Today’s NBA targets breakdown takes a look at tonight’s games, Saturday March 7th and pinpoints some studs and sleepers you might want to target at each position.
POINT GUARD TARGETS
Damian Lillard at MIN ($8,000) – Lillard has struggled with his shot in the last two games, but tonight’s matchup could be exactly what the doctor ordered. He takes on the Timberwolves who he has played well against this season, averaging 42 fantasy points per game. Minnesota surrenders 51 fantasy points per game to opposing point guards. He’s failed to score more than 14 real points in the past two games, but should be able to bounce back in scoring tonight.
Other Studs: John Wall $8,700, Ricky Rubio $7,900, Kyrie Irving $7,400, and Tyreke Evans $7,200
Patrick Beverly at DEN ($4,300) – Beverly may not be a sexy play or seem like value, but tonight he faces a team he has found success against in the past. He averages 31.5 fantasy points against the Nuggets. Denver has trouble guarding point guards, allowing 49.9 fantasy points per game. Tonight is one of those nights that Beverly should exceed value and at this price he provides some wiggle room for you to spend on some of the top salaried players tonight.
Other Values: Jeff Teague $6,600, Brandon Knight $6,400, Isaiah Canaan $4,600, and Ray McCallum $4,000
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
James Harden at DEN ($10,500) – It’s not realistic to expect a repeat of last night from Harden. However, expecting another big night is not out of the question. Harden is averaging 50 fantasy points per game this season, but is averaging 63 fantasy points per game against the Nuggets. You can bank on at least 50 fantasy points from Harden on any given night, so it’s not a bad idea to dish out some money on him this evening.
Other Studs: Eric Bledsoe $8,100 and Dwayne Wade $7,200 (if active)
J.R. Smith vs. PHO ($5,500) – Despite the recent inflation in his price, Smith remains a decent value play. To hit value, you need about 30 fantasy points from him. He’s topped 30 fantasy points in five of the last 10 games. This is a favorable matchup for Smith. The Suns surrender 44 fantasy points per game for the season, but have been giving up 50 in their last 10 games. Keep in mind; he’s a better tournament play because he doesn’t have a consistently high floor.
Other Values: Rodney Stuckey $5,800, Kyle Korver $5,200, and Arron Affalo $4,000
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
LeBron James vs. PHO ($10,500) – James let down his owners last night as he didn’t have a Lebron type of night, but he should get back on track this evening. In the last five games, Lebron has topped 58 fantasy points three times. In his last game against the Suns, he scored 50.3 fantasy points. My only concern would be a potential blowout, but I’ll take my chances.
Other Studs: Rudy Gay $7,200
Nicolas Batum at MIN ($6,200) – The Trail Blazers lost Wesley Mathews for the season, if one player should see an increase in usage rate, it’s Batum. In the last six games, Batum has topped 38 fantasy points four times. That includes three 40+ performances. He’s averaging 30.9 fantasy points in two games this season against Minnesota. He’s finding his rhythm and shouldn’t have trouble continuing to play well. Roll with him while he’s hot.
Other values: Josh Smith $6,400, Danilo Gallinari $5,700, DeMarre Carroll $4,700, and Tony Allen $3,800
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
Anthony Davis vs. MEM ($10,800) – The matchup is not ideal for Davis and his history this season against the Grizzlies this season, but the same can be said about some of the other high-level option power forwards as some of them have also played below expectations against their opponents. Plus can we really dismiss Davis’ abilities and ceiling? No! In his first game back from injury, he scored 81.75 fantasy points and he followed that up with a 57.5 fantasy point game. Let’s face it, he’s one of the best players in the league and is always capable of putting up monster numbers in any giving game. While the Grizzlies are solid defending power forwards, they’ve been a tad more susceptible against them lately, allowing five more fantasy points than usual. Don’t over think it, give him a go.
Other Studs: LaMarcus Aldridge $9,200, Paul Milsap $8,200, Kevin Love $7,800, and Zach Randolph $7,400
Andrea Bargnani vs. IND ($5,000) – It was only a matter of time before his price went up. Just last week Bargnani was $3,800 and a steal. Boy how things have changed. However, his price is still economical and he could be considered solid value. After all, he needs 25 fantasy points to hit value and he’s been able to top that three times in his last five games. In fact his last game was against the Pacers and he went off for 41 fantasy points. He’s averaging 17 real points and 30 fantasy point in his last five games. He already torched the Pacers once, why not a second time?
Other Values: Markieff Morris $6,300, Kenneth Faried $6,100, David West $5,600, and Ersan Ilyasova $4,700
DeMarcus Cousins at MIA ($9,600) – So long as Boogie remains below a $10,000 salary, I’m buying. Consider this like getting extra bacon on your sub and not get charged for it. Cousins has been a bit off in recent games, but what he brings to the table on any given night is good enough for me. He averages nearly 50 fantasy points per game and has topped that three times in the last seven games. Bottom line is that you’re paying about $1,000 less than most of the high-end players but still have someone who can always go off for 55+ fantasy points. What’s not to like?
Other Studs: Hassan Whiteside $8,800, Marc Gasol $7,600, and Al Horford $7,400
Marcin Gortat at MIL ($6,100) – Gortat has been playing at a high level in recent games. His season average is 27.7 fantasy points per game, but he is averaging 36.4 fantasy points in his last six games. Gortat has topped 33 fantasy points in three consecutive games. In two games against the Bucks this season, he is averaging 38.3 fantasy points. His price has steadily moved up, but it’s not high enough to disregard him.
Other values: Gorgui Dieng $5,200 and Robin Lopez $4,000