Greetings Gamers! With no college football to focus on Saturday, we can turn our full attention to the NBA which has one early game tipping off at 5:00pm ET and a very tasty eight game set beginning at 7:00pm ET. DraftKings has posted nearly $2M in guaranteed prizes, including both cash and ticket qualifiers. On to the fun!
Stephen Curry – GSW at MIL – $10,700 – Last night’s double overtime thriller in Boston was just an amazing game to watch. Draymond Green – $8,200 posted a triple double on his way to 71.3 DraftKings points in 50 minutes and Curry fell just two assists shy of one himself as he tallied 68.3 DraftKings point in 47 minutes. With each win the target on Golden State grows, however, so does their determination. There is a chance that the Bucks could keep this one close if the Warriors are feeling a little lead legged after logging so many minutes last night, which would keep Curry and Green on the floor longer than normal in this matchup.
John Wall – WAS vs DAL – $9,300 – This month Wall has been phenomenal through the first seven games. His two “worst” games are a pair of 39 DraftKings point performances against Phoenix and at Miami, he has had two more in the mid-50s against Dallas and at New Orleans and then three above 62.8 fantasy points against Houston, the Lakers and at Cleveland. There is not much else to say. He is in “the zone” right now and has another solid matchup in Dallas tonight against a mediocre at best Mavericks backcourt.
Shaun Livingston – GS at MIL – $3,400 – If Klay Thompson – $6,800 is out again tonight with his ankle injury, Livingston should be in line for a solid 24-28 rotation minutes and he is an outstanding discount dandy.
D’Angelo Russell – LAL at HOU – $4,800 – On the season the Rockets have allowed the sixth most fantasy points to opposing point guards, with the return of Patrick Beverly they have managed to claw their way out of the bottom third for fantasy points allowed over the last three weeks, just barely though. The Lakers are on a back-to-back and with Jordan Clarkson looking highly doubtful with his ankle injury and Kobe’s legs losing their spring, this looks like a game where Russell should see heavy minutes.
James Harden – HOU vs LAL – $10,800 – The Beard projects as one of the top three highest scoring players on Saturday night in most models. This matchup also has the highest game total of the night at 209.5 points. Harden has posted 50+ DraftKings points in eight of his last ten games, including two 70+ fantasy point performances. If his head is in the game tonight, he should have no trouble being the top fantasy producer for Saturday.
Wesley Matthews – DAL vs WAS – $5,300 – Look, we cannot expect a replication of Wesley’s career high 10 three-pointers made last Sunday in Washington, however, he splits his time between shooting guard and small forward and the Wizards are allowing the most fantasy points to those two positions on the season. A more realistic projection would have Matthews with 25ish fantasy points and a decent chance at the thirty fantasy point plateau in this matchup. That is just fine by me for all formats with his current reasonable price tag.
Gary Neal – WAS at DAL – $3,800 – Sticking in the same game, if Bradley Beal – $7,200 is out again tonight with a sore knee (he was a surprise late scratch on Friday) both Neal and Garrett Temple – $3,200 will see around 25 minutes and that should be enough to pay off their low price points. While it would likely be Temple who starts, my preference is Neal, if the extra $600 is available as he is generally the more reliable performer of the pair.
Paul George – IND at DET – $10,200 – PG13 is having an excellent season and is actually third in the NBA scoring race with a 27.7 point per game average, behind only James Harden and Stephen Curry. While the Pistons have been solid against small forwards, they have struggled against power forwards. George spends time at both positions, generally focusing on where he has the better matchup. Over his last ten games, he has never taken less than 17 shots, giving him an excellent floor and allowing him to have 60+ fantasy point upside if they are finding the bottom of the net.
Jae Crowder – BOS at CHA – $5,700 – Crowder did play a season high 48 minutes last night in the double overtime loss to the Warriors. He is an important cog in the Boston offense and with his ability to contribute across the stat sheet, I like him in this matchup against a Charlotte squad that is pretty thin as a result of injuries.
Otto Porter – WAS at DAL – $5,900 – If Bradley Beal is out again tonight, Porter will see a bump in opportunity as the Wizards secondary scoring option. He has tallied 30+ DraftKings points in three of his last four outings and is a fine mid-tier option in all formats.
Kristaps Porzingis – NYK at POR – $7,600 – The fourth overall draft pick has been phenomenal this season and he has 40 fantasy point upside every time he takes the court. He does have sub-20 fantasy point games when the rookie struggles rear up, however, in this matchup against Portland, he has been a mainstay of the lineups I have built thus far today.
Draymond Green – GS at MIL – $8,200 – As mentioned above in the Curry recommendation, Green is a fine play and while he will likely be tired after last night’s marathon game, Golden State is still continuing to make history with each successive win and this is a nice spot for Draymond.
Cody Zeller – CHA vs BOS – $4,700 – With Big Al Jefferson on the shelf, Zeller has started the last five games for the Hornets. That should continue tonight and he is an adequate punt play if you are looking to save at a forward slot.
Andre Drummond – DET vs IND – $9,500 – As always, Drummond is a fine player to roster when you are looking for high upside. In his last eight games, he has exceeded 50 DraftKings points five times. Indiana has been solid this season against opposing post players, however, Ian Mahinmi and Lavoy Allen are no match for a player of Drummond’s caliber.
Festus Ezeli – GS at MIL – $4,500 – With the Dubs looking to keep Andrew Bogut’s minutes in check, Ezeli has been seeing consistent playing time and in crucial situations. He continues to be overlooked as an option and he is in play at this very cap friendly price level.
Kelly Olynyk – BOS at CHA – $4,200 – It is not chasing points if we don’t expect him to approach 50 DraftKings points. Over his last five games, Olynk has been on fire making 57.1% of his field goals and even if we exclude last night’s masterful performance, he is averaging 15.8 points and 27.6 fantasy points in that stretch. That is nice production for a discounted salary.