Today’s NBA targets break down the 10-game NBA slate we have with a look at the studs, sleepers and mid-range players you want to have rotating in your lineups.
POINT GUARD TARGETS
- Stephen Curry vs. ORL ($10,300) – It’s possible that Curry won’t play Tuesday due to an ankle injury (X-ray was negative), but in case he’s good to go you’ll want to make sure he’s in your lineup if you’re building around a superstar PG option. Other than Curry, I’ve only got Kyle Lowry or Damian Lillard making my DFS lineup as a PG-build-around. They’re matchups are good enough to make the cut for me, but Curry is only one of five players in Tuesday’s slate of games to average more than 45 FPPG.
- Kyle Lowry vs. SAC ($8,600) – I guess I’m a bit surprised that Lowry’s salary isn’t a bit higher, but, hey, that’s great for us DFS owners. Lowry is going to take on the brunt of the scoring for the Raptors while DeMar DeRozan is dealing with injury, so locking onto Lowry isn’t a bad idea. He’s averaging almost 21 PPG and 44 FPPG over his past 10-games played. You’ve got a pretty solid value here at PG, even at the 8.6K price. Remember, value isn’t always about finding the lowest priced player in town.
- Derrick Rose vs. DAL ($5,900) – If you’re going to slot Rose into your lineup, keep in mind that he’s a major boom-or-bust risk. Now, since I’m a gambling man (ahem) I’m going to give Rose a go due to the price tag. Just make sure you’re open to the idea of Rose spinning out varying hot-or-cold results including: going nuts for 50 fantasy points, sitting on the bench due to injury, leaving the game due to injury, playing half the game, getting sucked up into the sky by UFO… just so many result options that could happen.
- Jose Calderon vs. BKN ($5,600) – Some will argue not to use Calderon with consistency being an issue, and I can see that point. Really, I do; however, the things I’m considering are: 1) Good OPRK matchup 2) Salary is excellent 3) Consistency will be built as Calderon has only recently come off injury. Take the risk with Calderon.
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
- Kobe Bryant vs. DET ($9,400) – I’m not a huge fan of suggesting a player right after a monster night of production, but Bryant is a different breed. I’m not saying he’ll follow-up Sunday’s 68.25 fantasy point game against Toronto with another huge performance, although I do like the matchup. Look for Kobe to use his long-range shot as he takes advantage of the Pistons inability to stop the 3-point shot. The Pistons are currently allowing 2.8 shots per game to shooting guards.
- Tyreke Evans vs. OKC ($7,300) – Evans is giving DFS owners 6.1 RPG, 6.0 APG and 1.4 STLPG and that’s not even including what he provides when his shot is on. The Thunder actually plays solid defense overall, but I don’t see them containing Evans. Look for a 30-point game out of Evans as he’s been averaging 29.3 FPPG over his last five games played.
- Joe Johnson vs. NY ($6,300) – Johnson battles consistency issues from game-to-game, although the key is to slot him in when he’s facing less-than-stellar defensive clubs. The Knicks are certainly just that. They currently give up 28.8 PPG to shooting guards, to go along with 4.8 RPG and 5.3 APG. This is Johnson’s night, a game where I’m not too concerned about him slip slidin’ away.
- Rodney Stuckey vs. PHO ($4,600) – There may not be a better value on Tuesday night than Stuckey, considering the production he’s put up over the last few games. Stuckey’s production is wrapped up in the amount of points he scores, which is a slight negative since he doesn’t give much by way of defensive output. Still, I’m digging his 20.4 FPPG average against the league so far in 2014 for the 4.6K price.
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
- LeBron James vs. MIL ($11,600) – Here we go again. The options at SF on Tuesday really point to building around LeBron. The 28th OPRK matchup is arguably the best on the night, at least for “sure things”. Call me crazy, but I actually don’t mind paying 11.6K on this night for LeBron.
- Josh Smith vs. LAL ($7,300) – The drop in price is pretty significant from LeBron to Smith at SF, but that’s expected. It just depends on your strategy, as always, but squeezing in Smith at 7.3K against the Lakers? A must for me. Even with LeBron filling my SF slot, I’d find room for Smith in my F or UTIL slot. This is my “DFS Play of the Night” with how well Smith has been racking up fantasy points (41.8 FPPG over his last five games) and with the matchup in front of him. I’m betting 90 percent of DFS owners get Smith in their lineups on Tuesday. Okay, kidding. Maybe 70 percent? Still kidding. I think.
- Draymond Green vs. ORL ($5,800) – Take advantage of this salary while you can, or at least until David Lee returns to action. Green isn’t going to keep up this kind of point production rate, but that’s okay. We DFS’ers love it when bench or role players jump up to the starters role when a player is injured. Green is averaging 29.7 FPPG on the season, but be happy if he nets you 25 points.
- DeMarre Carroll vs. BOS ($5,100) – We should see Carroll’s minutes get back up over the 30 MPG mark on Tuesday with his second game back from injury. The matchup is good enough for Carroll that I wouldn’t be surprised to see a double-double performance out of him, although a slim chance. Still, worth locking in with the limited top-tier SF options.
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
- Paul Millsap vs. BOS ($8,900) – It’s easy to recommend Millsap on Tuesday with his 37.6 FPPG average and that he nets a 30th OPRK facing the Celtics, who have lost four games in a row now and are allowing a league high 107.6 PPG. There aren’t many better matchups, so it’s okay to wipe that drool from the corner of your mouth. Millsap is a no-brainer option for me at PF, assuming you’re building around PF and say… SF. I see a LeBron and Millsap core for my lineup as a fantastic possibility in a Studs-and-Duds format.
- Greg Monroe vs. LAL ($7,000) – Monroe is a matchup based play for me as he draws the Lakers and their defense. Normally, if I’m spending this kind of money on my PF I want more of a sure thing, but I feel good about Monroe with his Lakers draw. I won’t feel shocked one bit if Monroe puts up his best game of the season.
- David West vs. PHO ($6,700) – I’m not thrilled about the matchup, but I do like the decent value for what West is capable of putting up in his short-stint return to action from injury. I expect double-digit points scored, close to double-digit rebounds and some points to come from assists/steals for a 30-point fantasy night.
- Brandon Bass vs. ATL ($5,500) – For the minutes that Bass provides, you’re actually going to get a nice return overall on Tuesday. If we could see 30-plus minutes from Bass, we could see 30-plus fantasy points. That’s the ceiling on him, and his salary now represents a fair price for what he’s putting up. I list him as a “value” still, mainly since I’m not willing to commit to any other PF in this range.
- Nikola Vucevic vs. GS ($8,500) – I wouldn’t call Vucevic matchup proof, but he’s pretty close to it with his 18.6 PPG/11.7 RPG double-double average which leads to a 39.6 FPPG number. I find the 8.5K salary reasonable, which is the lowest it’s been since the middle of November. Vucevic’s 10th OPRK matchup is not a good one, but I’m fine with giving him a spot in my lineup with his solid history in 2014.
- Roy Hibbert vs. PHO ($7,000) – Hibbert is my third Pacers player up for recommendation on Tuesday, and while the Suns aren’t a poor club they do bring up the bottom portion of the league with a 103.3 points allowed per game average. Keep in mind that Hibbert is expected to return to action coming off an illness, although there is still a slight chance he sits in this one.
- Tyson Chandler vs. CHI ($6,600) – It’s all about the double-double potential on a nightly basis with Chandler, plus when you add in the BPG average (1.5) you realize he’s a meat-and-potatoes kind of guy that is putting up 31.5 FPPG without hitting the 7K range.
- Chris Kaman vs. DEN ($4,600) – It’s the same with Kaman as it is with Brandon Bass – good points are accumulated in limited MPG. Kaman sees his salary dip to the lowest its’ been since November 17, so that’s a pretty good sign he’s been consistent with his seasonal play. Kaman is only someone I’m using on Tuesday if I need a player I can count on for points under 5K.
Good luck on Tuesday! Catch me on Twitter @TheRolyPolyBoy