After a Saturday off from NBA DFS, we return to the rolling two-day slates with the San Antonio Spurs heading to Golden State for Game One of the Western Conference Finals Sunday and the Boston Celtics and Washington Wizards playing a deciding Game 7 on Monday.
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John Wall – WAS at BOS – $10,900 – Wall was an absolute hero in Game 6 with his clutch shooting, and there is not much else to say. He, of course, has performed better at home than on the road in this series, but he knows the stakes better than anyone as he looks to move into the conversation as one of the top-10 players in the league.
Stephen Curry – GSW vs SAS – $8,800 – In these rolling two-game slates, I tend to prefer rostering players on the second day, but I am more than willing to make an exception for the 2014-15 NBA MVP. We have to think that Kawhi Leonard will be tasked with slowing down the ruthlessly efficient Kevin Durant and that Danny Green will square off against Klay Thompson, so that leaves Patty Mills or the Spurs rookie from the University of Washington, Dejounte Murray left on Curry. Advantage Steph!
Other Options – Isaiah Thomas ($8,600)
Patty Mills – SAS at GSW – $5,400 – Mills was solid in three regular season games against the ‘Dubs with 20.5 minutes per game and 23.6 DKPTs. He should see 30+ minutes and be able to flirt with the 30 fantasy point plateau, which is a solid return on his still reasonable price tag.
Shaun Livingston – GSW vs SAS – $2,400 – With Golden State having had a handful of days to relax, there is a chance they could put the wood to the Spurs and as double-digit favorites, that is the key to Livingston seeing 10+ minutes and being able to out produce his extreme coupon clipping price tag. Tournaments only, but he could be the leverage play we need to work in some of the tippy top options.
Other Options – Marcus Smart ($5,000)
Avery Bradley – BOS vs WAS – $5,800 – Bradley has thrived in small ball scenarios over the last two games of this series averaging 36 mpg, sinking 11 of 18.5 from the field and cruising to a tick over 41 DraftKings points. This is a significant increase over his regular season production, but he has been much better at home and looks to be dealing with his hip pointer issues.
Marcus Smart – BOS vs WAS – $5,000 – Smart continues to be overlooked by daily fantasy gamers and he should be in line for something near 30 DraftKings points in this series deciding tilt.
Other Options – Bradley Beal ($7,200)
Jonathan Simmons – SAS at GSW – $4,600 – Simmons has seen his price jump $1,500 from last weekend, and while his potential upside will be capped by the return of Kawhi Leonard, he is clearly in the Spurs’ plans and gasp may have earned the trust of head coach Gregg Popovich. Continued production in the mid-20 fantasy point range is likely, and while his ceiling is capped, he does have a solid floor going forward and gets a boost with his eligibility at small forward and shooting guard.
Andre Iguodala – GSW vs SAS – $4,500 – Don’t sleep on the veteran who should see nearly 30 minutes guarding the plethora of San Antonio wings in this series.
Danny Green – SAS at GSW – $4,400 – While it can be frustrating to roster Danny Green, he should be on the court mirroring Klay Thompson and neutralizing one of the best shooters in The Association. He will likely be one of the overlooked options on Sunday, which can work to our advantage and savings.
Other Options – Manu Ginobili ($3,400)
Kawhi Leonard – SAS at GSW – $10,300 – Leonard missed the surprising Game 6 clinching victory by San Antonio, on the road no less. He allegedly is going to be a full go on Sunday. The only fear is that he will be expending more energy on his defensive assignment against Kevin Durant and may not surpass 40 DraftKings points. This leaves him as a tournament only play for me.
Jae Crowder – BOS vs WAS – $6,100 – Crowder matches up well against Washington as he can guard both forward positions. While he does not have eye-popping stats, he is solid, and it is hard to see him getting less than 25 DraftKings points, though breaking through the low-30s is definitely a stretch. Consider him a building block in all formats with home court advantage.
Other Options – Kevin Durant ($9,900), Otto Porter ($6,300)
Other Options – Andre Iguodala ($4,500), Jonathan Simmons ($4,600)
Kevin Durant – GSW vs SAS – $9,900 – If you cannot manage to get KD in your lineups, then look to Draymond Green – $7,900 or with their multi-position eligibility, if you have the means, go for both. Again “game theory” would have us choosing these two on the slate where they are in the second game, but it is hard to argue with rolling them out on Sunday.
LaMarcus Aldridge – SAS at GSW – $7,000 – At this price point, LMA is likely going to be quite popular. Just keep in mind, most of his production occurs when Kawhi Leonard is off the court.
Other Options – Kawhi Leonard ($10,300)
David West – GSW at UTA – $3,600 – Salary relief only, but West is likely to be in the mix against his former mates who tend to roll out multiple bigs.
Markieff Morris – WAS at BOS – $5,900 – One of the 2016-2017 season’s most infuriating players, we have all been burned more than once by Morris. He has been much better at home this series, but he does have a puncher’s chance at 35-40 DraftKings points and with him being in the second game of this Sunday-Monday slate, he will likely be less popular.
Other Options – Kelly Olynyk ($3,900)
Al Horford – BOS vs WAS – $7,100 – Consider Big Al in your lineups as he has topped 40+ DraftKings points in all three games in Boston this series.
Pau Gasol – SAS at GSW – $5,700 – In my humblest of assessments, Boom Boom Pau is going to be a key asset in any Spurs’ effort for this championship series. Because the Warriors are able to attack from a variety of ways, it will be likely that the elder Gasol brother sees more minutes since he will not be directly targeted like he was by Houston with the Harden/Capela pick-n-roll play. I am confident in him for the first game of this series on Sunday, but if it goes well, do not be afraid to target him as a core option on the rolling two-game slates when San Antonio is on the back half.
Other Options – LaMarcus Aldridge ($7,000)
Here is where we can find our differentiation plays in tournaments by looking at secondary players. Kelly Olynyk – $3,900 has been a thorn in the Wizards’ side and should be flirting with 20 DraftKings points with his upside and the low-teens as his floor. Ian Mahinmi – $2,800 is an interesting option who should see double-digit fantasy points on his low end, but the mid-to-upper teens if teammate Marcin Gortat – $5,500 ends up fatigued or in foul trouble. Wild cards Zaza Pachulia – $2,700 (who will be on the majority of my squads) and the very risky, but a player with massive blowout upside JaVale McGee – $2,600 very well may be our most “profitable” players.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is emac) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.