Today’s NBA targets breakdown takes a look at tonight’s games, Saturday January 3rd and pinpoints some studs and sleepers you might want to target at each position.
POINT GUARD TARGETS
Chris Paul vs. PHI ($10,900) – Paul had an off game on New Year’s Eve. He should have no problem bouncing back tonight. He faces the Sixers which allow the second most fantasy points per game to opposing point guards (51.1). Paul has score more than 45 fantasy points in six of the last 10 games. He’s scored more than 50 fantasy points in four of those games. He should have no trouble filling up the stat sheet this evening.
Other Studs: John Wall $10,400, Damian Lillard $10,200, and Kemba Walker $9,900
Trey Burke at MIN ($5,800) – How time changes everything. Last week I wrote about Burke because he was at $3,000. One week later, and his price increased $2,800. Burke has played well in recent games. With Alec Burks out for the season, it has created more minutes and opportunities for Burke. In the last four games, Burke has played more than 30 minutes per game and has scored more than 24 fantasy points in each of those games. At this price he remains solid value. So if you’re looking for a more economical point guard that has a decent floor, Burke is good option.
Other Values: Tony Wroten $5,700, Elfrid Payton $5,200, and Aaron Brooks $4,000
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
James Harden vs. MIA ($11,600) – Harden is a fantasy beast. He has scored more than 60 fantasy points in five of the last ten games. He will take on the Heat, that are allowing a little over 40 fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards in the last 10 games. The two best shooting guards will face each other this evening. While both are great plays, Harden’s ceiling is higher. He’s been playing really well as of late, so ride that momentum tonight.
Other Studs: Dwayne Wade $8,800, Bradley Beal $6,500, and Danny Green $6,400
Wesley Matthews vs. ATL ($6,100) – I think that at this price Matthews is great value. In the last four games, he has scored more than 30 fantasy points in each game. Keep in mind, his season average is 27.7 fantasy points per game. He faces the Hawks who are allowing 44.1 fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards.
Other Values: Victor Oladipo $5,400, Kyle Korver $5,200, and J.J. Redick $5,200
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
Gordon Hayward at MIN ($8,100) – Hayward heads to Minnesota to take on the Timberwolves who are allowing 46.3 fantasy points per game to opposing small forwards in their last 10 games. Believe it or not, he’s had more success in away games this season. He’s averaging 36.2 fantasy points per game on the road, and 32.6 fantasy points per game at home. He played the Timberwolves earlier this season and dropped 26 real points on them, and scored 37 fantasy points. He’s the most expensive small forward tonight, but it’s not an amount that will give a big blow to your salary cap.
Other Studs: Tobias Harris $7,300
Andrew Wiggins vs. UTA ($6,300) – Wiggins may not be as cheap as most are used to him being, but he has been playing some big minutes as of late and producing plenty of fantasy points. He has played 35+ minutes and scored 30+ fantasy points in four of his last five games. He’s also attempted more than 15 shots in four of the last five games. He takes on the Jazz who have allowed 39 fantasy points per game to opposing small forwards in their last 10 games. Wiggins had a good game against the Jazz the last time they played. He scored 32.8 fantasy points in that game.
Other values: Jeff Green $6,000, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist $5,200, and Matt Barnes $4,900
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
Pau Gasol vs. BOS ($9,200) – Gasol is the fourth most expensive power forward of the evening, but has the best matchup of those at his position. He faces the Celtics that are giving up 49.1 fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards. He is averaging a double-double in two games against the Celtics this season. This game will be in Chicago where he averages 41.7 fantasy points per game. The Bulls will be without Jimmy Butler and Mike Dunleavy, so Gasol should see more minutes and shots tonight. You’ll save some cash by plugging in Gasol, yet you’re still getting elite numbers.
Other Studs: Blake Griffin $11,300, LaMarcus Aldridge $10,500, and Derrick Favors $7,800
Robert Convington at LAC ($5,500) – Covington has had much more success on the road than at home this season. Tonight he travels to Los Angeles to take on the Clippers. On the road, Convington averages 27.1 fantasy points per game. He has scored 30 or more fantasy points in six of his last 10 games. The Clippers have been generous to power forwards in their last 10 games, allowing them to score 50.1 fantasy points per game. Covington is a great bargain at this price, especially if you’re trying to save some money at the power forward position.
Other Values: Kenneth Faried $7,400, Jared Sullinger $6,300, and Thaddeus Young $6,200
Marc Gasol at DEN ($9,700) – If you’re thinking of spending the big bucks at the center position, your best bet would be to pay up for Gasol. He has a high floor and a high ceiling. In the last 10 games, he has scored over his yearly average of 40.4 fantasy points per game, six times. He has a favorable matchup against the Nuggets who are allowing 49.6 fantasy points per game to opposing centers, and 53.4 fantasy points per game in their last five games. With Randolph questionable for tonight’s game, Gasol could once again be in for a bigger workload. He should have no trouble dominating against the Nuggets.
Other Studs: Nikola Vucevic $8,900, DeAndre Jordan $8,700, and Chris Bosh $8,300
Bismack Biyombo at ORL ($4,300) – If you’re looking for a dirt cheap center that is starting and should play more than 25 minutes, then Biyombo is your guy. He disappointed last night, but has a great matchup against the Magic tonight. The Magic are allowing opposing centers to score 50 fantasy points per game. In their last five games, they’ve actually yielded 57.2 fantasy points per game to centers. Biyombo will not score many points, but should be a good resource of blocks and boards. I’ll give him one more shot tonight, if my plan is to save money at this position.
Other values: Rudy Gobert $4,900 and Henry Sims $4,500