We tip off the week with a five-game slate, so let’s jump right into some players to target tonight.
Eric Bledsoe ($7,400) – Bledsoe has had some big games and some underwhelming games in recent weeks. He is averaging 32.5 minutes, 22.2 points, 5.4 assists, 4.6 rebounds, 2.1 steals and 41.05 fantasy points in his last 10 games. During that stretch he has topped 50 fantasy points five times and scored fewer than 30 fantasy points three times. He is a volatile play, but one that possesses a ton of upside in a favorable matchup. The Timberwolves are ranked fourth worst in defense efficiency and have allowed +2.11 points above expectations to opposing point guards. The last time Bledsoe faced off against Minnesota, he scored 50.5 fantasy points.
Other Options – Russell Westbrook $12,800, John Wall $9,700
Ricky Rubio ($5,400) – Rubio has put together two consecutive strong performances and remains cheap in a great spot. The Suns are yielding the seventh most fantasy points and third most real points per game to PGs, while being ranked seventh worst in defense efficiency. In addition, they have allowed +4.03 points above expectations to the position. Phoenix plays fast, which should create more touch opportunities for Rubio. In their last meeting he scored 26.3 fantasy points in 24.4 minutes. He does not score much, but he does get peripheral stats which increases his upside.
Other Options – Dennis Schroder $6,900, Deron Williams $5,900
Bradley Beal ($6,800) – Beal gets a good matchup against the Pacers tonight who are playing up in pace this season (11 highest in NBA). They are also yielding the ninth most fantasy points and fifth most three pointers to opposing shooting guards. Beal is averaging career highs in points, assists, 3-point attempts, 3-pointers made and field goal percentage, and remains a huge part of this Wizards offense. His price is creeping up, but he has displayed his 40+ and 50+ fantasy point upside several times this season, so he can certainly return value at this price tag.
Other Options – Zach LaVine $6,800
Wesley Matthews ($5,600) – Matthews has cooled down in his last three games but he continues to play over 33 minutes per game. In his defense, he had some difficult matchups during that stretch and played against teams that play at a slow pace. Tonight, however, that is not the case as he faces a Nuggets team playing at the sixth highest pace and giving up the most fantasy points per game to the position. Denver has allowed +1.32 points above expectations to opposing shooting guards, per Fantasy Labs. This is a great bounce back spot for Matthews at a reasonable price.
Other Options – Kentavious Caldwell-Pope $5,300, Tim Hardaway Jr. $4,700, Seth Curry $3,500
Paul George ($8,100) – The small forward position is very thin tonight, but George is one of the few bright spots available. He has topped 40 fantasy points in four of his last eight games (including a 50+ fantasy point outing) and has scored fewer than 35 fantasy points just once during that stretch. He remains reasonably priced for the upside he offers.
Other Options – Jimmy Butler $8,500
Andrew Wiggins ($6,700) – This is not the best value, but Wiggins is in a very good spot tonight. He faces the Suns who are yielding the ninth most fantasy points per game and have allowed 1.99 points above expectations to opposing small forwards. The Suns also play up in pace, potentially creating more touch opportunities for Wiggins. This contest has the highest projected total and just a 5.5 point spread, so a blowout is unlikely, which means Wiggins should get his normal 35+ minutes. On a night where the options for this position are thin, I think Wiggins make a ton of sense.
Other Options – Harrison Barnes $6,500, Thabo Sefolosha $4,600, Dorian Finney-Smith $3,600
Paul Millsap ($7,500) – If you are paying up at power forward tonight, Millsap is your best option. He faces a Thunder team that is giving up 46 fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards. In their last meeting, Millsap scored 41.8 fantasy points against OKC. He has topped 40 fantasy points in four of his last six games, including a 50+ fantasy point outing, while scoring fewer than 36 fantasy points just once during that stretch. His price seems a bit low for his abilities, and in a paced up game, he could see some extra touches.
John Leuer ($4,200) – Leuer missed his last game with back spasms and is listed as questionable for tonight’s contest, so his status is definitely worth monitoring. That being said, if he plays and has no restrictions, he is an enticing value play. In three of his last four games, he has topped 26 fantasy points and has scored at least 17 points in those games, while playing no less than 28 minutes. The Bulls are yielding the tenth most fantasy points per game to power forwards and have allowed +1.73 points above expectations.
Other Options – Gorgui Dieng $5,700, Markieff Morris $5,200
Karl-Anthony Towns ($8,900) – Towns is coming off of a monster game against the Rockets where he scored 41 points, grabbed 15 boards and dished out five dimes. That performance was good for 68.25 fantasy points. He has now topped 40 fantasy points in three straight games and has scored over 50 fantasy points twice during that stretch. He has a favorable matchup this evening against a Suns team that has allowed +2.38 points above expectations to opposing centers and are yielding the second most fantasy points per game over their last five games. In their last meeting, Towns scored 22 points and grabbed 10 boards, which was good for 45 fantasy points.
Other Options – Andre Drummond $7,700
Marcin Gortat ($6,000) – Gortat is not the best value, but given that there are not many great cheap options, his mid-range salary makes him worth a look. He faces a Pacers team that is yielding the third most rebounds per game (46.9) and has a -4.4 differential, while surrendering the third most rebounds per game to opposing centers (16.6). In addition, Indiana has allowed +4.48 points above expectations to the position. Gortat has topped 35 fantasy points in two of his last three games and has double-digit rebounds in eight of his last 10.
Other Options – Myles Turner $6,300
Note: Keep a close eye on news prior to lock as this could open up some value plays that were not considered early in the day.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Armando28) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.