Today’s NBA targets breakdown takes a look at tonight’s games, Saturday March 28th and pinpoints some studs and sleepers you might want to target at each position.
POINT GUARD TARGETS
Stephen Curry at MIL ($9,400) – Curry has been playing in recent games. In the last five games, he is averaging 27.0 points, 3.0 rebounds, 8.0 assists,1.8 steals, and 4.2 three-pointers made. In that time span, he’s topped 44 fantasy points three times. In the one game against the Bucks this season, Curry scored 46.8 fantasy points. He remains at the same price, despite playing well and has a good matchup against the Bucks who have been more susceptible to opposing point guards in recent games.
Other Studs: Russell Westbrook $12,900 and Damian Lillard $7,800
Dennis Schroder at CHA ($4,600) – Schroder started in Friday night’s game against the Heat because Jeff Teague sat out with an ankle injury. At this point, it is unsure whether or not Teague will sit this game out as well, but if he does, Schroder is great value. Schroder scored 34.8 fantasy points while filling in for Teague. In fact, he’s topped 30 points in four of his last seven games. If he gets another start tonight, he should easily exceed value. If he doesn’t play, he can still hit value, but it becomes more of a perilous play.
Other Values: Ty Lawson $7,000, Michael Carter-Williams $6,800, and Aaron Brooks $5,800
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
Jimmy Butler vs. NYK ($8,000) – At the most expensive price for shooting guards, Butler isn’t expensive enough to really make a big dent in your wallet. He’s been less explosive as of late, but has still topped 40 fantasy points in three of his last 10 games, including a 50+ point performance. However, the last time that Butler played the Knicks he scored 62.8 fantasy points. Granted, that may be asking for too much, but then again, the Knicks don’t defend well.
Other Studs: Klay Thompson $7,000
Dion Waiters at UTA ($5,000) – This position is thin for value tonight, but after skimming through the options, Waiters stood out the most. In the last five games he’s averaging 32 minutes per game, which is six more minutes than his season average. In that time span, he is averaging 26 fantasy points per game. The lack of consistency he offers can be worrisome, but if you’re looking for a cheaper option at this position that can have that 30+ fantasy point game, he is your guy.
Other Values: Gerald Henderson $5,200 and Kent Bazemore $3,800
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
Gordon Hayward vs. OKC ($7,600) – Hayward returned after missing two games with a shoulder injury and had a solid game against the Nuggets. He scored 24 points, grabbed 7 rebounds, had 3 assists, 1 block, 1 steal, and made one from downtown. He finished the game with 40.75 fantasy points. Tonight he has another against the Thunder. In the last 10 games, the Thunder has surrendered the third most fantasy points per game to opposing small forwards (45.2). Hayward averages 36.2 fantasy points per game against the Oklahoma City, so another productive night shouldn’t be out of the question for Hayward.
Other Studs: Giannis Antetokounmpo $7,300
Wilson Chandler at POR ($5,700) – Much like the shooting guard position, value is thin at small forward. Chandler stood out for a couple of reasons. First the Blazers allow 40 fantasy points per game to opposing small forwards. Secondly, he’s been playing well as of late. He averages 26 fantasy points per game for the season, but in the last 10 games he’s topped that seven times, including four 30+ fantasy point games. The over/under of this game is suggesting that this will be the highest scoring game, which is another reason he grabbed my attention.
Other values: Harrison Barnes $4,600 and Dorell Wright $3,700
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
LaMarcus Aldridge vs. DEN ($8,700) – If not the point guard position, the power forward position is the one to focus on. There are plenty of high-end options that make great plays. Aldridge is the most expensive one, but not by much. Tonight he has a favorable matchup against the Nuggets who surrender 45 fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards. Aldridge has played against Denver three times this season and is averaging 48.9 fantasy points per game. For some reason his price has dropped, but he has still topped 45 fantasy points in five of his last nine games, including two 50+ fantasy point games. Gasol and Aldridge are very close as far as what they have to offer today, but there’s a bigger chance that the Bulls blow out the Knicks which can limit Gasol’s minutes.
Other Studs: Pau Gasol $8,400 and Kenneth Faried $7,400
Ersan Ilyasova vs. GS ($6,700) – If you’re not paying top dollar for a power forward today, maybe Ilyasova can be someone you target. There has been some inflation in his price as of late because of his recent solid play, but it is still at a price where there’s value. In order for him to hit value he needs to score 36.85 fantasy points. He has topped that three times in the last four games. In fact, he’s averaging 37 fantasy points in the last six games. The last time he faced the Warriors he scored 31.5 fantasy points. Look for him to continue his hot streak against the Warriors tonight.
Other Values: Andrea Bargnani $5,800
Enes Kanter at UTA ($7,500) – It appears that the ankle injury didn’t slow down Kanter as he’s posted double-doubles in his two games back from an ankle injury. In fact, he’s posted a double-double in seven consecutive games. This is the first time the Kanter will play against his former team so I’m expecting him to come out strong. He has scored 40 or more fantasy points in six of the last nine games and should continue to see a high usage rate with all the injured players on his team. The matchup isn’t appealing, but of the high-end centers he offers the best bang for your buck.
Other Studs: Rudy Gobert $8,100 and Al Jefferson $6,700
Zaza Pachulia vs. GS ($5,800) – Pachulia has put together some strong performances over the last four games. In two of the games he flirted with a triple double and topped 50 fantasy points. In his last nine games he’s topped 32 fantasy points five times which is 10 more fantasy points than his season average. He’s playing well and has already had success against the Warriors, so there’s a good chance he continues to produce at a high level tonight. In their last meeting, he scored 37.8 fantasy points. All he needs is 31.9 fantasy points to hit value tonight and based on his recent performances he should be able to easily do so.
Other values: Steven Adams $5,800