There are four games on tap for Monday night, so you know where to turn your attention if MIA-NYJ doesn’t turn out to be the thrilling barn-burner we’re all expecting. Here are some players to consider for your lineups tonight:
POINT GUARD TARGETS
- Chris Paul vs. MIN ($10,100) – A stud at PG might be a good way to start your team tonight, because even with only eight teams in action, you’ve got a pair of elite options, starting with Paul, who is the top option every time the Clippers take the floor. He doesn’t have the perfect match-up tonight, as Minnesota has been successful in limiting some other point guards recently, but let’s face it: Paul is his own good matchup. If the Clippers are going to see any success – and it would be more surprising if that didn’t happen – Paul is going to be a big part of it.
- John Wall vs. MIA ($9,900) – And here is the other elite option. As good as Paul is, if you decided to sit him for Wall, I wouldn’t blame you, even if the savings is only a couple hundred bucks. The matchup is a little better here, and the production has been strikingly similar – if you round off all the numbers, both Wall and Paul are averaging 18-9-4 with 2 steals. And while Chris Paul is steady as she goes, Wall actually does hit those averages with slightly better performances at home and slightly worse on the road, so tonight he could make a lot of sense.
- Michael Carter-Williams vs. SA ($8,000) – I know, I know, $8,000 is not cheap. But if you can’t afford one of the top guys, or are looking to fill a G or UTIL spot with a quality option, MCW got an uptick in both minutes and opportunities when Wroten went down. He spent the rest of the game with the ball in his hands, and finished with 18-10-16. That kind of production might not be on the table against the Spurs, but he could put in a solid effort.
- Alexey Shved vs. SA ($3,900) – The other way to find value from Wroten’s injury, Shved saw a good old-fashioned minutes spike, going from an average of about 16 per game to 26 Saturday night. He’s not that great, and he doesn’t have a good matchup, but he’s cheap. It would be reasonable to expect something like 12-4-4 with slightly more upside than that if his shot is falling.
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
- Dwayne Wade @ WAS ($7,200) – Well, he’s playing. Might as well take advantage while it lasts. When he’s been on the court this season, the Miami offense has flowed through him, and that was true as soon as he returned from his most recent injured stint, as he got you a 27-5-5 last night. But there’s the scary part: last night. Who knows what he does in the second of a pair of back-to-backs.
- Bradley Beal vs. MIA ($5,700) – Shooting guard is a bit thinner than the PG slot tonight, with Beal coming in at fourth on the list. But he’s here because he did finally get back the starter’s role last week after slowing gearing up to it post-injury. And he’s here because he’s got such a sweet stroke – for $5,700, the chance is there for multiple treys, which, you know, is useful..
- Manu Ginobili @ PHI ($4,900) – Obviously, the Spurs playing Philly is a double-edged sword – one the one hand, obviously a good matchup. On the other hand, Ginobili might sit the fourth quarter, or more. However, Tony Parker recently revealed that he is playing through what may or may not be a broken rib, so Ginobili could see some more ball-handling responsibility on the offensive end, and he could be the second guy to hit the bench in a blowout instead of the first. For $4,900, the potential is there for a solid stat line.
- J.J. Redick vs. MIN ($4,100) – After a brutal start to the season, Redick has seen his three-point % steadily rise over the course of November, and now he’s playing a team that makes a habit of leaving shooters open. And Chris Paul has a habit of exploiting that kind of thing.
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
- Kawhi Leonard @ PHI ($7,500) – He’s not the second-most expensive option at his position very often, but his stock has been rising. And for good reason – 40+ fantasy points in two of three will do that for you. Also, Philly.
- Gordon Hayward vs. DEN ($8,100) – When Corey Brewer is #3 on the list, you mention the top two. Hayward is consistent, with upside. You can count on 25 points, and hope for 40. In his last ten games, he has some of each, but interesting, not a single game in the thirties – he’s either average, or great. Denver has the potential to let out the great tonight.
- Paul Pierce vs. MIA ($5,400) – For this price, he’s getting the minutes, coming in at almost 30 a night. And he has the pedigree. And something tells me just the very sight of the Heat uniforms might bring out his best.
- Shabazz Muhammad @ LAC ($4,000) – It was not easy to find a second value play at this position. Muhammad could potentially fit the bill, assuming Wiggins is still not at 100%. Wiggins did play last night in a return from an illness, but only got 18 minutes and was not at full strength, and there is no reason to expect he will be tonight. Muhammad, on the other hand, averages 15 minutes and seven shot attempts per game all season, and then racks up 30 and 17 against Portland last night. If he gets even somewhere in between – say, 25 and 12 – then he is worth the price.
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
- Tim Duncan @ PHI ($8,600) – For downside, see Ginobili, Manu (the possibility of sitting the entire second half). For upside, see the 76ers interior defense. And, for that matter, their exterior defense – Duncan could have 6 or 7 of the easiest assists of his career tonight, dishing off to wide open shooters.
- Blake Griffin vs. MIN ($9,800) – Griffin is one of those guys who comes by his fantasy average honestly. There are not a lot of peaks and valleys – he averages just under 40 points a game, and something like that is usually what he gets you. So, there is not often 50 point upside, but you don’t have to risk those infuriating 25-fantasy-point, good-NBA-game-but-terrible-fantasy-game outings you get from basically every other power forward from time to time.
- Nerlens Noel vs. SA ($5,600) – Whether he is starting or coming off the bench, he’s getting plenty of run. And, he is the opposite of Griffin, getting to his average of of 23 points with a whole lot of 15’s and some 30’s mixed in. But the peaks have been coming more frequently recently, with 30+ fantasy points in three of his last six.
- Boris Diaw @ PHI ($5,000) – With Tiago Splitter still inactive, Diaw is seeing an uptick in usage and, bonus, he is the kind of guy who might stay out there in the fourth quarter of a blowout.
- Chris Bosh @ WAS ($8,800) – Washington has had success limiting most centers, but Bosh is not built like most centers. Washington’s success defensively comes in large part due to Marcin Gortat, and Gortat might have trouble getting out on Bosh’s jump shot, and considering how many chances Bosh is getting this year, it is hard to argue with him as the top option on the board tonight, and a solid option for your lineup every night, regardless of matchup, especially on the second night of a back-to-back, when Wade might be taking more of a limited role.
- Marcin Gortat vs. MIA ($6,700) – The flip side of the same coin, and for $2,100 less. The upside of Bosh is not there for Gortat, but Miami doesn’t really have anyone to truly shut down Gortat in the post, or on the boards. The question is really how much Washington will feature him, if at all.
- Timofey Mosgov @ UTA ($5,700) – In studying the cheaper center options for tonight, it made me want to draft Bosh. But Mosgov has been playing better recently, and has seen a few more minutes, as Denver has been trying to take advantage of his bulk, something they don’t really have elsewhere on the roster. And yet, only three rebounds his last time out. You need that figure to be pushing double-digits for him to be a useful play, and that might be tough to accomplish against Utah’s depth in the frontcourt.
- Rudy Gobert vs. DEN ($3,700) – It’s a risk, for sure. But he’s been good when he’s been out there this season, and Denver seems like the kind of matchup that might fit Gobert’s athleticism more than Kanter’s size (and Kanter’s minutes have been very up and down as well).