Happy Tuesday all! There are eight games on the board tonight, but only six games on the main slate which are what I will be focusing on. Of the six games, we have a few that should be fantasy friendly environments. With that said, let’s jump right into the targets for this evening’s main slate.
Kemba Walker ($8,000) – Walker has been playing really well at home as of late, averaging 42.4 fantasy points per game in Charlotte over his last six. During that stretch, he has two 50+ fantasy point performances and a couple of 40+ fantasy point outings. While he also has a lower floor than some of the other top options, he offers nice upside and comes at a reasonable price. The Bucks are giving up over 52 fantasy points per game to point guards in their last 10 games and over 59 fantasy points per game in their last five. Walker will likely go overlooked tonight, and if you are going with a balanced lineup, he fits in.
Other Options – Stephen Curry $9,400, Dennis Schröder $7,800, Ricky Rubio $7,400
T.J. McConnell ($5,500) – The Sixers have a fantastic matchup tonight against the woeful Nets. Brooklyn ranks 26th in defense rating and plays up in pace. They are giving up the second-most fantasy points, fourth most points, second most assists, third most rebounds and most steals per game to opposing point guards. McConnell’s bread and butter are dimes and steals, which he should have no trouble getting this evening. The one concern I have is that Sergio Rodriguez has been cutting into his minutes as of late; however, it does not concern me enough to avoid McConnell.
Other Options – Malcolm Brogdon $5,100, Ish Smith $5,000 (if Reggie Jackson sits), Kris Dunn $3,300
James Harden ($12,300) – Harden is the best player on the board today, and I don’t think it’s particularly close. He is averaging 1.86 fantasy points per minute over his last five games and he’s eclipsed 70 fantasy points in four of those contests. This matchup between the Rockets and the Warriors has a 233 projected point total and it should stay close, so this should certainly be a high-scoring affair. In two games against Golden State this season, Harden has averaged 58.1 fantasy points per game. I would consider that to be his floor tonight, so I’ll be looking to fit him in lineups tonight.
Other Options – Klay Thompson $7,500, Devin Booker $7,400
Eric Gordon ($5,300) – He has played at least 30 minutes in each of his last six games and has scored double-digit points in seven straight. He has taken a hit to his usage since Lou Williams joined the team, capping his ceiling a bit, but Gordon should see 30+ minutes in what should be a very fast-paced game with plenty of scoring. In addition, with Ryan Anderson off the court, Gordon sees a nice bump in usage.
Other Options – Andre Iguodala $5,000
Giannis Antetokounmpo ($9,700) – Antetokounmpo is coming off of a subpar performance against the Bulls, but I am expecting a bounce back game tonight against Charlotte. The Hornets have jumped from ninth in defense rating for the season, to 20th in defense rating over their last 10 games. Prior to his last game, Antetokounmpo had topped 60 fantasy points in back-to-back contests. Earlier this season, he went off for 53.8 fantasy points in 38.4 minutes against Charlotte. He offers 60+ point upside and getting him at sub $10,000 is very enticing.
Other Options – Paul George $8,400
Trevor Ariza ($5,600) – Ariza is coming off of a 50 fantasy point game, and while I do not expect a repeat, I can see him carrying that momentum over into this contest for another nice outing. He plays big minutes for the Rockets, averaging 33.9 minutes per game in the month of March. During that stretch, he has averaged 11.6 points. 7.2 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 1.2 steals and 2.3 three-pointers per game. He is a volatile play, but in this matchup, there is a ceiling for him, making him an interesting tournament option.
Other Options – Khris Middleton $6,200, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist $4,700
Dario Saric ($7,700) – Saric has struggled in recent games, scoring fewer than 30 fantasy points in three of his last four contests. However, a matchup against the Nets could be exactly what he needs. Brooklyn has allowed +1.91 points above expectation to opposing power forwards and is giving up the second-most fantasy points per game to the position. They are also ranked 26th in defense rating. Lastly, they surrender the second most rebounds per game to opposing teams with a -3.2 differential. Saric has grabbed 10 rebounds in each of his last two games and is averaging 7.8 rebounds per game since the break. He has scored in double figures in 19 consecutive games and continues to be a force for the Sixers. There is no reason to think he can’t have a dominant performance tonight.
Other Options – Draymond Green $8,100
Sam Dekker ($3,600) – Ryan Anderson will not play tonight, which should open up some extra minutes for Dekker. In the last game, with Anderson out, Dekker played 24 minutes and scored 16.5 fantasy points. While those numbers are not eye-popping, it was the first time he played over 20 minutes since March 8th, which was a game that Anderson also missed. At this price and considering that pace of this game, Dekker is intriguing. If he plays 20+ minutes tonight, he should be able to pay off his salary. It is worth noting that he is a very volatile play, but one that allows you to fit in Harden and can pay off.
Other Options – Ersan Ilyasova $6,000, Gorgui Dieng $5,500, Frank Kaminsky $5,200
Karl-Anthony Towns ($10,100) – If you are not playing James Harden tonight, you have to be thinking about Towns. He gets a favorable matchup against the Pacers who have allowed +3.88 points above expectation to opposing centers and are giving up over 60 fantasy points per game to the position in their last 10. Indiana is also yielding the seventh most rebounds per game to opposing teams with a -2.9 differential. He should dominate in this matchup and come out with a quality performance. He scored 33 points with 11 rebounds, four assists, and two steals the last time he faced the Pacers, which was good for 58 fantasy points.
Other Options – Hassan Whiteside $8,200, Dwight Howard $7,600, Andre Drummond $7,400, Brook Lopez $6,900
Shawn Long ($4,200) – Long has seen his minutes increase in each of the last three games and is averaging well over a fantasy point per minute. During that stretch, he has averaged 19 minutes, 15.3 points, 7.7 rebounds, one steal and 28.1 fantasy points per game. He has topped 30 fantasy points in consecutive games and gets a favorable matchup. The Nets yield the fifth most fantasy points per game to opposing centers and have allowed +4.09 points above expectation to the position. They are also giving up the second most rebounds per game to opposing teams with a -3.2 differential. At this price and considering his recent production with the matchup at hand, Long should have no trouble exceeding value. Jahlil Okafor has already been ruled out for this contest, so Long should see 18-22 minutes tonight.
Other Options – Myles Turner $6,700, Richaun Holmes $6,300, Clint Capela $5,400, Cody Zeller $5,300
Note: Keep a close eye on news prior to lock as this could open up some value plays that were not considered early in the day.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Armando28) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.