We tip off Monday with a small slate. Since there are only three games on tap, the options are limited, but below are some players to consider.
Russell Westbrook ($13,000) – What can I really tell you about Westbrook that you don’t already know? I mean, he leads the NBA with a 41.7 percent usage rate and has 17 triple-doubles. He is also averaging an insanely high 64.6 fantasy points per game and has topped 70 fantasy points in three straight games. Tonight, he faces a Bulls team that has allowed the second most fantasy points per game to point guards in their last 10. Aside from trying to fit him into your lineups due to his price, there is really not much to dislike about Westbrook.
Other Options – Jrue Holiday $6,600
Derrick Rose ($5,800) – Rose has been on a mini slump as of late, but this is a good matchup to snap out of it. The Pelicans have allowed 2.88 points above expectation to opposing point guards and are yielding the third most fantasy points per game to the position. Prior to the last four games, Rose had scored 30+ fantasy points in five of six games, including three 40+ fantasy point outings, so the upside is definitely there.
Other Options – Deron Williams $5,600, Michael Carter-Williams $4,800
Dwyane Wade ($6,200) – It is one of those nights where Wade lands in the stud category due to the lack of depth at the position. Tonight’s contest should be up in pace, creating extra touch opportunities for him. Heading into his last game, he was dealing with a bothered knee, but was able to play 37 minutes, scoring 20 points with seven assists, four rebounds and one block, which was good for 37 fantasy points, which was encouraging to see. He will not break that bank and does offer 40+ fantasy point upside.
Other Options – Victor Oladipo $6,300
Courtney Lee ($4,100) – Since returning from a three-game absence due to a wrist injury, Lee has averaged 33.8 minutes, 11.3 points, 2.8 rebounds, 1.8 assists, 1.3 steals and 21.2 fantasy points per game. He is not lighting it up, but at this price he will not hurt you that bad even he has an off game. Tonight, he is in a matchup that favors him. The Pelicans have allowed 1.47 points above expectation to opposing shooting guards. In addition, they are giving up the second most points (23.3) and most 3-pointers (3.5) per game to the position.
Other Options – Wesley Matthews $4,900, E’Twaun Moore $3,100
Jimmy Butler ($9,300) – Butler is questionable tonight, so be sure to check his status before lock. However, in his last six contests, he is averaging 39 minutes, 34.2 points, 8.7 rebounds, 5.7 assists, 2.5 steals and 59.2 fantasy points per game. He has eclipsed 68 fantasy points three times during that stretch, including an 85 fantasy point performance.
Other Options – Carmelo Anthony $7,200, Harrison Barnes $6,400
Nikola Mirotic ($4,700) – Mirotic tends to be an erratic player, but he has put together three straight solid games. During that stretch, he is averaging 29 minutes, 13.3 points, five rebounds, one assist, 1.3 blocks, 1.3 steals and 27.4 fantasy points per game. With a limited amount of options tonight, he offers enough upside at this price range to warrant consideration in what should be a paced up game with plenty of scoring.
Other Options – Doug McDermott $4,200
Kristaps Porzingis ($7,400) – Porzingis played against this same New Orleans team on Dec. 30 and scored 21 points with 12 rebounds, two blocks and two steals, which was good for 50 fantasy points. The Pelicans have struggled against opposing power forwards all season, surrendering the fourth most fantasy points and most rebounds per game to the position. This matchup has the highest projected total and only a four point spread, so it may be wise to target one of the more consistent producers on the Knicks’ offense.
Other Options – Anthony Davis $11,100
Gorgui Dieng ($5,700) – This is not necessarily the best value, but if you are looking for an affordable PF that has the potential to exceed expectations, Dieng makes sense. He plays big minutes, averaging 36.1 minutes per game in his last seven, and has scored at least 29 fantasy points in all but one game during that stretch. He has also come close to a double-double in all but one of those contests, while recording one double-double. The matchup is not the greatest by any means, but the Mavs are giving up the 10th most rebounds per game to power forwards. Dieng offers a steady floor with some upside.
Other Options – Dirk Nowitzki $5,200, Taj Gibson $4,600
Karl-Anthony Towns ($8,900) – This game is at Minnesota, where Towns averages 3.2 more points, 3.8 more rebounds and 7.4 more fantasy points per game. Typically the home/road split is not something I pay much attention to, but those numbers are pretty significant. Tonight, he faces off against Dallas who is yielding the third most rebounds per game to centers. This contest is one with little appeal to it, but Towns is one of the few bright spots.
Enes Kanter ($5,000) – Kanter is a center I have been targeting for some time now. In his last 10 games, he is averaging 16.8 points, 7.6 rebounds and 29.2 fantasy points per game. During that stretch, he has exceeded value 80 percent of the time by an average of 5.29 points. His minutes fluctuate, but he is averaging over a fantasy point per minute and he has played fewer than 22 minutes just twice in his last 10 games. It is also worth noting that the Bulls have allowed 1.66 points above expectation to the position.
Other Options – Steven Adams $6,000
Note: Keep a close eye on news prior to lock as this could open up some value plays that were not considered early in the day.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Armando28) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.