Today’s NBA targets break down the 11-game NBA slate we have with a look at the studs, sleepers and mid-range players you want to have rotating in your lineups.
POINT GUARD TARGETS
Chris Paul @ SAC ($9,700) – It’s easy to leave Paul here from the night before, so I will. He easily pulls in the best matchup of the night on Wednesday, getting a 29th OPRK, and now he’s got Blake Griffin to play with again. Common sense would dictate Paul’s numbers go down from here on out, but I think there’s plenty to go around in the Clippers offensive game plan against the Kings.
Kyle Lowry vs. MIN ($7,400) – Lowry draws a so-so matchup, however, I’ve got him rostered in my lineups on Wednesday because of his mad-man output of late. Three of his last four contests Lowry has put up 50 fantasy points or more, with Monday’s game being a doozie as he recorded 60.25 points for the Raptors. I’m playing the hot hand here and I’ll enjoy the 2.3K discount from Paul.
Rajon Rondo vs. ORL ($5,900) – The price isn’t fantastic, so Rondo is more of a mid-range play than anything else. I love his matchup though, getting a 28th OPRK against a week Magic club. Rondo has only averaged 26.4 FPPG over his last five contests, but I like him to exceed that figure by 10 points or so against the Magic.
Zach LaVine @ TOR ($4,300) – It’s going to be a situation worth monitoring, but I dig LaVine if he gets the start for the ailing Ricky Rubio, who is fighting an ankle injury right now. Rubio could make it back for Wednesday’s game, although he did miss Monday’s contest. LaVine, over his last three games played, has averaged a bit over 33 minutes per game. Plus, dude has taken care of business netting a smidge over 28 FPPG in those same games.
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
Dwyane Wade vs. POR ($7,800) – If the 42.7 FPPG average that Wade has been pulling in over his last five games doesn’t grab your attention, then you likely need a 2×4 upside the head. But, I’m sure you’re all aboard on Wade like I am. Considering what Wade has done over the last couple of weeks, he’s an excellent value as well as a stud for Wednesday. In six out of the last seven games Wade has played, he’s averaged over 40 fantasy points.
DeMar DeRozan vs. MIN ($7,000) – Since the beginning of March NBA games, DeRozan has averaged 37.25 FPPG which is six points higher than his seasonal average. So, in other words, dude has been smokin’. DeRozan is shooting about .040 points higher over that stretch compared to his seasonal average and his matchup doesn’t get any better with a 30th OPRK. Look for DeRozan to make his defenders look silly on Wednesday.
J.R. Smith vs. BKN ($5,500) – Smith is one of those players that does excellent one game, then hits the floor hard the next. Keep that in mind if you’re going to go with Smith, although I’ve got him pegged for a solid 25-30 fantasy point night. The matchup is okay, but I like Smith to get hot with his 3-point shot facing the Nets.
Jodie Meeks @ PHI ($3,400) – The price is right for Meeks, as he’s netting 20 FPPG over his last six games. Really it’s about the minutes Meeks gets lately and that he’s got potential for a 30-point night. If you’re going after a low-salaried player with nice potential, then Meeks is it against the 76ers.
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
Kawhi Leonard @ NY ($8,600) – Even with Leonard’s lackluster performance on Tuesday, as of this writing, I’m going with his .530 FG%, .842 FT%, 8.4 RPG, 3.0 STLPG and 21.6 PPG over his last five games prior to Tuesday. Tuesday was just a hiccup and I like him to get back on track.
Nicolas Batum @ MIA ($6,900) – I wanted to suggest Rudy Gay here, but I’m not thrilled that he’s missed two games and may not play on Wednesday. Batum is a borderline stud/mid-range player tonight, but Kevin Durant is out, Gordon Hayward’s matchup isn’t good and I don’t feel like popping 10.6K for LeBron James on Wednesday. So, that leaves Batum who is a decent value with the way he’s produced over his last five games.
Paul Pierce @ UTA ($4,800) – Pierce is one of my favorite players to suggest in this price range, mainly due to his consistency and the potential that he still brings with his game at this stage in his career. He can still ball at times and his 3-point shot has been solid lately. Over Pierce’s last six games, he’s averaging almost a fantasy point-per-minute played. Don’t expect the world here below 5K, but Pierce still has 30-35 fantasy point potential.
Rodney Hood vs. WAS ($4,600) – The matchup is bad with a 2nd OPRK facing the Wizards, although Hood has really taken charge since he’s been starting for the Jazz. Hood has been able to knock down 18.25 PPG over his last four games, so we know he can sink baskets, but he hasn’t really done much elsewhere statistically. Hood sinks 3’s like crazy, so if he can get a few more rebounds and assists you’re looking at a nice find here on Wednesday.
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
LaMarcus Aldridge @ MIA ($8,800) – The matchup isn’t good, but Aldridge is a fantastic bet to hit his 42.8 FPPG average, even on the road in Miami. Aldridge actually plays a bit better on the road, averaging 44 FPPG in 29 games this season. Look for a double-double night out of the superstar power forward.
Paul Millsap @ GS ($7,800) – Millsap is playing well for DFS owners of late, shooting 18-for-31 from the floor, while averaging 3.5 APG, 9.5 RPG and 22 PPG over his last two games. And let’s not forget about his blocks too, snagging two per game as well. Expect Millsap to put up a 40-point fantasy night facing the Warriors.
Jae Crowder @ OKC ($5,000) – Once again I find myself recommending Crowder, although I’m fairly certain it’s been a week or so since I’ve done so. Still, the 25th OPRK he has draws me in and you can expect 25-30 fantasy points with about 25-30 minutes played. Not bad at all for 5K, eh?
Thomas Robinson vs. DET ($4,200) – I wish Robinson picked up more minutes than he is right now, but unfortunately he’s only getting about 17 minutes on average over his last six games played; however, Robinson does produce quite nicely in those minutes, averaging 22.4 FPPG over the same six games. Basically, you can count on Robinson to give you production even in limited minutes. I usually don’t go this route unless I really want to secure points from a lower-tier option. Give Robinson a whirl if the situation calls for it.
Nikola Vucevic @ HOU ($8,300) – Vucevic stays right here from Tuesday night, and I’m writing this without knowing how his game pans out. He’s got his game back, he’s turning into a double-double machine again, and I dig the price which will surely jump up very soon.
Rudy Gobert vs. WAS ($8,100) – Gobert doesn’t sink many baskets, with only 19 points over his last two games, but he still manages to put up fantasy points with his rebound production, which is totally and completely insane. Over Gobert’s last six games, he’s netting 17.2 RPG. Nutty, huh? You have to figure the rebounds and blocks will stick by now, and consider any baskets drained as a bonus add-on.
Tyson Chandler vs. ORL ($5,700) – Chandler has slowed considerably of late, but the idea that he’s a double-double threat for around the 5.5K price is very attractive to me. Looking to go the value route, you could do a lot worse than Chandler. I know that’s not a huge selling point, so if you’ve got a gut feeling on another center around this price range I get ya. Like, yeah.
Justin Hamilton @ TOR ($4,500) – Hamilton is an interesting suggestion, mainly since his minutes could be reduced at any time. Nikola Pekovic is questionable for Wednesday’s game and so is Kevin Garnett, so if they both sit then Hamilton retains nice value. He’s put up 36.7 FPPG over his last three starts, while averaging 34.67 MPG – this coming from a guy that was just claimed off waivers March 5th.
Good luck on Wednesday! Catch me on Twitter @TheRolyPolyBoy where I may sometimes answer your questions, but only if I really, really feel like it.