We tip off the week with an 11-game slate and some interesting options, so let’s jump right into some players to target tonight.
Kemba Walker ($8,100) – Normally I prefer Walker when he plays at home, but this is one of those matchups that is just too good not to consider. The Nets have allowed +3.51 points above expectation to point guards and are yielding the most fantasy points per game to the position. They are bottom three in defensive efficiency and play at the fastest pace in the league, offering more potential touches to opponents. The fact that Walker heads to Brooklyn and is not playing at home, minimizes the chances of a blowout, which means Walker should play his full minutes in this contest. He scored 30 points and 39.8 fantasy points in their last meeting, in 31.3 minutes.
Other Options – Giannis Antetokounmpo $10,300, John Wall $8,800, Kyle Lowry $8,300
Patrick Beverley ($5,800) – Beverley is not going to score a ton of points on a nightly basis, but the peripheral stats are there. Tonight he faces a very poor defensive unit in the Suns. Phoenix has allowed +2.51 points above expectation to point guards and they are yielding the sixth most fantasy points per game to the position. They are in the bottom 10 in defensive efficiency and play at the second highest pace in the league, creating extra potential touches. Beverley finished with 18 points, 9 rebounds, 9 assists, and 44.75 fantasy points against the Suns just a couple games ago.
Other Options – Ricky Rubio $6,000, Deron Williams $5,800, Raymond Felton $3,600 (if he starts), Shabazz Napier $3,000 (if he starts)
C.J. McCollum ($6,800) – This is not the best matchup by any means, but with Damian Lillard not likely to play, McCollum will see more ball handling duties, increasing his upside. In addition, he should also take more shots. As it is, he offers a ton of upside as we have seen him top 45 fantasy points twice in the last eight games. With a potential boost in usage, he makes an enticing tournament play this evening.
Other Options – James Harden $11,900, DeMar DeRozan $8,000
Jamal Crawford ($4,400) – Crawford has played at least 30 minutes in two consecutive games and that has translated to over 27 fantasy points per game. He has attempted 33 shots during that stretch and is shooting 52 percent from the field. If Chris Paul misses another game tonight, Crawford could be in for another night of double-digit shot attempts in a good matchup. The Nuggets are yielding the most fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards.
Other Options – Eric Gordon $5,900, Wesley Matthews $5,500, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope $5,300, Gary Harris $5,100
Paul George ($7,700) – George rolled his ankle in Thursday’s game against the Celtics, but he is fully expected to play in tonight’s game. However, it is something worth keeping an eye on if you intend to play him. That being said, this price is just too low for George who has played well as of late. He has topped 38 fantasy points in three of the last four games and is averaging 39.5 fantasy points per game in his last 10. The matchup favors him as the Bulls are yielding the fifth most fantasy points per game to small forwards.
Editor’s Note: LeBron James is OUT tonight against the Pistons.
Other Options –
LeBron James $9,700, Jimmy Butler $8,200
Trevor Ariza ($5,300) – Ariza has had a couple of poor outings in consecutive games, but is still playing upwards of 34 minutes per game during that stretch. He struggled against the Suns last week, but looks to bounce back tonight as the matchup is still one that favors him. The Suns have allowed 1.16 points above expectation to opposing small forwards. They also play at a fast pace, creating extra touch opportunities. Ariza is very up and down, making him a tournament play for me, but he has 30+ fantasy point upside which is what you want to target at this price range.
Other Options – Harrison Barnes $6,200, T.J. Warren $5,400, Otto Porter $5,300
DeMarcus Cousins ($10,900) – Cousins has scored over 30 real points in four of his last six games and has topped 60 fantasy points in two of his last three. He remains one of the top fantasy options whenever he is on the slate, and tonight is no different. He faces the Sixers who are allowing sixth most rebounds per game (45.7) with a -2.9 differential. They are also in the bottom 10 in defensive efficiency.
Other Options – Anthony Davis $11,100, Kevin Love $8,200, Paul Millsap $8,200, Joel Embiid $7,500
Taj Gibson ($4,900) – Gibson is not a flashy player, but he has been somewhat productive for most of the season. He has a good matchup tonight against the Pacers who have allowed +3.09 points above expectation to opposing power forwards. They are also yielding the seventh most fantasy points and most rebounds per game to the position. Indiana also surrenders the third most rebounds per game (46.7) with a -3.9 differential. He is averaging 24.6 minutes, 10.5 points, 9.0 rebounds, and 26.8 fantasy points in two games against the Pacers this season. I think this is a good spot at a low price for Gibson.
Other Options – Serge Ibaka $6,300, Gorgui Dieng $5,700
Karl-Anthony Towns ($8,400) – Towns dominated the glass several games back against the Hawks who were without Howard, grabbing 18 boards and scoring 17 points, which was good for 47.5 fantasy points. That game was on the road where Towns is averaging fewer rebounds, points, and a significant amount of fantasy points. Tonight he is at home in a game where he should be dominant in (even with Howard due back tonight), making him one of my top options on the slate.
Other Options – DeAndre Jordan $7,300, Marc Gasol $7,200, Brook Lopez $6,400
Cody Zeller ($5,000) – In his last eight games, Zeller is averaging 28.3 minutes, 11.8 points, 7.3 rebounds, 1.1 blocks, 1.1 steals, and 27 fantasy points per game. During that stretch, he has topped 30 fantasy points three times, twice in his last two outings. Tonight he has an elite matchup against the Nets who have allowed +6.21 points above expectation to opposing centers. Brooklyn is also yielding the most fantasy points per game to the position. They surrender the second most rebounds per game (48.1) with a -3.3 differential.
Other Options – Mason Plumlee $5,500, Robin Lopez $4,500
Note: Keep a close eye on news prior to lock as this could open up some value plays that were not considered early in the day.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Armando28) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.