Get your week started the right way here on Monday by reaching back, leveraging your balance, and ripping right into this tasty, nine-game slate. Find your core values and some studs tonight on a slate that offers very high game totals for you to exploit. If you have any questions for tonight games, fire away on Twitter @JasonWalker_72.
Stephen Curry – GS @ MIN – $10,300 – Holding the Warriors under 80 points and under 20 in a quarter for three quarters and you have a soda can that’s been shaken in a paint mixer and ready to explode. Stephen Curry has a positive matchup against Ricky Rubio and the Timberwolves and may eclipse 30 DK points in the first quarter himself tonight.
Kyrie Irving – CLE vs. DEN – $7,400 – Denver is a bottom five team at defending the point guard position, and Irving has been over 30% raw usage over the past five game. A 213.5 game total and a 112 implied team total put Irving front and center in the scoring bucket, especially so if Kevin Love (questionable, illness) doesn’t go tonight.
Other Options – Isaiah Thomas (vs. ORL, $7,600), Ricky Rubio (vs. GS, $6,800)
George Hill – IND vs. PHL – $4,800 – Hill can do some good damage in plus matchups, evidenced in his 42.25 effort against OKC last time out. Hill has another strong play here against the Sixers, and his cost still being below 5K makes him a nice value again tonight.
Ray McCallum – MEM @ PHX – $3,200 – Tourney play here, but McCallum was given the starting reins last time out and did fine, scoring 25 DK points. If given the same tonight, against the hot mess Suns who are sixth worst in defense over the last 15 games, he’ll exceed that number and make great value again.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope – DET vs. MIL – $5,800 – Who leads the Pistons in field goal attempts per game over the last five games? It’s KCP, who has used that volume to score 20 regular points per game for DET over the same span. KCP plays a ton of minutes, almost 37 per game, and his raw usage is over 21 percent over his last five games, so he’s in a plus spot against the Bucks to continue this run.
“KCP plays a ton of minutes, almost 37 per game, and his raw usage is over 21 percent over his last five games”
Evan Turner – BOS vs. ORL – $5,500 – He’s starting now with Jae Crowder out and scored 37.25 against PHI in his last game. Orlando is a positive matchup for Turner here, and he’s been a strong peripherals (19 DK points per game from non-scoring) player this season for the Celtics.
Other Options – Jimmy Butler (vs. SAC, $7,700), Klay Thompson (@MIN, $6,800), Monta Ellis (vs. PHL, $6,300)
J.R. Smith – CLE vs. DEN – $4,400 – Beware, we’ve entered the streak shooters area of the targets. Smith is the streakiest of shooters, but the Nuggets are more like the Mavericks and Lakers (which Smith scored 30 DK points or higher against) than the Heat and Jazz (where he scored less than 10 DK). If he starts, it’s a great spot against a former team and Gary Harris.
Kyle Korver – ATL vs. WAS – $4,100 – The Hawks are heating up and the offense is beginning to hum a little more. Kent Bazemore is banged up a little and Korver has scored 20 DK points per game over his last five games. This, and the Wizards are in the bottom ten in defending the 3-pt shot this season.
Other Options – Vince Carter (@PHX, $4,000), Avery Bradley (vs. ORL, $5,000)
Paul George – IND vs. PHL – $8,600 – 45 DKPPG over his last five games with 31% raw usage and a plus matchup against the 76ers, who are the second worst team in defensive rating in the league over the last 15 games.
Lance Stephenson – MEM @ PHX – $6,500 – What a run Stephenson has been on since all the injuries have left him with a lot of offensive playmaking responsibilities. Lance has averaged 36 DKPPG over his last five games and that includes the recent stinker against the Clippers. The Suns are a far more fantasy friendly target here, and Lance’s 24% raw usage should aid him in continuing his mid 30s run here.
Other Options – LeBron James (vs. DEN, $9,200), Kawhi Leonard (@CLT, $8,300), Tobias Harris (vs. MIL, $6,200)
Doug McDermott – CHI vs. SAC – $4,100 – It looked like, for a minutes, that Mike Dunleavy would fully assume all roles that McDermott had begun to excel for the Bulls. But over the last five games, McDermott has scored 25.6 DKPPG and had a raw usage number of 21%. He’s coming into his own and now plays one of the most generous 3-pt defenses in the league in the Kings.
Thabo Sefolosha – ATL vs. WAS – $3,600 – With Bazemore banged up, Thabo and Tim Hardaway, Jr. have been picking up the slack, with Sefolosha getting 27 DKPPG over his last five games. With the Wizards handing out 8 steals per game and struggling against wings in general, Thabo is a good fit here.
Other Options – Harrison Barnes (@MIN, $4,200)
DeMarcus Cousins – SAC @ CHI – $10,400 – Cousins has cooled down his epic usage recently, down to a mere 32% raw usage over his last five games, down from the 36-38% he’d been getting in the games previous to these, but it hasn’t slowed his scoring roll, averaging nearly 55 DKPPG and a 20/20 game (points/rebounds) against the Knicks. The Bulls have long accommodated opposing centers, giving up the most offensive rebounds per game and the fourth most opponent rebounds period over the course of the season. Boogie up!
LaMarcus Aldridge – SAS @ CLT – $7,500 – It’s been well documented how LMA has filled in nicely to his role as star in San Antonio. Over the last five games, LMA has had a raw usage total of 30% and averaged 40 DKPPG. He and Kawhi are a two-man wrecking crew who come into Charlotte with an implied team total of 102, and a positive matchup against the Hornets frontcourt.
Other Options – Zach Randolph (@PHX, $6,700), Kevin Love (if plays vs. DEN, $6,700), Jabari Parker (@DET, $5,800)
Myles Turner – IND vs. PHL – $4,900 – Turner was hot, then he was not. Now, below 5K, he’s worth another look in a game where every Pacer can be targeted against the Sixers. Turner’s popularity has slowed, but his role is fairly stable, getting 24% raw usage and 25 DKPPG.
Amir Johnson – BOS vs. ORL – $4,000 – Johnson excelled in a similar spot against the Sixers and Thunder and, at 4K, bears a look as a mid 30s scoring play. The Magic have allowed the seventh most rebounds over the last five games, and Amir has led the Celtics’ in rebounding over their last five games.
Other Options – Channing Frye (vs. DEN, $3,600)
Karl-Anthony Towns – MIN vs. GS – $8,400 – The Warriors are a great target tonight for KAT because he has the athleticism to hang with a small ball lineup and the size that nobody healthy on the Warriors can handle. He’s averaging a 20/10 game for the past 10 games and in a pace-up spot here, could easily pass his 39 DKPPG rate over the same.
“He had 28 DK points in 26 minutes his first time out against ATL, with 10 rebounds”
Marcin Gortat – WAS @ ATL -$6,600 – I love to roster bigs against the Hawks because of all the rebounds they get, and Gortat is not an exception. He had 28 DK points in 26 minutes his first time out against ATL, with 10 rebounds.
Other Options – Jared Sullinger (vs. ORL, $5,500), Andre Drummond (vs. MIL, $7,600)
Marreese Speights – GS @ MIN – $3,900- He burned many with his 10 minutes effort against the Spurs, but there’s no way the Warriors try to win against the taller Timberwolves without Speights, right, he asked nervously? Speights is a raw usage machine, getting 33% usage over the last five games. He is also averaging 9.4 field goal attempts in his 16 minutes per game. Both Andrew Bogut and Festus Ezeli are out and Anderson Varejao looks finished. Mo Speights, please.
Ian Mahinmi – IND @ PHL – $4,800 – Let’s make it a clean sweep for the Pacers by offering Ian Mahinmi as a target, too. The Sixers are dead last in defending the center position, so despite the mere 28 minutes per game over his last five games, Mahinmi is in a value position here.