If you like large player pools then Friday is the night for you! This week, the NBA is treating us to a whooping 13 games tonight. Here are the players i like this evening:
POINT GUARD TARGETS
- Chris Paul vs. CLE ($9700) – It is not often that you will see a player pool in which Paul is is the 4th highest priced point guard, but that is what we have tonight. You do not need me to tell you that Paul is good; he also has the most favorable matchup of the five highest priced PG. Paul could easily be the highest scoring PG tonight, and he costs less than $10000.
- Ty Lawson @ DAL ($9000) – No matter what time-frame you look at, Dallas has struggled against opposing points guards. They have allowed the 4th most fantasy-points per game to opposing PG this season, and 55.7 per game over their last five games. This is a great time for the hot Lawson — averaging 40.1 fantasy-points per game over his last four games — to get to face the Mavericks.
- Trey Burke vs. LAL ($5500) – When discussing bad defenses against opposing points guards, we would be remiss to exclude the Lakers. They have set the standard for futility against the position this season, allowing over three more fantasy-points per game to the position than any other team. While Burke does not have the upside of Paul or Lawson, he is probably a better bet than either of those two to return six times value given his cost.
- Mario Chalmers @ SAC ($4500) – Chalmers is a bigger risk than the first three point guards I covered, which also explains why he costs only $4500. He has not had a great season, but has a good matchup, and has scored 59.75 fantasy-points in his last two games. He should be good for 25-30 fantasy-points against Sacramento.
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
- Eric Bledsoe vs. MIN ($8700) – This is the first time in a long time I actually like the options at shooting guard, so much so that I had a hard time narrowing the list down to only four. Bledsoe might not be red-hot lately, but he has been solid. Solid usually becomes very good against a struggling defense. Enter the Minnesota Timberwolves who have allowed opposing shooting guards to average 49.3 fantasy-points per game over their last five games.
- Victor Oladipo vs. MEM ($6700) – Memphis has actually been defending shooting guards pretty well recently, but I trust their season long struggles more than a five game defensive surge. Oladipo is playing very well now — he just had a 54.4 fantasy-point game, and has averaged 38.1 fantasy-points over his last five games. I believe in Oladipo’s trend more than Memphis’ trend.
- Eric Gordon @ PHI ($4600) – It would not be one of my “NBA Targets” columns without at least one guy facing Philadelphia. No need for me to explain to you that the 76ers have issues on defense. Perhaps you need a reason to use Evans? He has had 29 or more fantasy-points in two of his last four games, and his worst game in that span is 22.5 fantasy-points — with all the games against better defenses than Philadelphia’s.
- Lou Williams vs. ATL ($4700) – In each of his last six games, Williams has topped 20 fantasy-points; over his last five contests, he is averaging 26.3 fantasy-points. Williams has also been slightly better on the road than at home, not to mention Toronto has not been good at defending shooting guards. I think that about covers why you want Williams on your team.
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
- Draymond Green @ OKC ($8100) – No, I did not make a mistake and paste my small forward selections from last week, though I do have the same two studs once again. Green has averaged 41.9 fantasy-points in his three games against Oklahoma City this season, Oklahoma City struggles against small forwards, and Green is playing well.
- Andrew Wiggins @ PHO ($6900) – Nothing much has changed with Wigging recently. He is playing well still, and facing a below average defense against small forwards. Thus, he is once again in my “Stud” small forward section.
- P. J. Tucker vs. MIN ($4300) – There is nothing really exciting about Tucker. He is not a great player, nor a fantasy star. What he is, is a guy who is playing around 30 minutes a game, plus facing Minnesota. Minnesota happens to be the worst team at defending small forwards this season. Tucker will not get you 40 points or anything, but it would be a shock if he did not get you at least 20, and more likely 25+.
- Shawn Marion @ LAC ($3200) – So, you want the chance at a huge return on a small investment? I present to you Shawn Marion against the Clippers. Over his last five games, Marion has scored: 24.5, 19.5, 16.5, 9.5 and 22.75 fantasy-points. His worst game would be almost triple value tonight, his best game over seven times value. That looks like nice potential for a $3200 player to me.
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
- Pau Gasol @ BOS ($9500) – When I look at Gasol’s splits, I am seeing a lot of numbers in the 40’s. His season average is 41.8 fantasy-points per game, he has averaged 44.2 over his last six games — despite only 26 fantasy-points in his last game — and he has averaged 44.3 fantasy-points per game in his three games against Boston this season. Oh, Boston has been the worst team at defending power forwards this season too.
- Derrick Favors vs. LAL ($7900) – Do yourself a favor and put Favors on your teams tonight? He is playing against the Lakers, who are defensively challenged. Better yet, Favors has been playing well, averaging 39.9 fantasy-points per game over his last five games.
- Jae Crowder vs. CHI ($4500) – Crowder’s pricing still has not caught up with his recent production. Even against a solid defensive team, Crowder would be a solid play; Chicago has been the second worst team against power forwards over both the last five and last ten games, which makes Crowder even more enticing.
- Channing Frye vs. MEM ($4400) – Frye is a hit or miss player. Sure, the misses can be pretty ugly, but if you hit on a good game — like the 32.3 fantasy-points he had against Houston on the 14th — he provides a nice profit. Since Memphis ranks 27th against power forwards this season, I am expecting a hit on Friday from Frye.
- Marc Gasol @ ORL ($8500) – There is no truth tho the rumor that I always end up stacking Gasols; this is only the second time I have recommended it — at least that I remember. Marc makes the list because Orlando has been the fifth worst team at defending centers this season
- DeAndre Jordan vs. CLE ($7700) – Jordan has been good at home, Cleveland not so good on defense or on the road. It just so happens that Jordan is playing at home, against Cleveland tonight. He also is averaging 35.2 fantasy-points per game over his last five games, and 35.3 per game at home this season.
- Jusuf Nurkic @ DAL ($5700) – There are a couple of reasons I am slightly apprehensive about Nurkic. First, he is a little higher priced than I usually suggest in the “Value” section. A little more worrisome is Nurkic’s playing time. Despite playing lights out, he is only averaging 22.3 minutes per game over his last four games. Given Nurkic is averaging 29.3 fantasy-points in those four games, I am very willing to look past those issues. The fact that Dallas has allowed 68.1 fantasy-points per game to opposing centers also helps the case for Nurkic.
- Omer Asik @ PHI ($4200) – Asik not what Omer can do for you? I suppose you actually want to know what Asik can do for you? Well, he is playing against Philadelphia which is always a good starting place. He has also topped 25 fantasy-points in each of his last two games.