Get your weekend started right with a heft, 10-game slate tonight. Stars, scrubs and all the mid-tier players are there for you to choose so let’s target the studs and values on this tasty slate. If you have any questions for tonight games, fire away on Twitter @JasonWalker_72.
John Wall ($9,400)- With Brad Beal still out, Wall’s usage is still solidly between 29-30% and he has a nice total (202) with a tight spread at home against the Raptors, who have been a net positive against the position for the season and over the last three weeks. Need some recency bias to assist you? He played, in Toronto, on 12/30 and scored 56.75 DK points in nearly 41 minutes, so there you go.
Kyrie Irving ($6,900) – Last chance for Kyrie before he leaves 6K land! Irving has had his minutes restriction lifted and is feeling great, scoring an average of 42.2 DKPP36 this season and he’s using 33% of possessions since he’s been back. Yow. A positive matchup is in his favor and only Cleveland’s greatness and possibility of crushing the Timberwolves like a grape prevents this from being a lock and load special, but it’s pretty close.
Other Options – Russell Westbrook ($10.800 @ LAL), Kyle Lowry ($8,600 @ WAS), Stephen Curry ($10,500 @ POR)
Jrue Holiday ($5,400) – Holiday has a positive matchup against George Hill tonight and has averaged 29.7 minutes per game and 33 DKPPG since the new year. The Pelicans lean on him to create, especially if Tyreke Evans is currently off the floor and his modest 5.4K salary allows for some excellent value here.
Mario Chalmers ($4,600 vs. DEN) – With Conley doubtful, then Chalmers is a very chalky play against a loose Denver defense. Chalmers is already high usage and exploded for 50+ in his first relief appearance for Conley against Oklahoma City.
Other Options – Ramon Sessions ($4,100 vs. TOR)
DeMar DeRozan ($8,000) – The Wizards have been horrible against opposing wings this season and the trend continues with Beal out. DeRo is also third in free throw points per 36 minutes, behind only James Harden and Boogie Cousins in that category. Against the Wizards on 12/30, he put 56 DK points on them to hammer home the point.
Tyreke Evans ($7,700) – A point guard in shooting guard’s clothing is always a nice thing to target, and Evans fits the bill with the ball constantly in his hands and a mid 20s usage rate. The matchup is solid at the point against the Pacers and the game total is, too.
Other Options – Khris Middleton ($6,900 vs. DAL), Lou Williams ($5,900 vs. OKC), Victor Oladipo ($6,600 @ BKN)
Devin Booker ($4,700) – Booker is a great shooter and even though he didn’t start the last game, he scored 37 DK points in 32 minutes, thus raising his rates a little more. He’s in a tighter spot against Miami, but he’s been taking advantage of the additional time provided with Eric Bledsoe’s absence.
Wesley Matthews ($5,100) – It’s a positive matchup for Matthews and he’s been playing well as he’s gotten his legs under him coming off his Achilles injury. The last time out against Milwaukee, on 12/28, he scored 32 DK points over 32 minutes.
Other Options – J.R. Smith ($4,800 @ MIN), Garrett Temple ($4,500)
NBA Matchups Breakdown
LeBron James ($9,800) – Mr. Consistency this season has another plum matchup here in Minnesota and is coming off a 50+ DK pt game where Kyrie Irving also scored well. He’s carrying a 31.2% usage rate even with Kyrie this season, so his consistency shouldn’t take a hit.
Kevin Durant ($10,300) – Against a team full of guards, Julius Randle and Brandon Bass, who stops Durant tonight? The answer is perhaps only the scoreboard, but Durant was able to score 42.25 points against the Lakers while taking nine shots his last time out.
Other Options – Paul George ($9,100 @ NO), Kawhi Leonard ($8,400 vs. NYK), Giannis Antetokounmpo ($6,700 vs. DAL)
Bojan Bogdanovich ($4,900) – In lieu of injury-related value news at this point, I’ll chase the minutes into the one-trick-ponies like Bojan, who can spike up to 30 DK points if the shots are falling. Also, he has had 10, 14, 11 and 17 shot attempts over the last four games. I want something better here, but for now, the minutes and shot attempts will have to do.
T.J. Warren ($4,900) – Now I am really swimming in troubled waters. Warren should be playing the same 34-36 minutes he’s been playing in three of the last four Suns games. Why Warren? Well, Jeff Hornacek may wake up, brush his teeth, decide he didn’t like the experience and treat us to the 21 minute shift Warren played against the Lakers on 1/3. Warren has 30 DK point games in his wardrobe if allowed to put them on and if he’s allowed, he’s a good value at just under 5K.
Other Options – Tony Allen ($3,800 vs. DEN), James Johnson ($3,500 @ WAS), Derrick Williams ($3,600 @ SAS)
Anthony Davis ($10,600) – The most polarizing player in the league, Davis is coming off a 61-DK pt effort against the Mavs and has a slightly less attractive, but still net positive matchup against Indiana. The game total and spread are conducive to Davis being involved all night and the combination of Jordan Hill, Lavoy Allen, Ian Mahinmi and Myles Turner will not inspire fear of foul trouble. His cost is high, but he’s the top ceiling at the position tonight.
Kevin Love ($7,200) – Kevin Love in Minnesota? Of course! Even with Kyrie back and LeBron playing well, Love has still been able to crank out 35 DK pt games and now comes back to Minnesota, which has been one of the most fantasy friendly defenses to opposing PF. Even if you don’t drive down Narrative Blvd, you have a good matchup to take advantage of here.
Other Options – Chris Bosh ($7,900 @ PHX), Draymond Green ($10,000 @ POR), Thaddeus Young ($7,400 vs. ORL)
Jabari Parker ($4,700) – Not much value here, either, but Parker is getting minutes and the matchup at PF is one of the best tonight. Parker has also been starting to get more shots off and is creeping towards over 20% usage. The game total is over 200 and Milwaukee’s team total is over 100.
Larry Nance, Jr. ($4,800) – With the Lakers playing comeback against the Kings Thursday night and Brandon Bass/Julius Randle playing long minutes, it’s possible Byron Scott could lean on starter Nance longer tonight. Nance has shown good production rate and is averaging 37 DKPP36 minutes in the month of January.
Brook Lopez ($7,900) – Magic weak against centers? Check. Brooklyn has fewer options with Jarrett Jack out? Check. Lopez destroyed them in his last outing a few games ago. Oh, you bet that’s a check.
Nikola Vucevic ($7,100) – Biggest difference between Lopez and Vucevic is that the Nets, for the most part, understand that they need to get the ball to Lopez. The Magic, not so much. But if they do and Vuc can get his game usage to 30% like it should be in this matchup, it’s a great spot.
Other Options – Marc Gasol ($6,800 vs. DEN), Marcin Gortat ($6,800 vs. TOR)
Enes Kanter ($4,700) – Kanter played clean up on Aisle Seven against the Lakers the last time out, playing nearly the entire fourth quarter and throttling up the point production. He’s in a similar spot here against one of the weakest center defense, if not the weakest, in the league. Annoy your friends by coming from behind in the latest game, long after his players have signed out for the night.
Boban Marjanovic ($3,300) – Definitely a tourney play only, but I’ve used him in games where it looked very sure to have some fourth quarter garbage time. The Knicks are better than last year, for sure, but the game is in San Antonio and the Knicks backup bigs are weak. Boban put up 23.75 DK points in 19 minutes against the Jazz and 25.50 in 15 minutes against the Suns, so if you are looking for an extreme punt play at his point at center, you may end up right here.
Other Options – Andrew Bogut ($4,600 @ POR), Meyers Leonard ($3,900 vs. GS)