The DFS contests tipping off tonight include Game 5 of the Celtics-Wizards series tonight and Game 6 of Rockets-Spurs tomorrow. With both series coming down to the wire, there is bound to be some massive fantasy performances. Here are some of the names you should be considering at every position.
James Harden vs. SA ($10,900) – At only a $100 higher price tag than John Wall, at home, with the season on the line, Harden is hard to get away from. Since his 13-point bomb in their Game 2 loss, he has put up a minimum of 57.5 fantasy points in the next three, including a triple-double in the OT loss Tuesday night.
Isaiah Thomas vs. WAS ($9,000) – The almost $2K savings with solid upside makes him a great GPP play, even if he does have the lower floor. So far in the regular season and playoffs, the home team has won every matchup between these two teams this season, and with the Celtics likely looking at this as a must-win game, I expect to see IT closer to his Game 1 and 2 totals – when he had 51 and 71 fantasy points, respectively.
Other Options – John Wall ($10,800)
Patrick Beverley vs. SA ($5,100) – To me, Marcus Smart ($5,400), Patty Mills ($5,300) and Beverley are all basically the same option here; guys getting minutes, contributing on both ends, likely going to get you 20-30 fantasy points, with upside in the 30s. The price tag might not be much different, but for basically the same floor and upside, I’ll take the savings.
Terry Rozier vs. WAS ($3,600) – The best of the very cheap options, to me, Rozier has done enough on the offensive end to earn 20+ minutes of time again tonight, like he has a couple of times already in the series. The floor is basically a zero, but he could get you 20+ fantasy points here and prove to be a nice value in any format contest.
Other Options – Marcus Smart ($5,400), Patty Mills ($5,300)
Eric Gordon vs. SA ($5,300) – Gordon is a player who, when he is at his best, makes these Rockets the best version of themselves. When this team is going on all cylinders, Gordon is actually taking more 3s than Harden, and is being set up with perfect looks and going on what seem like ridiculous hot streaks, and that is exactly the scenario they should be looking to create at home in an all-important Game 6. I like him with more upside than any of the other players in this price range.
Jonathon Simmons @ HOU ($3,800) – Simmons has scored in double digits in four out of five games in this series, and with a few extra minutes coming his way since the Tony Parker injury, he has had an opportunity to push his fantasy performances up closer to 25 points, great value at this price.
Other Options – Danny Green ($4,300), Kelly Oubre, Jr. ($3,900)
Kawhi Leonard @ HOU ($10,700) – He is the third-most expensive option on the board, coming in just under Harden and Wall, but the fact is, he now has a double-double in three out of five games for the series. They have their best chance of closing out Houston if he comes through in a big way on offense, and he does so much else on the court that those offensive outbursts translate to huge fantasy upside. Keep in mind he did roll his ankle in Game 5, and he didn’t finish the game. He said after the game he’d be good to go for Game 6, but it’s worth noting.
Otto Porter @ BOS ($6,400) – He has had at least 33.75 fantasy points in every game of this series, and there is no reason to expect it to stop tonight, making him a great option in any format contest. It’s not so much that the Celtics don’t have an answer for him, it’s that their defensive answers are busy elsewhere, in large part trying to cover up for Isaiah Thomas being a defensive liability.
Kelly Oubre, Jr. @ BOS ($3,900) – In his game returning from the suspension he was handed for his shove of Olynyk (and a ref) in Game 3, you should expect Oubre to be trying to assert himself in his time on the court tonight. Sometimes too much aggression can be a bad thing, but he is a player who could do enough on defense and on the glass to justify his price, so he could be a decent GPP option in this spot.
Other Options – Jae Crowder ($6,000)
LaMarcus Aldridge @ HOU ($6,900) – Aldridge seeming to be revitalized here over the last few games has been a key to San Antonio taking a 3-2 lead in the series. This Aldridge was more what the Spurs were looking for when they signed him, recording 26 points in a big Game 3 win, and then providing the steadying influence in the middle as they took control in Game 5, going for 18 points and 15 boards in 42 minutes. If the Spurs can control the Rockets’ perimeter weapons and keep the pace under control, Aldridge will have a chance to assert himself again – the danger is that if they don’t, he might not even see 25+ minutes.
Markieff Morris @ BOS ($5,800) – A player who was obviously going to cause problems for the Celtics even before the series started, he seemed to be fully recovered from any Game 1 ankle injury on Sunday, playing 35 minutes and finishing with 16 points, 10 rebounds and five assists, to go along with three steals on the defensive end. With Horford having to try to contain Gortat, Morris has been able to punish the rest of Boston’s interior defenders, a dynamic that is probably going to stay in place once again tonight.
Other Options – Ryan Anderson ($5,200)
Marcin Gortat @ BOS ($6,300) – Boston, admittedly, doesn’t have a lot of bulk to rely on up front, and it often manages by forcing teams to go small. The Wizards are such a bad matchup for the Celtics because they have the speed and athleticism 1-4 to match their small-ball lineups while having Gortat on the floor. This forces Horford to stay inside with their big man and frees up everyone else to do what they please both on offense and on the glass. So Gortat is going to keep getting his run, and so far, he is making his minutes count, averaging 12.25 points and 11.5 rebounds per game so far for the series.
Clint Capela vs. SA ($6,100) – He has had double-digit rebounds and double-digit points three times so far in the series, finding himself in a perfect position to produce no matter how the game is going. When Houston is playing well, he is out there running the high screen and roll and crashing towards the basket, creating opportunities; when the Spurs are playing well, he needs to be out there to defend the screen and roll and to counteract a little bit of the size of the Spurs’ frontcourt. This gives him the floor and the upside to be useful in any format contest.
Other Options – Al Horford ($7,100), Pau Gasol ($5,900)
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is theasquad) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.