Today’s NBA targets breakdown takes a look at tonight’s games, Saturday February 28th and pinpoints some studs and sleepers you might want to target at each position.
POINT GUARD TARGETS
John Wall vs. DET ($8,600) – There are a couple of reasons why Wall should seriously be considered in your lineups tonight. First, he’s the best point guard available this evening. Second, he is averaging 43.6 fantasy points per game against the Pistons this season. Lastly, this is a great price. Wall averages 41.6 fantasy points per game, and at this price, he becomes a solid value play. Despite some average performances in recent games, he’s been able to get double digit assists in four straight games. He should be able to hit his season average tonight and there’s always that chance he has a 55+ fantasy point game.
Other Studs: Ricky Rubio $7,300
Kyle Lowry at NY ($6,800) – Lowry left last night’s game with an injury, but was able to return. He played just 19 minutes and scored only 5.5 fantasy points. You might be asking yourself, why play this guy then? It’s simple. Lowry left a bitter taste in fantasy owner’s mouth last night, including myself, but at this price he simply can’t be ignored. He’s been inconsistent as of late, but he is still averaging 37 fantasy points per game for the season. Not to mention he takes on the Knicks which we all know isn’t a defensive threat. Barring any setbacks with his injury, he should be in the starting lineup. He makes a contrarian value play and he should be able to get back on track tonight.
Other Values: Goran Dragic $6,400, Reggie Jackson $6,100, and Langston Galloway $5,200
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
Eric Bledsoe vs. SA ($8,200) – As you can see below, Bledsoe is really the only stud this evening. Both Monta Ellis and DeMar Rozan make decent options tonight, but I can’t consider them studs. With that said, Bledsoe is coming off of a monster game last night. His stat line was as follows: 28 pts, 13 reb, 9 ast, 4 blk, and 1 stl. He made two from beyond the arc. The Spurs defend well for the most part, but in their last five games they are allowing 50.9 fantasy points per game to shooting guards. He’s been on fire in recent games, scoring more than 50 fantasy points in two of the last three games. Give him a go tonight.
Other Studs: No others
Joe Johnson at DAL ($5,900) – Johnson has been playing well in recent games. He has topped 30 fantasy points in six of the last 10 games. His price has slowly been increasing, but it’s still reasonable enough to plug him into your lineups and be considered a value play. He’s already found success against the Mavs this season, scoring 35.8 fantasy points in that contest, so there’s no reason to think he can’t do it again tonight. The Mavs are ranked 23rd against shooting guards on DraftKings.
Other Values: Dwayne Wade $6,800, Kyle Korver $4,900, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope $4,400, and Markel Brown $3,800
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
Gordon Hayward vs. MIL ($7,900) – Hayward is the most expensive active player on his position tonight. The good news is that he’s not too expensive and won’t hurt your wallet if you take him. He’s played below his standards in the last three games, but has a favorable matchup against the Bucks. Milwaukee has been generous to opposing small forwards in their last 10 games. They have surrendered 42.8 fantasy points per game in that stretch. Hayward scored 42.5 fantasy points in their last meeting. Tonight could be that big night we haven’t seen in a while from Hayward.
Other Studs: No others
Luol Deng vs. ATL ($5,900) – Deng has now scored more than 20 real points and 30 fantasy points in three consecutive games. His offensive production has definitely been better with the absence of Chris Bosh. In order for the Heat to win, they need Deng to produce at a high level. Therefore, I’m expecting a high usage rate once again and another solid evening. The fact that he remains under $6,000 makes it even better.
Other values: Andrew Wiggins $6,400, P.J. Tucker $5,600, and Tony Allen $3,500,
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
Greg Monroe at WAS ($7,900) – There are several good options tonight at this position that won’t break your bank. If you’re going to pay up at this position, just go with Monroe. He has the highest ceiling of the bunch and isn’t that much more expensive than the others even though he’s the most expensive power forward of the evening. He’s coming off of a very nice performance last night. He filled up the stat sheet and scored 56.3 fantasy points. He offers a nice floor and has a 40+ fantasy point game quite often. He averages 38.3 fantasy points in two games against the Wizards this year. Don’t hesitate to roll with Monroe tonight.
Other Studs: Paul Milsap $7,800, Zach Randolph $7,700, and Derrick Favors $7,400
Andrea Bargnani vs. TOR ($3,800) – It seems appropriate for me to talk about Bargnani today. After all, I had him in several of my lineups yesterday and after hearing Pau Gasol would not play, I made some adjustments to some of my lineups and swapped out Bargnani for Taj Gibson. That didn’t go as planned. With that said, Bargnani is coming off of a 52 fantasy point performance and the good news is that he’s the same price. He has now taken double digit shots in three consecutive games. He has scored 20 or more fantasy points in four consecutive games. The Raptors allow 45.1 fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards, so this presents itself as a good matchup. Expecting 52 fantasy points tonight would be irrational, but at this price and with his recent play there is no reason why he shouldn’t exceed value tonight.
Other Values: Dirk Nowitzki $6,300 and Ersan Ilyasova $4,400
Andre Drummond at WAS ($7,800) – Drummond has posted four straight double-doubles and has topped 40 fantasy points in three of the last four games. To say the least he’s been playing really well. He faces the Wizards team tonight who has had his number this season, containing him to just 28.5 fantasy points per game in two contests. However, in their last 10 games, the Wizards have allowed eight more fantasy points per game than their season average. Tonight could be that night that Drummond gets his way against the Wizards. The good news, it doesn’t cost much to find out.
Other Studs: Hassan Whiteside $7,800, Al Horford $7,400, and Marc Gasol $7,300
Marcin Gortat vs. DET ($5,200) – It’s well known that the Pistons don’t defend well against big men, despite having two very good big men on their team. With that said, no team has allowed more fantasy points per game in the last 10 games, than the Pistons (60.6 fppg). Gortat has also been posting some solid numbers in recent game. He has double-digit boards in four consecutive games and has scored 27 or more fantasy points in each of those games. Here’s a player who’s on a heater taking on a team who’s been dreadful defending big men, should be fun to watch.
Other values: Rudy Gobert $6,500, Brook Lopez $6,400, Alex Len $5,400, and Jonas Valanciunas $4,900