Today’s NBA targets break down the 8-game NBA slate we have with a look at the studs, sleepers and mid-range players you want to have rotating in your lineups.
POINT GUARD TARGETS
- Kyle Lowry vs. CLE ($10,200) – As long as DeMar DeRozan is out of action for the Raptors due to injury, Lowry remains a legitimate superstar option to build around. It doesn’t matter who he’s facing, although the matchup happens to be pretty good for Lowry who has averaged 49.4 FPPG over his last five games played. I love point guards that do it all, and Lowry is A-1 for me right now. Don’t be afraid to snatch him up in a Stars-and-Scrubs lineup approach.
- Mike Conley vs. DAL ($7,400) – Conley has been on fire with his shot over the last five games played, shooting .533 (32-60) from the field. Plus, he’s been nailing some 3-point shots and hitting his free throws (18-20 for .900) during the same time period. You gotta dig Conley’s 29th OPRK too against the Mavericks, so he should get his numbers even if his team doesn’t.
- Darren Collison vs. LAL ($6,900) – Collison is a borderline value, but I like his matchup too much to ignore him. Plus, with what he’s been doing with his added scoring opportunities with DeMarcus Cousins out of action? Me like-y. I’m not saying Collison is money, but he’s certainly worth taking a chance on at 6.9K. And, hey, if you don’t feel like spending 10.2K on a stud like Kyle Lowry, Collison gives you a nice out with a more balanced approach to your lineup.
- Cory Joseph vs. UTA ($4,700) – Tony Parker is not going to play on Tuesday due to an injured hamstring, so we’ve got ourselves a hell of a value to buy in Cory Joseph. The matchup is good and Joseph should notch over 30 minutes. Do yourself a favor and find a way to get him into your lineup.
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
- Eric Bledsoe vs. MIA ($8,200) – Bledsoe’s salary has climbed significantly since the middle of November, but the numbers he’s putting up certainly merit the increase. Bledsoe’s shot is a bit inconsistent at times, but he does so much everywhere else that you can afford to take the chance on his shot clanking on Tuesday. Over Bledsoe’s last five games played, he is averaging 36.3 FPPG. One thing to keep in mind is that Bledsoe’s shot is much better at home than on the road, especially his 3p% which is .469 (15-32). I’m getting in on his 3-point action with the Heat coming into Phoenix, what about you?
- Dwayne Wade vs. PHO ($7,800) – The last time I suggested Wade he racked up 46.25 fantasy points against the Hawks on 12/3. He should get about 35 fantasy points going into Phoenix, but don’t be surprised if he does more than that. Wade is still a decent value even at the 7.8K price as his salary will continue to rise. This may be the last time you’ll get his services below the 8K mark. Yep, believe it.
- Wesley Matthews vs. DET ($6,000) – Before Matthews hit a rough two-game patch (12/2 @ DEN and 12/4 vs IND), where he only scored 36.5 fantasy points combined, he was putting up a nice string of solid scoring games. Matthews can shoot the ball, which is where most of his value lies, but he can slump in other statistical areas. Still, I like him to put enough points on the board, steal a couple of balls and snag five or so rebounds against the Pistons.
- Gerald Green vs. MIA ($4,700) – Green has averaged 23.2 MPG over his last five contests, although he’s a super-sub when the Suns are fighting injury. I see Green getting around the same average of minutes he’s been securing, which isn’t bad for what you’re paying to land him. Green can sink baskets, so that’s where you’re going to get points from him, but consider yourself lucky if he snags more than four rebounds or three assists a game.
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
- Kevin Durant vs. MIL ($10,600) – Even if Durant has a minutes limit right now, it’s not stopping me from slotting him into my lineup. I actually consider 10.6K a value for Durant, knowing what his salary will rise to once he starts stringing monster games together. Defensively, the Bucks won’t present much of a challenge for Durant.
- Gordon Hayward vs. SA ($7,600) – The Jazz have Hayward to count on from the outside, and that’s really about it. And, I mean, REALLY. Hayward draws a personal 27th OPRK against the Spurs, so we’ll see some pretty snazzy outside work from him. Over his last four games played, Hayward has averaged 32.9 fantasy points but I see a 40-point night on the horizon. Maybe there’s some gut feeling rolled into things here, but the ball will be in Hayward’s hands a ton on Tuesday.
- Wesley Johnson vs. SAC ($4,300) – Johnson hits bad patches at times, although I like his potential in a game with DeMarcus Cousins out of action. Not that Cousins would be blanketing Johnson, but it’s the overall tempo of the offense and the letdown that will happen. Look for Johnson to bounce back and raise his level of game play on Tuesday.
- Shawn Marion vs. TOR ($3,900) – Remember the days of Marion as a fantasy superstar? It really doesn’t seem that long ago, but it has been quite a few years since Marion’s dominant ways. This suggestion is based purely on expected production for the salary dollars paid. Meaning: I’m okay with a 15-point night, and would consider a 20-point night a major bonus for the 3.9K I’m forking over. Marion is lineup-filler material only, a guy that we all look for from time-to-time just to give 15-20 points at a low salary level. So, there… nothing fancy, just a filler guy.
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
- Kevin Love vs. TOR ($9,000) – Love won’t have it easy as his matchup isn’t the greatest for him, but I’m giving him a whirl anyway. Why? Because it’s Kevin Love and he’s scoring 38.4 FPPG in 38.1 MPG over his last four games played. I mean, now call me crazy, but isn’t that a point a minute over his last four games? Sure, Love may not have it quite so easy but the matchup options at PF on Tuesday aren’t very attractive.
- Tim Duncan vs. UTA ($8,500) – Duncan may not play more than 25 minutes due to the matchup facing the Jazz, but he’ll give enough production to make him worth the play. Look for a double-double out of Duncan and a great shot of hitting the 40-point fantasy mark.
- Dirk Nowitzki vs. MEM ($6,400) – Big Dirk is starting to get healthy and that means more minutes for him and his DFS owners. Okay, well, he’s getting enough minutes as it is but really what I’m getting at is that Nowitzki will start playing more consistent basketball. Right? You catching my drift? The thing you have to worry about with Dirk is that the Mavericks are extremely deep so if he is sucking wind he could wind up on the bench late in the game, but this price is too enticing for me to pass on.
- Ed Davis vs. SAC ($4,100) – Hmm. What to make of Carlos Boozer’s benching? Sure, Davis isn’t someone you can expect 40 fantasy points from, but 25 isn’t out of the question with DeMarcus Cousins out of action. Maybe I’m taking this whole Cousins-not-going-to-play thing too far, but Davis is a bit underrated in my book and is now starting for the Lakers. I’d say 4.1K is a bargain.
- Chris Bosh vs. PHO ($8,300) – Where’s my double-double machine? Bosh has come so close, so many times this season, to nailing a double-double. Just last week he missed three double-doubles, one by two rebounds and the other two by one lousy rebound each. Come on, Bosh-y baby, you can do it! Give me my double-double! The Suns are allowing 103.1 PPG on average this season, so Bosh will have a nice shot of getting his points. Now, what about the rebounds? The Suns aren’t anything special when it comes to battling in the paint, so I got Bosh settling for 10-plus rebounds.
- Andre Drummond vs. POR ($8,100) – Drummond has been absolutely hit-or-miss for this price, but I’ve got a good feeling (yes, sometimes feelings pay off) that he’s going to put up major points for owners on Tuesday. Drummond is currently averaging 11.4 PPG and 11.7 RPG, so he’s always a threat for a double-double. Plus, add in his 1.8 BPG and his excellent shot percentage you’ve got a good shot at 40-plus fantasy points. Just like PF on Tuesday, the center position isn’t anything to get excited about regarding matchups.
- Robin Lopez vs. DET ($5,400) – Lopez has a good OPRK (30th) matchup, and it’s really the only reason I’ve got him listed here. The 5.4K is an okay value, nothing to get giggly about, but I do like Lopez’ consistent production overall. Someday he’ll bring in more rebounds on a consistent basis. Until then, be happy with his current 7.1 RPG average and that he gets close to blocking two shots per game.
- Anderson Varejao vs. TOR ($5,200) – I’m tempted by Chris Kaman and his 4.5K salary, but he just doesn’t give enough minutes for me to play him over Varejao who gets a 28th OPRK matchup facing the Raptors. Look for Varejao to net about 25 points, but hope for 30 points.
Good luck on Tuesday! Catch me on Twitter @TheRolyPolyBoy