Today’s NBA targets break down the 10-game NBA slate we have with a look at the studs, sleepers and mid-range players you want to have rotating in your lineups.
POINT GUARD TARGETS
- Russell Westbrook vs. LAC ($12,500) – Don’t I have to list Westbrook here? I mean, dude has averaged 79.65 fantasy points over his last FIVE contests. Yeah, that’s right – 79.65! Westbrook is doing everything but wipe the floor of player sweat, and I’m sure if that counted statistically he’d be tops there too. Westbrook’s salary has jumped up $2,000 since February 22nd, just before the start of his incredible run. I don’t mind one bit paying his high salary. And, I’m okay taking the risk that he drops only a measly 50-point fantasy night – just below his seasonal average, by the way.
- Ricky Rubio @ PHO ($8,300) – Let’s just say that Rubio would like to forget Monday night, where he shot 1-for-8 and only scored a pathetic 2 points on the night. Still, even with Rubio’s abysmal shooting, he managed to give DFS owners 27 fantasy points on his assists and steals. Rubio is going to get his shot going and still give owners those assists, which he’s averaged 11.3 APG over his last six games played, so chalk him up for 35 points at least.
- Michael Carter-Williams vs. ORL ($6,500) – I’m not sure what it is about the mid-range play on Wednesday that I like so much, but you have to think that this is a great opportunity to load up with mid-range guys throughout your lineups. That means you won’t be able to roster Russell Westbrook, although there’s nothing stopping you from going with two varying lineups. Or, three lineups. Or more. That’s what I usually do. MCW gets a 27th OPRK against the Magic, which is nothing to sneeze at. I like what MCW has done with his shot of late, going 32-for-69 (.464 FG%) over his last six games. I wish he was more efficient with his 3-point shot; however, MCW is very generous when dishing the ball out to his teammates (7.2 APG on the season), while pulling down a good average in rebounds (5.7 RPG). Don’t be surprised to see MCW as one of the best point guards in the league for many seasons to come. Yeah, I guess I like the kid.
- Ray McCallum @ CHA ($4,200) – You feel like diggin’ deep on Wednesday? Then McCallum is your guy. His 4.2K salary will get you 20-25 fantasy points, although it’s the potential he offers now that he’s starting and getting more than 30 minutes a game over his last seven contests. I like that McCallum can pull down rebounds too, in addition to giving decent assist totals and points scored for the low, low super-Dee-duper price of 4.2K! Would you like undercoating with that? Maybe an extended warranty?
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
- James Harden @ POR ($10,800) – Listen, and listen good (I know I sound like someone’s father out there)! Harden is actually a value at 10.8K. What’s that, you say? He’s almost 11K! Well, that’s true, but it’s what you get for the dollars spent. Harden is giving owners 50.4 FPPG on average this season and his salary is below the 11K mark, which is fairly significant in my eyes since he’s been at that salary range before this season. Sure, we may only be talking about a few hundred bucks to your cap but every dollar counts, doesn’t it? The matchup is not good for Harden, so keep that in mind, although he’s about as matchup proof as it gets in the NBA.
- Victor Oladipo @ IND ($8,400) – I’m leaving Oladipo here from Tuesday’s suggestions, although I’m a bit bent by his performance against the Pacers. It wasn’t horrible by any means, but I figured him for more. Look for Oladipo to give you something in the 40-point range, a nice bounceback play, with his assists and rebounds improving.
- Eric Bledsoe vs. MIN ($7,600) – Yes, you get one more “stud” option to consider. Bledsoe draws a fantastic 30th OPRK matchup against the suffering Timberwolves. Look for one of his better games of the season, assuming, as I do sometimes, that the Suns don’t destroy the Timberwolves early on and cut Bledsoe’s minutes. That’s highly doubtful, however.
- Kyle Korver @ DEN ($4,900) – Korver’s 3-point shot is starting to fall again, which is all you really need to know on the Hawks outside shooter. He contributes some in rebounds and assists but it’s his 3-point shot that usually gets you the 25-30 point fantasy nights. Korver was 6-for-8 on Monday beyond the arc, and I’m riding his coattail for under 5K.
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
- Tobias Harris @ MIL ($6,900) – The small forward position is all about the mid-range play on Wednesday, so anyone in the “stud” category here is a mid-range guy. Harris now has three consecutive games, including Tuesday’s contest against the Pacers, where he’s landed in the mid 30-point fantasy range – above his seasonal 31.0 FPPG average. Look for Harris to continue his consistent production facing the Bucks, where he gets a 28th OPRK matchup.
- Giannis Antetokounmpo vs. ORL ($6,900) – Okay, Antetokounmpo is about as close to SF stud as it gets on Wednesday and I would normally have confidence in him saying so, but dude has been all over the place with his fantasy point production over his last two games, netting 15 points against the Wizards on Saturday and 52.25 points on Monday. Sorta digs into your craw, huh? I like “Gi-Ant” – sorry, I’m not good with nicknames – to fall somewhere in the 35-point range.
- Josh Smith @ POR ($6,300) – I’m listing a third mid-range play for Wednesday, cutting a player from the value section. The SF slot really does offer some good options in this price range, so something to consider when filling out your DFS lineup. It wasn’t long ago that all of Smith’s production and value hit the toilet, but a change of scenery sure can vault a player back into the realm of worthiness again. Since Smith has joined the Rockets, he’s had solid success even with a fluctuation in his minutes. The matchup facing the Trail Blazers intrigues me (25th OPRK). Over his last six games played, Smith’s shot remains sub par but he’s still giving owners 28.8 FPPG over that stretch.
- Jeff Green @ BOS ($5,000) – Green rattles my cage at times, mainly since I know the guy is much more talented than his production shows. There’s no question Green has struggled since joining the Grizzlies, and as DFS owners it’s all about what a player has done lately, right? And, what has Green done lately? Over his last two contests he’s exceeded his 25.4 FPPG seasonal average by getting shot opportunities and actually making his shot. Imagine that? Expect the Grizzlies to utilize Green even more down the stretch as they get ready for a playoff run. I like Green to at least hit the 25-point fantasy mark, but don’t be surprised if he manages to hit the 30-35 mark yet again against his former club.
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
- Pau Gasol @ PHI ($8,600) – When was the last time we’ve seen Gasol’s salary drop this low? I know he’s still at 8.6K but I’m looking to lock Gasol in on EVERY ONE OF MY LINEUPS on Wednesday. For what he can do on a nightly basis for owners, this price for Gasol is a steal. Now, I usually don’t get this geeky over a player but I’ve got no reservations about gushing my Gasol-love for all to see. Even facing the 76ers, I still expect Gasol to put up powerful numbers… even if he gets less than 30 minutes due to an overall team mismatch.
- Paul Millsap @ DEN ($7,800) – Millsap has been slightly up-and-down over the last couple of weeks, but he nets the best matchup of the night at power forward with a 30th OPRK against the Nuggets. The Nuggets will have a hard time defending Millsap’s shot and if you’re looking for a big mismatch play this is it.
- Nikola Mirotic @ PHI ($6,200) – I’m filling these “value” PF slots with players I like in the mid range area, since they’re reasonably priced and solid values anyway. So there. What’s good for the Gasol is good for the Mirotic, eh? Mirotic has been thriving with his uptick in minutes played due to Bulls’ injuries, averaging 32.8 FPPG in 28.5 MPG over a seven day period. Even shooting a .396 FG%, Mirotic is getting shot volume and sinking 3-pointers. He’s also starting to look like a double-double threat for the time being.
- Markieff Morris vs. MIN ($5,900) – Morris has been fading a bit, although his salary has dropped below the 6K mark – a nice opportunity for anyone that expects Morris to increase his level of play facing the Timberwolves. I wish Morris was a better rebounder, although he can make up for it with his shot and his ability to get assists at times. I like taking a chance on Morris at this price.
- Al Jefferson vs. SAC ($7,600) – The matchups at center, particularly top-tier center options, are not too good. This would be a good time to consider options below the 8K range and spend your salary bucks on another position, going with value. I’m not listing DeMarcus Cousins or DeAndre Jordan or DeAnyone Else where you’re paying bigger bucks for ’em. I mean, it’s not a bad option to run with Jordan or Cousins but I think you can do better for your dollars spent. And like I said earlier, you can find solid value at center on Wednesday, hence Jefferson. He’s coming off a poor showing last game out, but that’s okay – Jefferson is going to bounce back and get his rebounds and points. Over his last seven games, Jefferson has averaged 40.3 FPPG – gotta love it!
- Marc Gasol @ BOS OR Al Horford @ DEN ($7,500) – I dig both of these big men on Wednesday, and whatcha know? They’re both affordable and valued at 7.5K. Consistency is key here, and Horford and Gasol are supplying above-average production of late (37.6 FPPG for Horford over his last five games and 36.6 FPPG for Gasol over his last six games).
- Joakim Noah @ PHI ($6,700) – Noah is turning into one of my favorite options again, even with his inability to be consistent with his shot. You have to love his feisty ways and his ability to be so unselfish in a game, skyrocketing his rebounds and assist totals as of the end of February. Noah’s matchup is one of the better plays of the night, getting a 29th OPRK facing the 76ers. Noah is a good value for sure, even at the 6.7 K price tag.
- Robin Lopez vs. HOU ($4,400) – The price tag locks me in on Lopez and the fact that he’s been meeting his seasonal 23-point FPPG average over his last five games. Not bad, assuming you’re not expecting him to give you a 40-point night. What about 30 points? Sure, in fact, go ahead and blame me for not cashing if you roster Lopez – he’ll get you 30 points! The Rockets will keep Lopez busy inside defensively giving him the opportunity for an uptick in rebounds and blocks.
Good luck on Wednesday! Catch me on Twitter @TheRolyPolyBoy where I may sometimes answer your questions, but only if I really, really feel like it.