Today’s NBA Targets looks at a 2-game NBA playoff slate. We will have a look at the studs, sleepers, and mid-range players you want to have rotating in your lineups.
Tuesday’s Playoff Contest
POINT GUARD TARGETS
Stephen Curry vs. MEM ($10,700) – It’s conference semi-finals time! And, we know who to count on for fantasy points, don’t we? Curry is a machine and can’t be stopped, so feel free to lock him in even at this price. Everyone’s NBA-superhero-point guard is averaging 56.6 FPPG over his last three games.
John Wall @ ATL ($9,400) – First, don’t worry about Wall missing this game – he’ll suit up. Second, Wall is consistently providing top-shelf production for DFS owners by scoring double-digit points and assists over his last four playoff games, while netting a block and a steal per game in the process. Oh, and let’s not forget about Wall’s rebounding – dude has stepped things up in a gigantic way, and I don’t see the Hawks’ defense being able to stop Wall at all.
Mike Conley @ GS ($5,300) – The word is that Conley will be ready to go for Tuesday’s game, but, of course, you’ll want to keep yourself apprised of the latest game information before tip-off. I don’t see Conley getting tons of minutes, but 20-25 is what I’m expecting and I like the injury-reduced price on him at $5.3K. Conley is a risk, but worth taking the chance considering the other options available.
Dennis Schroder @ ATL ($3,600) – If you’re digging deep at point guard, consider Schroder. He won’t get more than 15-20 minutes, but the guy plays good basketball in the time that he nets. Over his last two playoff contests, Schroder has given DFS owners 18.50 fantasy points in 17.50 MPG.
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
Klay Thompson vs. MEM ($7,600) – Thompson has only given us one game where he’s hit the 40’s in fantasy points during the playoffs, and while he’s not a bad play… he’s a safe play. Thompson will give you 30-35 fantasy points, but he’s a bit capped considering the entourage he’s got supporting him.
Bradley Beal @ ATL ($7,300) – Beal’s ankle is healing up enough that he’ll be on the court for Tuesday’s contest, and I’m thankful that he is, mainly since I’m getting tired of Klay Thompson not giving me that uber-ceiling performance I want. Not that Thompson is a bad choice (as you read above), but if I want a bit more risk at the SG slot on Tuesday I’m running with him over Thompson. Beal has been giving the same production as Thompson over the playoffs for less salary. A decent value, Beal is, and I like his chances of hitting 40-plus points over Thompson on Tuesday, which is why he’s just a bit groovier to me than Thompson this lovely NBA day.
Kyle Korver vs. WAS ($6,400) – Korver let some of us down last game out, coming off his Friday fantasy contribution of 46.5 points, but look for Korver to get his shot back on track (5-of-15 last game) and sink 4-to-5 three-pointers.
Courtney Lee @ GS ($4,600) – Lee gets tons of minutes for the Grizzlies, but his fantasy points are driven by his ability to sink the ball. So, when Lee’s shot is off? It can get ugly, since Lee doesn’t give much help when it comes to rebounding or assists. Still, Lee will give you 20-25 fantasy points for a reasonable $4.6K.
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
DeMarre Carroll vs. WAS ($7,200) – Carroll is the only SF I feel comfortable putting here. Sure, he’s the only stud-type SF anyway, but Carroll has really stepped up his game averaging almost 35 FPPG over his last five playoff games – about 9 points higher than his seasonal FPPG average.
Tony Allen vs. POR ($5,100) – Since I put Allen’s name here last week, his salary has jumped up $800. Allen has averaged a bit over 31 FPPG over his last three games, which is a HUGE jump up over what we’re used to seeing from him. Why? Well, it’s likely due to Mike Conley missing time, but, with Conley back in action on Tuesday, Allen probably only get you 20-25 fantasy points. But, I’m good with that; plus, it’s possible that Conley’s minutes are limited.
Harrison Barnes vs. MEM ($4,700) – I was going to list Paul Pierce here, but after looking at Barnes I like what I see a smidge better. Barnes is putting up the same amount of fantasy production as Pierce over his last three games, but at a significantly lower salary ($700 savings) – easy choice between the two.
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
Paul Millsap vs. WAS ($8,600) – I’m listing three stud-PF’s for you to consider, as the other choices are yuck-yuck and not worth spending your salary dollars on. Millsap is stepping up at the perfect time for the Hawks in the playoffs, averaging a tad under 50 fantasy points over his last two games. He’s not the best value of the trio I have listed here, as that honor would go to Draymond Green, but Millsap is a safe and reliable play at PF for the price.
Draymond Green vs. MEM ($8,300) – Green’s minutes were cut a bit last game out, as the Warriors beat up on the Grizzlies pretty good in Game 1. With a good fourth-quarter lead, Green saw some extra bench time. Don’t expect that in Game 2 of the semi-final conference match, where we should see Green snatching down rebounds, dishing and scoring, all while being the master that he is on defense. For the price, there isn’t a better stud-value player on the books tonight. Don’t hesitate to roster Green.
Zach Randolph @ GS ($7,100) – It looks like there may be some life left in Randolph just yet in these thar playoffs. Randolph pumped things up a bit with 38.25 fantasy points in Game 1, and I like him to be just as heavily involved in the offense in Game 2. Randolph poses the biggest risk of the three I list here, but you do get a big drop in price for taking that risk. Just be aware that he’s scored a low of 23.25 fantasy points in the playoffs, so he can certainly disappear. Another idea? Roster Randolph in your UTIL slot while taking advantage of Green, or Millsap, for your PF slot.
Marc Gasol @ GS ($8,500) – Gasol is your guaranteed option on Tuesday at center, so the price tag doesn’t bother me one bit. It’s finding those value-types that usually make or break your lineup, but, hey, you’ve got to have the “for sure” players you can count on, right? Gasol is just that.
Al Horford vs. WAS ($7,900) – I wish Horford gave us more consistency from game-to-game, so I list him here with an asterisk. I’d rather spend the difference on Gasol myself if choosing between the two, just because I know what I’m going to get with Gasol. Horford is a wonderful player, but one night it’s 28 fantasy points, then the next it’s 54. Do you have a good gut feeling on Horford? Because that’s the only reason I roster him over Gasol.
Marcin Gortat @ ATL ($7,000) – Gortat is one of my favorites on Tuesday, providing major value. What you’re getting in return for the dollars spent? Lovely. Gortat has averaged 45.2 FPPG over his last three contests, and while there’s some skepticism on him keeping things up, I’d rather go with him over Horford as well saving
Pero Antic vs. WAS ($2,400) – I know, you have to be thinking is there anyone in the $2K range that I can actually use on Tuesday? I can see taking a chance on Antic if you’re loading up at PF and PG, and really, really need to squeeze someone below the $3K mark at center. Over his last five playoff games, Antic is giving owners 12 FPPG in 16.3 MPG. Again, this is a really huge dig-deep play in Antic, so buyer beware. Still, there’s something to be said about a guy that you know you can count on for double-digit fantasy points at this price.
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