We’ve got just one game this evening, but the game slate includes both games tipping tomorrow, so we’ve got a three game slate that begins tonight. Let’s take a look at some of this slates players to target.
Stephen Curry – GS vs. POR– $9,700 – Curry returned to action after missing two weeks with a knee sprain and went off for 63.75 DraftKings fantasy points. He did not start on Monday night, but did play 37 minutes off the bench. Barring any setbacks, Curry should be back in the starting lineup for Game 5 in a situation where the Warriors could put an end to the series. The Blazers have allowed +2.12 points above expectation to opposing point guards, and Curry is averaging 54.8 fantasy points against the Blazers this season. He’s currently the third most expensive point guard on the slate and one could argue that he should be the most expensive point guard. That alone should give you enough confidence to roster Curry.
Russell Westbrook – OKC at SAN– $11,100 – Aside from Game 1 versus the Spurs, Westbrook has been dominant in this series. He has topped 50 fantasy points in three consecutive games and has flirted with a triple-double on several occasions. The Spurs aren’t a team I usually feel comfortable targeting because they play good defense, but it’s pretty clear that they don’t have an answer for Westbrook. He’s averaging 48.7 fantasy points per game against them over the course of the season, and he has stepped up his game against them in the playoffs. He offers tons of upside and due to Curry’s low price; we could see Westbrook’s ownership be lower than it should be in a three game slate.
Other Options – Damian Lillard $9,800, Kyle Lowry $7,500
Tony Parker – SA vs. OKC – $5,200 – If you’re looking to take a different approach and save up at the point guard position, you should consider Parker. He is reasonably priced and has topped 28 fantasy points in two consecutive games. He has played 30+ minutes in each of those games and has scored at least 19 real points. The last two games have been his best of this postseason and he should carry that momentum over to this game. Parker needs 26 fantasy points to pay off his salary, which is something he is clearly capable of doing. I personally would pay up at point guard, but if you don’t then Parker makes the most sense.
Other Options – Cory Joseph $3,300
Dwayne Wade – MIA at TOR – $8,300 – Wade is playing at a high level right now and is proving that he still has what it takes to be an elite player in the league. In this series against the Raptors, he’s averaging 37.5 minutes, 27.25 points, 6 rebounds, 1.3 steals, 3.3 assists, and 42.4 fantasy points per game. He has scored fewer than 40 fantasy points in just one of the four games of the second round. His usage rate is through the roof and he has attempted over 20 shots in three of the four games. With a win, the Heat will go back to Miami with the chance to put this series away. Wade knows how important that is and he will come out playing his A game. The Raptors have been unable to contain Wade and I doubt that changes here.
Other Options – Klay Thompson $9,000, C.J. McCollum $6,900
Allen Crabbe – POR at GS – $3,800 – It’s difficult to find value in a three game slate, but Crabbe is averaging 29.7 minutes per game in his last seven games and is priced below $4,000. Granted, his playing time doesn’t always lead to production, but he has exceeded estimated value in seven of his last 10 games by an average of 3.55 points.
“So long as his minutes remain consistent, I’m okay with taking a flier on Crabbe at this price”
Both of these teams play paced up and there will be plenty of scoring. So long as his minutes remain consistent, I’m okay with taking a flier on Crabbe at this price. He has potential to 7X his salary and offers an 18 point floor which is just about what he needs to hit value. He makes a lot of sense if you’re trying to fit in some studs in your lineup.
Other Options – Danny Green $4,100, Terrence Ross $2,600
Kawhi Leonard– SAS vs. OKC – $8,900 – Leonard has not been lights out in this series, but did display his upside in Game 3, where he went off for 54.75 fantasy points. For the series, he’s averaging 34.3 minutes, 22.8 points, 7.3 rebounds, 1.8 steals, 3.3 assists, and 41.3 fantasy points per game. He has topped 34 fantasy points in each game this series. Granted, that’s not what you’re paying top dollar for, but the good news is that he has been consistent. For what it’s worth, he averaged 48.2 fantasy points per game against the Thunder in the regular season, so he can turn it on at any moment. He’s the best player in San Antonio and has shown before that he can be reliable in clutch situations. He makes a fine GPP play.
Other Options – Kevin Durant $9,500
Joe Johnson – MIA at TOR – $5,100 – Johnson is having a solid series despite not making a single three pointer in any game. In the second round of the playoffs, he is averaging 40.25 minutes (three OT games), 14.5 points, 5.3 rebounds, 2.3 assists, 1.3 steals, and 28.4 fantasy points per game. He has topped 30 points in three of the four games. At this price, that’s about 6X his salary making him a great investment. I’m planning on saving at this position, making Johnson my favorite SF of the slate.
Other Options – Al-Farouq Aminu $6,000, DeMarre Carroll $4,700
Draymond Green – GS vs. POR – $11,800 – Green has blown up in this round. I know, I know, Curry hasn’t played and his return could cause Green’s production and usage to go down a notch, but Green remains a triple-double threat and can clearly play at a high level. He’s averaging an absurdly high 63.2 fantasy points per game in this series.
“There aren’t many players that are capable of a triple-double in this slate, but he is one of them”
Even when Curry returned in Game 4 and went off, Green managed to score 61.75 fantasy points. He stuffs the stat sheet and I expect that to continue even with Curry on the court. While the chances of a 60+ fantasy point game are unlikely, the upside for that type of game is still there for Green. There aren’t many players that are capable of a triple-double in this slate, but he is one of them. If you can manage to get him in your lineup without hurting the rest of your team, don’t hesitate to do so.
Other Options – LaMarcus Aldridge $8,600
David West – SAS vs. OKC – $3,200 – West has played 25 minutes in each of the last two games. He’s coming off of a 21.25 fantasy point game where he scored eight points and grabbed seven boards. His minutes have not been consistent, but if he’s on the court for 20+ minutes, he has a good shot to pay off his salary. He’s averaging 21.1 fantasy points in games where he plays 20 or more minutes this postseason. It’s only been three games that he’s received those types of minutes, but it looks promising that he’s received 25 minutes in back to back games. This is a very volatile play, but if you’re looking to pay up for some of the high salary guys, you need to find some type of salary cushion and West provides just that.
Other Options – Luol Deng $6,200
Bismack Biyombo – TOR vs. MIA – $4,400 – Full disclosure, I’m expecting Whiteside to sit in Game 5, which is why I’m not writing him up. The center position is probably the weakest position of the slate as far as star power goes. However, there are several interesting plays and Biyombo is my favorite. He will once again get the start in place of the injured Jonas Valanciunas and when that happens, Biyombo is all but a lock for a double-double. In Game 4, he scored 13 points, grabbed 13 boards, and blocked two shots. That performance was good for 39.5 fantasy points. That type of stat line is not out of the question for him in Game 5. With no Whiteside, Miami’s frontcourt is very small and could struggle to contain Biyombo on the glass. He’s $4,400 and needs just 22 fantasy points to pay off his salary. I’m expecting him to crush value in this spot, making him a great play in all formats.
Other Options – Steven Adams $6,100, Mason Plumlee $5,600, Andrew Bogut $4,300