No “real” NFL games means a nice big slate of NBA contests on Sunday. Today the NBA is treating us to 11 games. That means a myriad of fantasy options, here are the guys I like:
POINT GUARD TARGETS
- Chris Paul @ PHO ($9600) – Chris Paul sure seems to enjoy playing against Phoenix. At least I assume he does, since he has averaged 51.5 fantasy-points per game in his two games against the Suns this season. Paul is a stud facing a weak defense, which is seldom a bad option.
- Brandon Knight @ SA ($7600) – I initially had another Brandon here, Brandon Jennings, but he might be done for the season now. Night s not a bad consolation prize. He has averaged 39.8 fantasy-points in his last three games as well as topping 40 fantasy-points in two of his last three games.
- Patrick Beverly @ LAL ($5200) – I love decent players facing the Lakers almost as much as I like good players facing the Lakers. The Lakers are just plain bad defensively. They rank 30th against point guards this season, and Beverly has averaged 26.4 fantasy-points against them this season. No, Beverly does not have the most upside, but he should be good for five times value or so.
- D. J. Augustin @ TOR ($3200) – The Brandon Jennings injury means more playing time for Augustin, at the very least for the short-term. Augustin has been very good on a per-minute basis this season. While his per-minute production will likely slip with more playing time, an extra ten minutes a game will greatly enhance his fantasy value. Today Augustin is a must-buy for only $3200.
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
- Monta Ellis @ NO ($7000) – As usual, the shooting guard pool is not all that appealing today. Like my value point guard options, Ellis does not have a ton of upside. But you would be happy with a guy who givens you greater than four times value with the potential for over five. That is what Ellis provides.
- Bradley Beal @ DEN ($6300) – Over the last five games, Denver has allowed 52.5 fantasy-points per game to opposing shooting guards — the second most in the league during that span. Beal has averaged 27.7 fantasy points per game this season, and over his last six games, he should be able to top that against a bad Denver defense.
- J. R. Smith vs. OKC ($5100) – While I am not a huge Smith fan, but he has been very good since joining Cleveland. He has been even better over his last six games, averaging an even 32 fantasy-points per game. Oklahoma City has been below average against shooting guards this season too, making Smith a nice play today.
- Lou Williams vs. DET ($4600) – Perhaps I am just in the mood for reliable players today; add Williams to the list of guys I like who lack huge upside. Williams will not give you 40 fantasy-points. He should get you at least his season average of 22.6 with the possibility of 30. No, you should not expect a magical game, but he can help you win some money.
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
- Kawhi Leonard vs. MIL ($7800) – Leonard is looking healthy, he is also looking like the fantasy-stud many expected before the season. He is getting healthy just in time, Milwaukee has allowed 46.7 fantasy-points per game to opposing small forwards over their last five games.
- Kevin Durant @ CLE ($10700) – Honestly, I do not love Durant in this contest. Not that I expect him to be bad, I would be shocked if he did not score over 40 fantasy-points. He is worth owning if you can afford him, which is why he makes this section — there are just no other good stud options I like more than Durant and Leonard at small forward today.
- Luol Deng @ CHI ($5900) – I have to admit, I am a sucker for guys in revenge games. Even better, Deng has been playing well lately. He has averaged 29.0 fantasy-points per game over his last five games, and is facing an average defense.
- Matt Barnes @ PHO ($4900) – Blah. I suppose I should not be so negative, I just really do not like the small forward options in this slate of games. Barnes is one of the better options. He has averaged 28.4 fantasy-points per game in his last five games, and is facing a weak defense against small forwards.
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
- Paul Millsap vs. MIN ($8200) – This is my “not much to say” selection. Millsap is really good, Minnesota’s defense is really bad. Millsap is a great value at this price.
- Greg Monroe @ TOR ($8400) – If you look through Monroe’s game logs over the last ten games, you will not find a game of less than 32 fantasy-points. You will find a 60 point game however. Monroe has averaged 40.3 fantasy-points per game in his last five games, plus is facing a below average defense against power forwards.
- Nene Hilario @ DEN ($5400) – Hilario combines three of the traits I like most when selecting a player: he is playing well, he is facing a bad defense, and is facing his old team.
- Marreese Speights vs. GS ($4200) – No team has been worse at defending power forwards this season than Boston has been. Sure, Speights has not been anything close to a stud this season, but he has averaged 21.7 fantasy-points per game, and has as good a matchup as you could ask for on Sunday.
- AL Horford vs. MIN ($7300) – Minnesota has been doing a better job at defending centers lately, but still have allowed the fourth most fantasy-points per game to the position this season. Horford is averaging better than 40 fantasy-points per game over his last six games. Why Horford only costs $7300 is beyond me, but I am not complaining, I am just putting Horford on all my teams.
- Joakim Noah vs. MIA ($6300) – Noah is a total risk. This will be only his second game back after missing a week due to an ankle injury. In his first game, he only managed 18.3 fantasy-points. But, he did play 23 minutes in that game, and should be in line for more this game. He was also facing a much tougher defense in that game than he will against Miami. Noah is a big risk, yet also provides a big potential reward given his price.
- Alex Len vs. LAC ($4600) – For whatever reason, Len has fared well against the Clippers this season. Len’s season average has been 18.3 fantasy-points per game, yet he has averaged 30.3 fantasy-points in his two games against the Clippers. 30 fantasy-points for $4600 is what I call a value pick.
- Andrew Bogut vs. BOS ($4600) – Boston is not quite as bad at defending centers as they are at defending power forwards. They are still really bad though; they have been the seventh worst team this season against centers, third worst over their last five games — allowing 59.6 fantasy-points per game to opposing centers. Bogut has been playing well lately, is affordable, and facing a weak defense; thus the appearance in teh values section.