We tip off the week with a nine-game slate and plenty of options at hand, so let’s jump into some of tonight’s targets to consider.
Kemba Walker ($8,100) – The point guard position is saturated with elite talent, so there are plenty of options to choose from. That being said, considering price and ability, Walker is standing out to me. He has topped 40 fantasy points in six of his last 10 games, including three 50+ fantasy point performances. This game is in Charlotte, where Walker plays much better, averaging nearly four more fantasy points per game. He has 7X upside at this price, making him an enticing tournament option.
Other Options – Russell Westbrook $11,500, Giannis Antetokounmpo $10,600, John Wall $9,300
Dejounte Murray ($4,100) – Murray is expected to get the start once again for the injured Tony Parker. Over the last two games, he is averaging 28 minutes, 19 points, four assists, two rebounds and 28.5 fantasy points per game. Coach Pop has praised the rookie and could continue to give him run during Parker’s absence. Tonight’s matchup is a juicy one, as he faces the Nets who are giving up the most fantasy points per game to point guards. In addition, they have allowed 3.18 points above expectation to the position. Lastly, they play at the fastest pace, creating more touch opportunities for opponent, and they rank 28th in defense efficiency.
Other Options – Raymond Felton $5,600, Patrick Beverley $5,200
James Harden ($12,100) – Harden remains one of the top options every time he is on the slate. He is averaging 60.6 fantasy points per game and has scored fewer than 62 fantasy points just once in his last four games. He faces a Bucks’ defense that is giving up the ninth most fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards. He played against them several nights ago and posted 62.5 fantasy points, while scoring 38 points with eight assists and six boards.
Other Options – Nicolas Batum $7,700
Eric Gordon ($5,600) – Gordon is a very volatile player, so I would not recommend him in cash formats (H2H, or 50/50 contests). However, in large-field tournaments I am definitely interested. He is playing over 30 minutes and averaging nearly 30 fantasy points per game. Over his last 10 games, he has topped 30 fantasy points seven times, but he has also scored fewer than 20 fantasy points three times. Tonight he faces the Bucks, who have allowed 1.03 points above expectation to the position and are giving up the ninth most fantasy points per game to shooting guards. This contest has the highest projected total, so we should see plenty of fantasy goodness.
Other Options – Joe Ingles $4,800
Kawhi Leonard ($9,400) – Leonard has been playing out of his mind as of late, scoring 49 or more fantasy points in five of his last six games, while not scoring fewer than 42 fantasy once during that stretch and topping 52 fantasy points four times, including in his last three. Tonight he faces off against the Nets who are atrocious defensively, ranking 28th in defense efficiency. They are yielding the most fantasy points per game to small forwards and have allowed 3.26 points above expectation to the position. My one concern is the potential blowout tonight, but in his last meeting against Brooklyn, he scored 49 fantasy points in 27 minutes.
Other Options – Kevin Durant $10,000, LeBron James $9,900
Trevor Ariza ($5,300) – Ariza has been underwhelming over his last four starts, but is still playing big minutes for the Rockets, averaging 34.3 minutes per game this season. He is in a good spot to bounce back tonight, as he faces the Bucks, who have allowed 4.58 points above expectation to opposing small forwards and are yielding the most fantasy points per game to the position (tied with Nets). He typically does not hurt your lineup and offers plenty of upside, offering 8X value at this price point.
Other Options – Marcus Morris $5,900, Dion Waiters $5,700, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist $5,400
Kevin Love ($7,600) – Love draws a nice matchup against New Orleans, who is giving up the fourth most fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards. They are also yielding the most rebounds per game, with a negative 4.9 differential. Love has seven double-doubles in his last 10 games and has missed two others by two rebounds or less. He played just 24 minutes against the Pelicans in their last meeting and scored 33 fantasy points. If you are going with a balanced lineup tonight, his price tag is perfect for that approach.
Other Options – DeMarcus Cousins $10,500, Draymond Green $8,000, Paul Millsap $7,800
Kristaps Porzingis ($6,800) – It is pretty obvious that he is not fully healed from his Achilles injury, but, for me, Porzingis is just too cheap and has a great matchup tonight, making him an enticing tournament play. The Pacers are giving up the sixth most fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards, and in their last five games, they have actually surrendered the third most fantasy points. Indiana has allowed 2.76 points above expectation to the position.
Other Options – Thaddeus Young $5,500, Marvin Williams $4,600, Jon Leuer $4,300
Hassan Whiteside ($7,700) – Whiteside has been struggling as of late, but gets a good matchup against the Warriors who are giving up 70.9 fantasy points, 31.7 points, 20.2 rebounds and 2.3 blocks per game to centers over their last five. The last time that he faced off against the Warriors, Whiteside scored 26 points with 20 rebounds, which was good for 59.5 fantasy points. He has a great shot at a double-double, and I think he is just too cheap for the ceiling he offers.
Other Options – DeAndre Jordan $7,900, Rudy Gobert $7,300
David Lee ($5,500) – Lee is expected to start once again for the injured Pau Gasol. In his last two games, Lee is averaging 34.5 minutes, 12 points, 13.5 rebounds, 2.5 assists, one block and 36.9 fantasy points per game. He has two consecutive double-doubles during that stretch. Tonight he faces the Nets who are giving up the third most fantasy points per game and have allowed 1.97 points above expectation to the position. They are also surrendering the second most rebounds per game, with a negative 3.9 differential. If you are looking to save up at this position, he makes a ton of sense. He is also PF eligible which helps with lineup construction.
Other Options – Marcin Gortat $5,800, Cody Zeller $5,000, Joakim Noah $4,400
Note: Keep a close eye on news prior to lock as this could open up some value plays that were not considered early in the day.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Armando28) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.