want to include Brandon Knight in the mix. I consider him a slight step down option although he’s certainly a better value. Read below.
- Brandon Knight vs. BKN ($7,500) – This is the second day in a row I’ve got Knight listed here and I don’t feel bad about it at all. No, I’m not lazy, just taking advantage of a value when I see one. Knight gets to face the Nets, which are by no means defensive wizards against point guards. Plus, Knight is putting up 37.3 FPPG at 7.5K while players like Kyrie Irving (37.7 FPPG at 8K), Ty Lawson (34.2 FPPG at 7.9K) and Deron Williams (34.4 FPPG at 7.4K) just don’t provide the oomph that Knight does. You’re just getting more for the money in Knight.
- Michael Carter-Williams vs. BOS ($6,900) – Don’t be surprised to see Carter-Williams’ salary jump up quite a bit over the next few games. We’ve already seen a $900 bump up since his return from injury on November 13 against the Mavericks, so don’t think that he’s settled into a groove any time soon. There’s still room for growth in his game, which means growth in his salary. I like the matchup enough and consider him a solid value at the 6.9K price.
- Patrick Beverley vs LAL ($5,000) – This game is quite a mismatch for DFS owners to take advantage of. We know how poorly the Lakers have played defensively to date, and I seem to remind you every chance I get. Beverley is a consistent producer and will net you points and rebounds, and land you some steals too from the PG slot.
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
- James Harden vs. LAL ($10,300) – What’s the over/under on how many Rockets players I’ll suggest for Wednesday? Hmm. I think I’ll stay away since I could end up suggesting the entire team. Harden is about as obvious as it gets, but I can’t let myself submit this blog entry without mentioning Harden’s name. Harden. And, again, Harden.
- Eric Bledsoe vs. DET ($6,600) – Now, I could get lazy and plop Kobe Bryant’s name down again like I did for Tuesday’s games, but I won’t. By now, I know you expect better of me. Right? So, go ahead and get DeMar DeRozan in there. Haha. What’s funny is that while DeRozan is a quality guy you can count on each night, he does have a poor OPRK matchup. Something to keep in mind. So, that leads me to Eric Bledsoe who is actually not a bad value at 6.6K while being a borderline “stud” option. Did you know that Bledsoe only made one free throw against the Clippers last week for ONE point in the game, but he managed to still get 28.0 fantasy points on the day? He shot 0-for-6 from the field, but racked up 10 assists, six rebounds and three steals – dude does it all. While Bledsoe’s shot can be inconsistent at times, I like him enough to play him for the price. You gotta dig his overall output statistically.
- Avery Bradley vs. PHI ($5,000) – Bradley just keeps chugging along. Nothing fancy from him, but you do get consistent 20-point production on a nightly basis. The 76ers matchup with a – 16.9 point differential is just so attractive to me for a guy like Bradley. Look for Bradley to have one of his highest point outputs of the season on Wednesday.
- Gerald Green vs. DET ($4,100) – Tread lightly here. You could get a boom-night from Green and land 40 points, or get a bust-night landing nothing from him. The Pistons provide enough of a mismatch on defense that I’m taking a chance on Green. Dyn-O-mite!
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
- Carmelo Anthony vs. MIN ($9,400) – I could list LeBron James here, since he’s kind of matchup proof, but the Spurs won’t make it easy on him. That’s why I prefer locking in Anthony. I think Anthony hits his 37.5 FPPG average facing the Timberwolves, but James won’t hit his 48.4 average facing the Spurs. I’ve got James falling into the 30’s somewhere, and while that’s not horrible he is $1,400 more than Anthony. Why pay for LeBron when you’ll get the same production out of Anthony for less? Yeah, see how my mind works?
- Tobias Harris vs. LAC ($7,300) – Career year anyone? That’s what Harris is doing right now, making DFS owners take notice of his skill set. He scores, gets rebounds and steals the ball. Over his last 10 games played, Harris has had four games of 40 or more fantasy points.
- Paul Pierce vs. DAL ($5,400) – Gosh, I love seeing Paul Pierce still playing the game. Even at his age he still makes things happen, and DFS owners can use him in their lineups too! For giving over 20 FPPG over his last six games, Pierce’s salary hasn’t really jumped over the last week or so. I like Pierce to find his shot on Wednesday.
- Evan Turner vs. PHI ($4,300) – I won’t keep talking about the poor 76ers and their lack of a defense, or worse yet an offense, but Turner provides excellent value and consistency. He’s been netting around 25 minutes a game over his last four played, so that bodes well for him meeting his FPPG average of 18.5. I actually expect more though.
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
- Tim Duncan vs. CLE ($8,200) – Blake Griffin and Kevin Love are the sexy names at PF on Wednesday, but it’s Duncan that draws my attention. He had a stinker of a game against the 76ers last time out, but that’s because he was held out of action due to a large lead. That makes sense. And, that’s why you don’t see a huge decrease in his salary either. Duncan puts up similar production to Griffin and Love while costing you less. Save the bucks, go with Duncan.
- Zach Randolph vs. TOR ($7,500) – I’ve always been a Z-Bo fan; however, his inconsistent nature is a tad maddening at times. Just look at his rebound production over the last week to get an idea. Usually when Z-Bo is pulling the ball down, you can expect him to have a great night. But on nights where he falls short of rebounding expectations, so do his fantasy points. Still, I like him against the Raptors even with the matchup not being the best for him. Give me Z-Bo over Greg Monroe, Dirk Nowitzki and David West. Okay, kidding on West – he’s not ready to return to action quite yet.
- Markieff Morris vs. DET ($6,800) – I usually don’t like going with players right after a monster game when they haven’t given monster games yet. But, sometimes you have to go against what you normally do. Morris won’t have a 50-plus night, although 35 points is not out of the question. I like him to get on a nice fantasy point run over the next week or so.
- Boris Diaw vs. CLE ($4,200) – Not only do I like Diaw, I really, really like Diaw. I’m gonna tell my best friend that I like him. Hopefully, he can keep keep it a secret so Diaw never finds out I like him. Wanna know a cool feature? Check out the 10-Game Log tab on Diaw and then look at his minutes played and his fantasy points scored. I mean, wow. Diaw is Mr. Consistency, isn’t he? In this price range, it’s way, way cool to know what you’re going to get on a nightly basis regardless of the opponent. I like you, Diaw.
- Al Jefferson vs. IND ($7,500) – As much as it pains me not to list Nikola Vucevic here, I’ll change things up a bit. Plus, I really like what you’re getting from Jefferson for the price. There are actually quite a few centers on Wednesday that provide solid enough value to get into your lineup. Jefferson’s numbers have declined over the last few games played but I really like him to bounce back facing the Pacers who can’t seem to find a rhythm as a team. Jefferson will take advantage on the inside.
- Marc Gasol vs. TOR ($7,400) – I like Gasol for the same reason I dig on Jefferson – the value. I know it doesn’t look like a tremendous savings, but I just don’t see that it’s necessary to spend big bucks on Vucevic. Dwight Howard? Tough call considering the Lakers matchup for him, but I’d save the money and spend elsewhere.
- Brook Lopez vs. MIL ($6,600) – Aside from Lopez’ 2-for-8 night from the field against the Heat on Monday, he’s been playing good basketball. Lopez only dropped $100, and I think he should’ve dipped a bit more. That’s okay, however, since Lopez has a solid OPRK matchup. Can we just get the guy to rebound like he used to do at one time in his career?
- Steven Adams vs. DEN ($4,700) – Adams has been surprisingly consistent to this point and gives DFS owners an unassuming name to lock in if spending big bucks elsewhere. The Nuggets give up 107.1 points per game on average and Adams has a chance to really put up some fantasy points. Don’t be shocked if you get a double-double out of Adams on Wednesday.
Good luck on Wednesday! Catch me on Twitter @TheRolyPolyBoy