Today’s NBA targets breakdown takes a look at tonight’s games, Saturday December 6th and pinpoints some studs and sleepers you might want to target at each position.
POINT GUARD TARGETS
Chris Paul vs. NO ($10,100) – In tonight’s games if you’re leaning towards playing a high-level point guard, Paul and Stephen Curry are both in play. Paul is $200 cheaper and has a good matchup. He’ll play the Pelicans that have been allowing 47 fantasy points per game to opposing point guards in the last five games. Paul is averaging 43 fantasy points for the season, so there’s a good chance he nears his yearly average. Keep in mind, Stephen Curry lit the Pelicans up for 51.25 fantasy points on Thursday.
Stephen Curry at CHI ($10,300) – Curry will play the Bulls which allow 42.5 fantasy points per game to opposing point guards, which is second most allowed. He averages 46.2 fantasy points per game, but has exceeded that three times in the last six games. You know what you’re getting when you pay got Curry. It’s just a matter if you want to pay up or not.
Derrick Rose vs.GS ($6,100) – It’s clear that Rose still has some rust to shake off, but he’s still producing fantasy points. Over the last four games, he’s scored more than 30 fantasy points twice. Keep in mind his yearly average is 28.4. Golden State has been pretty decent on the defensive side, but in the last five games they’re surrendering 41 fantasy points per game to opposing point guards. This is not the cheapest point guard available, but he’s a stud at a great price, so I consider that value.
Zach LaVine at SA ($4,600) – LaVine is expected to get the start for the Timberwolves tonight, as Ricky Rubio and Mo Williams are out with injuries. He started last night and scored 17 points, had six rebounds, four assists, and one three pointer. That was good for 30 fantasy points. It was one of his better games this season. The Spurs by no means are an easy matchup, but over the course of the last 10 games, they’ve been more generous to point guards, allowing just over 40 fantasy points per game.
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
James Harden vs. PHO ($11,300) – In the last seven games, Harden has put of a 50+ burger four times. He’s simply balling. What’s even more enticing is his matchup. The Bucks give up the fifth most fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards (38.6), but in recent weeks have struggled even more as they’ve allowed an average of 42.5 fantasy points per game in the last five games. If you’re thinking of throwing big money down on a shooting guard, Harden is as good as it gets.
Eric Bledsoe at HOU ($8,000) – Bledsoe is the second most expensive shooting guard this week, and he’s $3300 cheaper than Harden is. If I’m setting up a lineup, I’m taking that discount if a high-level shooting guard is in my plans. While the ceiling certainly isn’t near Harden’s, Bledsoe is still consistent and puts up decent numbers. In the last two games he’s scored more than 35 fantasy points in each game. He’ll be matched up against Harden who is known not to play good defense. Give him a go.
Danny Green vs. MIN ($5,500) – The last four games that Green has played more than 30 minutes, he’s put up over 37 fantasy points in each of those games. There’s a good chance he sees that this evening. Last time he played the Timberwolves; he played 35 minutes and scored 37.75 fantasy points. Earlier this week he blew up against Brooklyn and scored 50 fantasy points. He’s been on a pretty decent streak, and it should continue tonight against a team that allows the fourth most fantasy points to shooting guards (38.7).
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope vs. PHI ($4,900) – Talk about a player who’s been quietly filling up the stat sheets in recent games. He has scored 29 or more fantasy points in three of his last four games. He’s been getting steals, boards, and shooting the three ball well. Tonight he faces the worst defense in the NBA, and should be able to extend his hot streak. He can be considered a good tournament play tonight.
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
Josh Smith at PHI ($8,200) – Smith is the most expensive power forward of Saturday’s games, and has a dream matchup. The Sixers as I mentioned above, are bad defensively. They allow the second most fantasy points per game to opposing small forwards. Smith averages 34.6 fantasy points per games, but was on a six game streak that he had scored more than his average. However, that came to an end last week when he scored 34.25 fantasy points. He’s the most expensive he’s been all season, but it’s also a great matchup.
Rudy Gay vs. ORL ($7,600) – Gay has been playing really good basketball in the last four games. He has scored 20 or more points, and has scored more than 40 fantasy points in three of the games. Much like Smith, Gay has a great matchup today against Orlando. On average, the Magic are allowing 34.5 fantasy points per game to opposing small forwards. I’ll save the $600 and go with Gay if I’m looking at a high-level small forward.
Donatas Motiejunas vs. PHO ($5,200) – Consistency is a concern with Motiejunas, but in a tournament he’s in play. With all the injuries to the Rockets, he has been getting the minutes and occasionally gives you a pretty big game. In the last three games, he’s scored more than 20 fantasy points in each game. Tonight he will play the Suns, who for the year have been decent defending small forwards, but as of late have struggled. They’re allowing 37.6 fantasy points per game to opposing small forwards over the last five games. If I’m filling a forward slot, and taking the cheaper approach, I’d take a chance with him.
Harrison Barnes at CHI ($5,300) – He’s posted two straight double-doubles and is playing some good ball. The good thing is, his price hasn’t increased much. Barnes has scored more than his yearly average of 23.7 fantasy points in his last three games. It’s very unlikely that Mike Dunleavy will be able to contain Barnes tonight, which makes him a viable tournament play.
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
Anthony Davis at LAC ($11,600) – Davis has posted back to back 60+ fantasy point game. In the last two games he’s grabbed 25 boards, blocked seven shots, has eight steals, seven assists, and has scored 55 points. He should continue to produce at a high-level tonight, and if you’re considering paying up for an elite player tonight, you’re best investment would be in Davis.
Blake Griffin vs. NO ($9,900) – He’s played really well as of late, and has a good matchup tonight against the Pelicans who give up 40.3 fantasy points per game to opposing power forwards. Griffin has scored more than 20 points in the last four games, and 39 or more fantasy points. Griffin makes a good play in both tournament and cash tonight.
Nerlens Noel at DET ($5,600) – Noel has a really good matchup this evening against the Pistons, and should be in for a good night. The Pistons allow the second most fantasy points per game to power forwards (41.4), but in the last 10 game they’ve given up 45.6 fantasy per game. He’s not consistent, but over the last six games, he’s scored more than 30 fantasy points three times. At $5600 with a good matchup and a relatively high ceiling, I’d say Noel is a good value for a tournament.
Reggie Evans vs. ORL ($4,500) –With DeMarcus Cousins out with a viral infection, Evans has seen more minutes as of late. Evans been hit or miss, but did put up 48 fantasy points against Memphis not too long ago. The Magic have been giving up over 46 fantasy points per game to opposing power forward in the last 10 games. He’s a decent option, if you’re looking for a cheap flier in a tournament.
Andre Drummond vs. PHI ($8,700) – Drummond is the most expensive active Center for tonight’s games. In his last game, he grabbed 14 boards, blocked five shots, and scored 27 points. That was good for 63 fantasy points. Tonight he has a favorable matchup. The Sixers have been giving up 49 fantasy points to Centers in the last five games. He should have no trouble filling up the stat sheet against Henry Sims tonight.
DeAndre Jordan vs. NO ($6,900) –He is a reliable option almost every night, but today‘s matchup is very appealing. The Pelicans have yielded 53 fantasy points to opposing centers in the last five games. Jordan may not score many points, but has double digit rebounds in his last six games and he’s second in the NBA in blocks. His price is also great. There’s not much to dislike about Jordan tonight.
Kyle O’Quinn at SAC ($3,600) – The Magic could be without Nikola Vucevic again tonight as he is a game time decision. If that’s the case, O’Quinn makes an intriguing option. The Kings will be without their star center DeMarcus Cousins. O’Quinn is cheap, and has score more than 20 fantasy points in two of the last three games. If he gets the start, he could be great value.
Omer Asik at LAC ($4,400) – The Clippers don’t defend centers too well. They allow 45 fantasy points per game to opposing centers. Asik has grabbed more than 10 rebounds in three of his last four games. He’s a good source of boards, and gives you the occasional double-double. I wouldn’t mind getting him in a lineup at this price.