Tonight we have a slightly smaller slate of games than most Friday’s. While we usually see 12 or 13 games, this evening we “only” have 11 contests from which to build our teams. It is still a large player pool, just a little smaller than normal. Here are the guys I like for Friday:
POINT GUARD TARGETS
- Kemba Walker @ CLE ($9000) – No, Walker is not a sure thing. And no, he has not been all that great lately. He also has only had two games in the last ten days so one bad game — like he had against Miami on the 21st — really messes up his average. Walker has averaged over 35 fantasy-points per game this season, and Cleveland has had issues against point guard/shooting guard hybrids like Walker, making him a nice value for $9000.
- Derrick Rose @ DAL ($7300) – It could be argued that Rose is the best value available Friday night. Not only is he averaging 42.1 fantasy-points per game over his last five games, but he is facing a Dallas defense that allows opposing points guards to average over 50 fantasy-points per game. Even if Rose “only” has his average game recently, that would be better than six times value.
- Patrick Beverly @ PHO ($5100) – Sure, one game is a very small sample-size, but in the case of Beverly that one game against Phoenix was very good. Beverly managed 36.5 fantasy-points the first time he faced the Suns; there is little reason to not think he cannot put up similar numbers tonight.
- Marcus Smart @ DEN ($4400) – There appear to be a lot of nice options at point guard on Friday. While I do not like Smart quite as much as Rose, he is not far behind in terms of my fantasy affection for him. Smart has averaged 26.3 fantasy-points per game over his last four games, and Denver struggles against opposing point guards.
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
- Tyreke Evans @ MIN ($8300) – Any player facing Minnesota becomes at least worthy of consideration most nights. Minnesota is a bad team, no matter how you look at it. Among their struggles this season, are against opposing shooting guards. Evans managed 41.5 fantasy points the first time he face Minnesota this season. He is arguably playing better now than he was then, making him a nice play tonight.
- Victor Oladipo @ NY ($6900) – It is not my intention to recommend Oladipo every time I do the daily targets, he just happens to have been a very good option the last three times I have written in this space. He is still playing well, and is still priced too low given his current level of production. It does not hurt that he is also facing the inept Knicks. Add Oladipo to the list of players I really like tonight.
- Eric Gordon @ MIN ($5500) – If it ain’t broke… Yes, that is two shooting guards from New Orleans again. Can you blame me? New Orleans is facing Minnesota after all. More importantly, Gordon has been playing well lately, averaging 30.5 fantasy-points per game in his last six games. Gordon is yet another great value for Friday.
- Kyle Korver vs. OKC ($4900) – Korver does not have as much upside as my other shooting guard selections, yet is still a nice play. Oklahoma City has allowed 46.9 fantasy-points per game to opposing shooting guards over their last ten games. Over Korver’s last five games, he has averaged 27.2 fantasy-points per contest.
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
- Carmelo Anthony vs. ORL ($8900) – Obviously, you want to make sure that Anthony is actually playing first. If he is, he is a very nice option. He has been on fire in the three games since returning from his knee issue, and Orlando has issues defensively against small forwards.
- Rudy Gay @ GS ($7800) – The ranking you see on Draft Kings for Gay’s opponent tonight is a little misleading. Over their last five games, Golden State has allowed the fifth most fantasy points to opposing small forwards. Gay has struggled a little recently, but he has averaged 30 fantasy-points in his two games against Golden State this season.
- C. J. Miles @ MIA ($5100) – There is nothing special with Miles’ matchup against Miami. Miami has been average against opposing small forwards so far this season. I like Miles because he is playing well. For only $5100 you are getting a guy who has averaged 27.4 fantasy-points per game in his last five games.
- Corey Brewer @ PHO ($3900) – No doubt Brewer is a risk, I am not sure there is such a thing as a player under $4000 who is not. The upside with Brewer is you get 20+ fantasy points for that price. That is a reasonable risk considering he has topped 20 fantasy-points in two of his last four, and four of his last six games.
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
- Jared Sullinger @ DEN ($6600) – Denver is not a good defensive team in general, they are even worse defensively at home where they allow 104.4 points per game. Denver has also been the seventh worst team at defending opposing power forwards, and Kenneth Faried will either not be playing, or playing sick. All those signs point to a nice night for Sullinger.
- Dirk Nowitzki vs. CHI ($6400) – The last time Dirk had the privilege of playing against Chicago, he had a 47.8 fantasy-point game. Chicago has actually been struggling more recently against power forwards than they were in that contest. Chicago has allowed the third most fantasy points to power forwards over their last ten games, the fourth most over the last five games.
- Amir Johnson @ PHI ($4600) – I am starting to remember why I used to be such a fan of Johnson. He contributes in so many categories that he is a very good fantasy player when he gets sufficient playing time. He is getting that playing time now, is playing well, and is facing Philadelphia. Not sure what else you can ask from from a fantasy player really.
- Robert Covington vs. TOR ($5400) – Covington is far from a sure thing. While he has had 30+ fantasy-points in two of his last four games, he has also failed to reach 17 in the other two. Since Toronto has had issues against opposing power forwards this season, I am betting on a good rather than a bad game from Covington.
- Chris Bosh vs. IND ($8300) – Why Bosh? Indiana has allowed 57.3 fantasy-points per game to opposing centers over their last five games. Bosh has averaged 37.8 fantasy-points per game at home too. That, and I just think that Bosh has a big game against Indiana.
- Al Jefferson @ CLE ($7200) – It is hard to win money without taking risks. One such risk would be taking Jefferson on Friday. He is likely still to have his playing time monitored. But, he only costs $7200, is playing in his third game back so should see some more minutes than he has been, and he did manage 24.5 fantasy-points in his last game. I am not touching him in a 50/50 league, but I will consider him in GPP leagues.
- Andrew Bogut vs. SAC ($4600) – Not sure why I am on a “recently returned from a lengthy injury” center kick tonight. Yet, like Jefferson, I like Bogut. He is not playing a ton of minutes, but is being very effective with the time he is playing. He has averaged 21.4 fantasy-points per game in his last five games, and just managed 34 fantasy-points against Houston.
- Bismack Biyombo @ CLE ($4400) – Sure, I expect Jefferson to have a good game tonight, but he is still not likely to start over, or play more than Biyombo. As mentioned above, Indiana has issues against opposing centers. For his part, Biyombo has averaged over 30 fantasy-points per game in his last five games. Perhaps Jefferson will cut into his production slightly, but I fully expect Bismack to provide five times value or more against the Cavaliers.