Today’s NBA targets breakdown takes a look at tonight’s games, Saturday March 21st and pinpoints some studs and sleepers you might want to target at each position.
POINT GUARD TARGETS
Stephen Curry vs. UTA ($9,600) – In big slates, Curry is the best options at times, so in this five game slate, he clearly is the best point guard option. The great news is that he is cheaper the $10,000. He’s been in a bit of a rut lately by his standards. He’s failed to score 20 real points in four of his last six games. On the bright side, he has double digit assists in four of the last five games. You’d think his scoring would be through the roof with the absence of Klay Thompson, but that hasn’t been the case. With that said, Curry is averaging 46 fantasy points against the Jazz this season. He’s matchup proof and has the ability for a 50+ fantasy point game on any giving night.
Other Studs: Stephen Damian Lillard $7,600
Mike Conley vs. POR ($5,800) – Conley returned on Friday night after missing four games with an ankle injury. He logged in 26 minutes and scored 18 fantasy points. Tonight he heads to Portland to take on the Trail Blazers, a team he’s fared well against this season. In two games against them, he’s averaging 44.5 fantasy points. At this price, he can end up providing a great return on investment so long as he plays like he has in the past against Portland. One would only think that would be the case tonight as the Trail Blazers have surrendered 61.2 fantasy points per game in their last five.
Other Values: Reggie Jackson $6,900, George Hill $6,600 and Patrick Beverley $4,500
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
James Harden vs. PHO ($11,200) – The most of expensive player of the night is yours truly, James Harden. This is the most expensive he’s been in a while. Harden takes on the Suns who he has had quite the success against this year. In three games against them, he’s averaging 29.3 real points, 10 rebounds, 8.7 assists, and 63.8 fantasy points. He’s averaging close to a triple double. Harden remains one of the top options when he’s on the court and is always a candidate for a 55+ fantasy point game. He needs 61.6 fantasy points to hit value which is tough to do, but then again, he averages more than that against the Suns.
Other Studs: Eric Bledsoe $8,100
Rodney Stuckey vs. BKN ($6,400) – It’s difficult to think Stuckey is a “value” per say, but with a short slate at hand and not many options, he’s in play and is not a stud. Hence why Reggie Jackson is listed as a value play at the point guard position. Stuckey has been shooting the bar poorly in the last several games. However, tonight that can change as he has a couple of things going for him. First, the Nets are coming off of a triple overtime game against the Bucks, so they must be tired. Second, he dropped 47 fantasy points in their last meeting. Not saying it’s a lock to happen again, but he’s capable of nights like these, so why not against a team he’s already done it against? Lastly, the Nets don’t defend well against shooting guards. They allow 44 fantasy points per game. I’d roll with him in tournaments but less in cash because of his recent woes and inconsistencies.
Other Values: Corey Brewer $5,200
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
Gordon Hayward at GS ($7,700) – Is it me, or do the Jazz play just about every Saturday? I feel like Hayward has been the top option just about every weekend. He heads to Golden State to take on the Warriors. Hayward is averaging 21.4 real points, 5 rebounds, 4.4 assists, 1.6 threes and 1.4 steals over his last five games. He’s filling the stat sheets to say the least. He’s topped 34 fantasy points in four of those last five games. Against the Warriors, Hayward is averaging 36 fantasy points per game. I’d ride this hot streak that he’s on. After all, his salary won’t put a huge dent in your wallet.
Other Studs: None.
Tony Allen vs. POR ($4,500) – Allen has been shooting the ball exceptionally well in his last 10 games. He’s shot 50 percent or more in eight of those games. Granted, this isn’t to be expected for the remainder of the season as he tends to be a streaky shooter, but so long as he’s feeling it, you can justify plugging him into your lineups. Allen is also a good source of steals and has been grabbing more boards than the norm. Conley’s return didn’t have much of an impact last night on Allen’s minutes, so I wouldn’t think it would tonight. At this price, he doesn’t need much to hit value and should have no trouble exceeding.
Other values: Trevor Ariza $6,300, P.J. Tucker $5,500, and Harrison Barnes $4,300
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
LaMarcus Aldridge at MEM ($8,900) – It’s clear that this is the position that is saturated with options for tonight. On paper, Aldridge has a tough matchup against the Grizzlies, but has been up for the challenge against them this year. He’s averaging 48.1 fantasy points per game against Memphis, which is five more fantasy points than his season average. He’s been having a good road trip thus far. He has topped 45 fantasy points in each of the last four games. I’m expecting a strong finish to the five game road trip tonight.
Other Studs: Pau Gasol $8,500, Derrick Favors $7,900, Draymond Green $7,600, Zach Randolph $7,300, and Nikola Mirotic $7,200
Anthony Tollliver vs. CHI ($3,800) – Tolliver has been in the starting lineup in the last couple of games while Greg Monroe sits out with a knee injury. He has scored more than 17 fantasy points in each of the last three games. Tolliver isn’t going to score a ton of fantasy points, but at this low price he should be able to hit value and provide some cushion in your salary cap so that you can dish out money in other positions. So long as he starts, he should be able to provide some decent value.
Other Values: Donatas Montiejunas $5,600 and Marcus Morris $5,300 (if he starts)
Andre Drummond vs. CHI ($7,800) – Drummond isn’t the most expensive center of the night, but is my favorite high-level option. With Greg Monroe likely sidelined again this evening, Drummond should continue to see more rebounding opportunities. Drummond has topped 50 fantasy points three times in his last nine games. He averages 13.3 rebounds per game, but has grabbed 14 or more boards in seven of his last nine games. Despite suffering a concussion a couple of games ago, he’s played well in the last couple of games and should continue to do so against the Bulls tonight who are surrendering 46.3 fantasy points to opposing centers in their last five games.
Other Studs: Rudy Gobert $8,100 and Mark Gasol $7,500
Joakim Noah at DET ($6,100) – Noah missed a game last week as he was battling a knee injury. He struggled in his first game back, but appears to be closer to full health as he’s not put together three consecutive solid performances. In fact he flirted with a triple-double in Friday’s game against the Raptors. He scored 8 points, grabbed 10 boards, and dished out 14 assists. All he needed was another field goal. Noah is one of the league’s best passers as far as big men are concerned, so he’ll always contribute in the assists department. He does a little bit of everything and should continue playing well against the Pistons as they struggle against opposing centers. Detroit surrenders 50.2 fantasy points to opposing centers.
Other values: Brook Lopez $6,400 and Joey Dorsey $3,000 (punt play)