Jrue Holiday ($6700) – His price keeps climbing, but so does his production. This is especially true today with Eric Gordon out, Brow Probably out, and Tyreke Evans questionable. That’s a whole lot of points not to be in the lineup and Jrue is the guy who will pick up most of the usage if any or all of them miss. He saw 36 minutes and went off for 58 fantasy points in his last game, but he also had 37 in 4 of the five games before that one too. He is consistent and offers upside, so he is a safe option in cash or GPPs.
Mike Conley ($6200) – Conley is a great cash game play. He is relatively inexpensive and incredibly consistent. He puts up 27-35 fantasy points on a nightly basis lately and that makes him safe enough to be a solid salary saver. He is taking on a more offensive minded role with Gasol not 100% and has flashed it in recent contests. Since returning from injury he has been a safe 4.5X to 6X performer for the Grizzlies. He has had games of 20 points scored, 6 or 7 rebounds, and 10 assists at various points in time. He has also had games where he racked up a few steals too. You never know exactly how you are going to get 30-35 fantasy points out of him, but he almost always manages to get you there with his statlines.
Cory Joseph ($3600) – The low end is not very appealing today, but we do have one potential option to consider. Cory Joseph may be getting the start or a bigger workload if Kyle Lowry is unable to go. Joseph does see a decent number of minutes as is right now and can produce 20 fantasy points for you even if Lowry is in. With Lowry out though, his ceiling rising into the 30s and that is great value for a guy who is only $3600. Keep an eye on the Lowry situation. If he is not going to play or if he is limited, then Joseph is definitely the guy to roll out there.
DeMar DeRozan ($8000) – The shooting guard spot is pretty ugly on this slate, but DeRozan may be the shining bright spot. If Lowry is out, you would expect DeRozan to benefit the most in terms of shots and usage. Even if Lowry plays, the matchup for him is solid and Lowry is likely not near 100%. He is coming off two sub par games for him, but the 6 games before that he was averaging over 20 shots a game with a 35 fantasy point floor and upside into the 50s. Toronto does not have a ton of scoring punch, so DeRozan will be relied upon to provide that here, regardless of Lowry’s status.
Jimmy Butler ($8800) – Let me start by saying I love Jimmy Butler in this matchup against the Lakers. He should have a really good game here and be one of the top 3 scorers at the position on the night. I do not love his price though, and that is the biggest drawback. I do not expect this game to go full blowout, and with Noah and Mirotic out, I do expect increased usage for the stars, but I also am leary of paying almost $9K for him in tournaments. I feel he lacks elite upside with his lofty price, but he still should get you 40+ which makes him a solid cash play in a plum matchup.
Terrence Ross ($4000) – I am not thrilled with the cheap options, but would be willing to give Ross a look if Lowry sits. Ross is a scorer, where as James Johnson is more of a defensive presence. With no Lowry, Toronto will need a guy like Ross more than a guy like Johnson. Ross has seen a jump in minutes lately and also has been paying off 4.5X or better consistently. He hit 10X at his cheap price two games back, so we know he does have upside. I like this play a ton more with Lowry out, but there is no denying his minutes are on the rise even when Lowry was healthy.
Danilo Gallinari ($7000) – There is only one option I can see paying up for at small forward and that is Danilo Gallinari. Gallo has been very good over the last couple weeks since returning to the lineup. He has gone 4.7X or better in 10 of his 13 games. He has a great matchup today with Otto Porter who is one of the worst at covering small forwards in the league. Not only does he have a good DvP matchup, but the Wizards as a whole play fast and give up a ton of real life and fantasy points. Gallo has a very safe floor and safe minutes to help you in cash and the matchup gives him a high probability of getting close to his ceiling here. At $2000 less than Paul George on this shorter slate, he is my favorite play for value and upside.
Derrick Williams ($5500) – Carmelo Anthony is out, so Williams is back as a viable option again here. In fact he may even have played himself into a larger role even when Melo is healthy. He has only seen 30+ minutes three times in his last seven games and two of those have been with Melo hurt in the last 2. In each game he saw 30+ minutes recently he has put up 42 or more fantasy points. That is a return of almost 8X for him and makes him a must play in any format.
DeMarcus Cousins ($11200) – How much you are willing to pay up for him is a viable question, but his production potential is not. Sure Boogie finally had a bad start on the tail end of a back-to-back after a 46 minute performance that included OT, but he was a monster for about a dozen games before that putting up 55-75 fantasy points. New Orleans struggles with big men, especially if Anthony Davis takes the night off as is expected. Ryan Anderson and Omer Asik can not contain Boogie, so the only question is whether you can afford to use him and find enough value around him to make it work?
Ryan Anderson ($6300) – If Brow is indeed out, then Anderson will see a bump in minutes and shots. He is not as safe as many think though since he will see some time defending Boogie and that has led to fouls for every player who was tasked with it in the past few weeks. Still he is pretty cheap and will be getting a bump in usage in a high paced game expected to see a ton of points. If Tyreke is out too, that only means more shot attempts for Anderson as well. It’s risky for cash, but he makes for a great GPP play with his potential upside of rebounds, points, and 3-point bonuses.
Bobby Portis ($3500) – Portis produces when he sees minutes. With Noah out and now Mirotic too, he should see some minutes here. Portis put up 25-35 fantasy points routinely the last time the Bulls were short handed and he played 20-25 minutes, so at this price I am willing to roll him out again in that situation. He is one of the keys to being able to afford a Boogie Cousins in your lineup, so I expect to see a high ownership percentage on both guys, especially correlated together in both cash and GPPs.
Pau Gasol ($8700) – Revenge narratives aside, this is a great spot for Pau. The Lakers are bad defensively and play at a high pace. they also give up tons of points, especially to the center position. Part of this is due to bad defense and part of it has to do with bad offense. The Lakers miss a ton of shots, so opposing centers have seen their rebounding numbers jump in matchups with LA. Pau has been on a tear lately anyway and the increased minutes due to Mirotic and Noah injuries can only help. He is pricey, but the upside in this matchup is definitely there.
Myles Turner ($4600) – If you have not heard yet, Myles Turner can play. The rookie missed a large part of the early season, but has opened eyes since his return. Many were scared off last game with Ian Mahinmi returning, but Turner still managed to get you 25 fantasy points in only 18 minutes of court time. The days of him putting up 30-40 in 27-35 minutes are likely done with Mahinmi back, but he is too talented to not see any court time. I expect another 20-25 fantasy points in 20-25 minutes out of him here and that would be just fine at his cheap price of only $4600.