We tip off the week with a seven game slate and some interesting options to choose from, so let’s jump right into some player to target tonight.
John Wall ($9,000) – Wall has scored 50 or more fantasy points in seven of his last 10 games, including two 60+ fantasy point games during that stretch. He has exceeded value 70 percent of the time by an average of 7.61 points in that span. Tonight he faces off against a respectable Miami defense, but one he was able to score 50.8 fantasy points against in their last meeting. Wall is ninth in the league with a 31.2 percent usage rate, while averaging career bests in points, FG%, 3-PT% and steals.
Other Options – Chris Paul $8,900, Kyle Lowry $8,100
Deron Williams ($5,700) – Williams is having a very good December, averaging 13.8 points, nine assists, two rebounds, 32.5 minutes and 30.75 fantasy points per game. He has scored fewer than 29 fantasy points just once during that time frame. Tonight he faces a Denver defense that has allowed +3.59 points above expectation to opposing point guards and is giving up the fourth most fantasy points per game. Not to mention, they play at the league’s sixth highest pace, which creates more potential touches for opposing players.
Other Options – Patrick Beverly $4,900, Darren Collison $4,900
James Harden ($11,400) – Everything lines up perfectly for Harden tonight, with the exception of a potential blowout as the Rockets are 14.5 point favorites. This contest has the highest projected total of the slate at 229 points, and Houston has by far the highest implied team total at 121.75. The Nets have allowed +3.53 points above expectation and are yielding the fourth most fantasy points per game to the position. Lastly, Brooklyn plays at the second highest pace in the league, so this should be an up-tempo game. Harden remains one of the top DFS options whenever he is on the slate and tonight is no different.
Other Options – DeMar DeRozan $7,700, Bradley Beal $6,700
C.J. Miles ($3,900) – With Monta Ellis out this evening, Miles is expected to get the start. He faces a Charlotte defense that has allowed 1.47 points above expectation to shooting guards and the most three-pointers per game to opposing wings. Miles is averaging 0.95 fantasy points per minute and could play 25+ minutes which translates into roughly 23 fantasy points, providing a good return on investment at this price. He is small forward eligible as well, which is a plus considering how thin the position is this evening.
Other Options – Wesley Matthews $5,600, Eric Gordon $5,400
Paul George ($8,300) – George is the most expensive player at his position, but I believe he’s the one with the most upside. He is coming off a season high 37 points against the Trail Blazers and has now topped 40 fantasy points in three of his last four games. The matchup is not elite, but the Hornets have allowed +1.58 points above expectation to opposing small forwards. If you decide to pay up at this position, I believe George is the most enticing option.
Omri Casspi ($3,100) – Full disclosure, Casspi is very up and down. The Kings’ rotations have been inconsistent this season, but Casspi is averaging 22.4 minutes per game over his last five and has played fewer than 20 minutes just once during that stretch. In that timeframe, he is averaging 9.4 points, 4.2 rebounds, 1.6 assists and 18.75 fantasy points per game. He has now scored double-digit points and has topped 17 fantasy points in three straight. At near minimum salary he provides a solid floor assuming his role remains the same this evening.
Other Options – Trevor Ariza $5,400, Dorian Finney-Smith $3,100
DeMarcus Cousins ($10,900) – Cousins has topped 53 fantasy points in eight of his last nine games. He faces a Lakers team that has allowed +3.89 points above expectation to the position and the third most fantasy points per game. Boogie scored 28 points and grabbed nine rebounds in his last outing against the Lakers, which was good for 48.8 fantasy points.
Other Options – Blake Griffin $8,500 (questionable for tonight’s game)
Dwight Powell ($4,800) – Powell is averaging 26 minutes, 11 points, 6.3 rebounds, 1.5 assists and 23.6 fantasy points per game over his last six games. During that stretch, he has not scored fewer than 20 fantasy points in any game. He has been seeing more run due to injuries to fellow teammates, Andrew Bogut and Dirk Nowitzki, and should once again see an expanded role as they are not expected to play tonight. The Nuggets have allowed +1.27 points above expectation to opposing power forwards. At this price, Powell should be able to at least pay off his salary.
Other Options – Julius Randle $6,300, Harrison Barnes $6,100
Hassan Whiteside ($8,400) – After scoring single-digit points in two consecutive games, Whiteside bounced back on Saturday with a 20 point game against the Bulls. Tonight he is playing a Wizards team that is yielding the fifth most rebounds per game to opposing centers and has allowed +4.85 points above expectation to the position. In his last meeting with Washington, Whiteside scored 18 points, grabbed 18 boards and blocked three shots, which was good for 49.5 fantasy points. He is in a favorable spot and is at the cheapest he has been since the start of December.
Other Options – DeAndre Jordan $6,500
Greg Monroe ($4,600) – Monroe appears to have solidified a spot in the rotation and has now played at least 20 minutes in seven straight games, averaging 22.43 minutes per game in that time span. During that stretch, he is averaging 10.6 points, seven rebounds, 2.9 assists, 1.7 steals and 27.1 fantasy points per game. He has topped 30 fantasy points three times in his last seven contests. At this price, he has 6-7X potential, making him an enticing tournament option.
Other Options – Marcin Gortat $6,000, Nikola Jokic $5,800
Note: Keep a close eye on news prior to lock as this could open up some value plays that were not considered early in the day.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Armando28) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.