WATCH: ONE ON ONE – GIANNIS ANTETOKOUNMPO & JAMES HARDEN
Happy Monday everyone! We tip off the week with a seven-game slate and some intriguing options, so let’s waste no time and jump right into it.
Isaiah Thomas ($8,700) – Thomas’ price has dropped $1,400 since Feb. 8th, and he has a very good matchup tonight. The Hawks give up over 55 fantasy points per game to opposing point guards and have allowed 2.55 points above expectation to the position. This is a great spot for Thomas who has displayed his 60+ fantasy point upside and offers a high floor, making him an enticing option in all formats tonight.
Other Options – Giannis Antetokounmpo $10,700, Stephen Curry $9,900, Kyrie Irving $9,000
Cory Joseph ($5,200) – Joseph has started the last two games for the Raptors with Kyle Lowry sidelined and should see another start in tonight’s contest as Lowry is day-to-day with a wrist injury. In his two starts, Joseph has played over 30 minutes in each game and has topped 25 fantasy points both times. Tonight he gets a favorable matchup against the Knicks who rank 26th in defensive efficiency. In addition, they have surrendered the ninth most fantasy points per game to point guards in their last five games. Keep an eye on news heading into lock, as Joseph only makes sense if Lowry is out.
Other Options – Patrick Beverley $5,500, T.J. McConnell $5,500, Tyler Johnson $5,300
DeMar DeRozan ($8,900) – This is a steep price to pay, but if Kyle Lowry misses tonight’s contest, DeRozan could be worth it. When Lowry is out, DeRozan sees a 7.4 percent bump in usage. He has scored 55.75 and 47.5 fantasy points in the last two game with Lowry sidelined. The matchup tonight is one that favors him as the Knicks have allowed 1.15 points above expectation to shooting guards and give up the seventh most fantasy points per game to the position.
Other Options – James Harden $12,000, Klay Thompson $7,000
Lou Williams ($5,400) – Since being traded to the Rockets, Williams is averaging 25.5 minutes, 22 points, one rebound, three assists, 1.5 steals, and 32.25 fantasy points per game. During that stretch he has also drained nine three pointers. I understand it is only two games, but he has played at least 25 minutes and has attempted over 10 shots in each of those games. He faces off against the Pacers who are yielding the 10th most fantasy points per game to shooting guards and are ranked 19th in defensive efficiency. Due to the lack of big minutes, he is only a tournament play for me, but Williams averages 1.2 fantasy points per minute and offers nice upside.
Other Options – Seth Curry $5,900
Andrew Wiggins ($8,200) – Since Zach LaVine has been sidelined, Wiggins is averaging 30.6 points, 4.1 rebounds, 2.9 assists, 1.9 steals, 1.7 three-pointers, 22 field goal attempts and 44.4 fantasy points per game. During that stretch, he has topped 50 fantasy points three times (nine games). With LaVine off the court, Wiggins sees an uptick of 5.0 percent in usage. He has a favorable matchup against a Kings team that ranks 24th in defensive efficiency. They have also surrendered the fourth most fantasy points per game to small forwards in their last five games.
Other Options – LeBron James $10,900, Kevin Durant $10,000, Paul George $7,700
Jae Crowder ($5,300) – Crowder does not offer a ton of upside, but he is efficient on most nights. He is coming off his third double-double of the season and faces a Hawks team that he came one rebound short of a double-double the last time they met. In that contest, he scored 18 points with nine boards and four three-pointers, which was good for 30.8 fantasy points. Atlanta gives up the third most fantasy points, fourth most points and second most three-pointers per game to small forwards, making this a favorable situation for Crowder.
Other Options – Harrison Barnes $6,000, Michael Beasley $5,200
Dario Saric ($7,600) – Saric is playing out of his mind right now. He has topped 38 fantasy points in six straight games, including three 42+ fantasy point games and four consecutive double-doubles. With Joel Embiid sidelined and Nerlens Noel traded, Saric has seen a big boost. He has attempted at least 17 shots in each of his last four games and has not attempted fewer than 15 in six straight. This is a high price to pay, but he has displayed his ability to pay off this salary numerous times in recent games. The Warriors play up in pace, which should create some extra touch opportunities for Saric.
Other Options – Draymond Green $7,700, Robert Covington $7,300, Paul Millsap $7,200
Ryan Anderson ($5,000) – Anderson tends to be volatile, so I will only consider him in tournaments. That being said, he offers very nice upside at this price tag. He has been heating up as of late, scoring at least 16 points in four straight games and draining 15 from beyond the arc during that stretch. The last time he faced off against the Pacers, he scored 27 points, seven rebounds and 40.3 fantasy points. While that alone is not a reason to play him, it is worth noting that Indiana gives up the seventh most fantasy points and second most three-pointers per game to opposing power forwards. In addition, they have allowed 1.12 points above expectation to the position. This is a good spot for Anderson, and hopefully he takes advantage of it once again like he did in January.
Other Options – Serge Ibaka $6,200, Dirk Nowitzki $5,600, Gorgui Dieng $5,500
Hassan Whiteside ($8,000) – This is not a great matchup by any means, but Whiteside’s price is very enticing. He has topped 45 fantasy points in three of his last five games, including a 50+ fantasy point game. The Mavs are giving up the third most rebounds per game to centers and allow 44.3 rebounds per game with a negative 6.0 differential to opposing teams, so Whiteside should dominate the boards in this one. He has a high ceiling and could easily 6X at this price tag, which is what we look for in tournaments.
Other Options – Karl-Anthony Towns $10,800, Dwight Howard $6,900
Myles Turner ($6,100) – Turner’s price is slowly increasing, and that has to do with his recent production. He has topped 30 fantasy points in five of his last six games. Tonight he faces off against the Rockets who are giving up the second most fantasy points per game to centers and have allowed 3.59 points above expectation to the position. In his last 10 games, Turner has exceeded expectations 70 percent of the time by an average of 2.9 points. I have rostered him in recent games and will have exposure to him once again tonight. This should be a paced up game, which will give him some extra touch opportunities.
Other Options – Al Horford $5,900, Tristan Thompson $5,700, Zaza Pachulia $3,900
Note: Keep a close eye on news prior to lock as this could open up some value plays that were not considered early in the day.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Armando28) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.