Today’s NBA Targets looks at a 2-game NBA playoff slate. We will have a look at the studs, sleepers, and mid-range players you want to have rotating in your lineups.
Tuesday’s Playoff Contests
POINT GUARD TARGETS
Chris Paul vs. SA ($9,800) – I’d like you to meet Mr. Chris Paul, the one true stud option to choose at PG on Tuesday. Paul has been hanging around the $9-10 K mark pretty much all season, as he should, averaging 42.4 FPPG over his last four playoff contests. The Clippers’ superstar got back on track Sunday against the Spurs after posting an abysmal stat line Friday evening, so ook for Paul to give DFS owners a huge boost.
J.J. Barea @ HOU ($6,100) – With Rajon Rondo done for the year, Barea is starting at PG for the Mavericks now and he’s shining bright in his new role. Over his last two playoff games, Barea is averaging over 38 FPPG, which points to a decent value. I wish he was still strolling around at $4.6 K, but, you know, with his new role? We see a big bump in salary. Still, Barea is worth it.
Patty Mills @ LAC ($3,100) – Yeah, Mills isn’t exactly a gravy play, but with only two games to choose from you’re likely going to need to dig deeper than usual to fill out a lineup. With Tony Parker fighting injury, and with Parker’s production less than stellar with the minutes he’s been given, Mills is an undervalued option. Mills is giving owners 18.1 FPPG in 16 MPG in the series versus the Clippers.
SHOOTING GUARD TARGETS
James Harden vs. DAL ($10,400) – This is a great night to load up on guys like Harden, Chris Paul and even two more superstar players if you can manage it, then fill-in with lower-salary value plays. One underrated facet of Harden’s game that doesn’t get talked about enough is the amount of times he gets to the free-throw line. Harden has been to the line 46 times for the Rockets, sinking 44 shots in the process. Wow-zers.
Monta Ellis @ HOU ($7,800) – Ellis is one of my favorite value-plays of the day, even at his $7.8 K price tag. What you’re getting for the bucks spent? Me like-y. Ellis is shooting .482 from the field during the playoffs so far, almost .40 higher than his seasonal average, while giving owners 41.3 FPPG against the Rockets.
Corey Brewer vs. DAL ($4,500) – I’d love to snag another 31.75 fantasy points, the total that Brewer gave owners who were smart enough to lock him in on Sunday, but if Brewer gets me 25 fantasy points? I’ll be thrilled. He’s getting the minutes and playing well, and gives massive boom-potential for the price.
Danny Green @ LAC ($4,100) – Okay, you would think I’d be a bit hesitant suggesting Green because of his 0-for-6 day from the floor on Sunday, although I’m positive that dude bounces back. Green is netting 27 MPG in the series versus the Clippers and I like him to get hot shooting beyond the arc, which is really where his value lies on Tuesday. I’m tempted by Jamal Crawford in this spot, but just not convinced Crawford gives me what I want considering his inconsistency all season. It’s true, Green is inconsistent, too; however, the $300 savings in salary makes all the difference in the world to me right now.
SMALL FORWARD TARGETS
Josh Smith vs. DAL ($6,400) – Why is Smith contributing mad fantasy points? His shot, which is at the .500 (27-for-54) mark against the Mavericks during the playoffs. Smith is doing a bit of everything, which we’ve all been accustomed to during his career, and, with no real stud options at SF on Tuesday, consider Smith the best Play-of-the-Day amongst small forwards.
Al-Farouq Aminu @ HOU ($5,600) – I don’t trust Aminu as much to put up the points as I do Josh Smith, so even with the $800 cut in salary I’d still rather have Smith. Plus, with only two games you’ll have no issue working in the difference if you really want to. Playing Aminu and Smith in the same DFS lineup isn’t a bad idea either, with Aminu putting forth fantastic effort with the minutes he’s being given. Even if Big Al-Farouq just barely hits double-digit points scored, his true value lies within his ability to play defense. Yay for defense.
POWER FORWARD TARGETS
Blake Griffin vs. SA ($10,000) – Griffin will be worth every single dollar of his $10 K price tag, so don’t be afraid to lock him in even with his slight injury (shoulder) situation. Normally, I’d be concerned over the shoulder, but not tonight – Griffin will gut this one out. In three of his four playoff games to this point, Griffin has scored at least 57.25 fantasy points. Yes-siree!
Tim Duncan @ LAC ($8,300) – Even in his twilight playing years, Duncan is stepping up for the Spurs. Maybe this is why the Spurs rested Duncan all those games during the regular season? Duh. We’ve seen a $600 jump in salary since last Wednesday, but, even so, Duncan is a slight value to me even with his stud status.
Dirk Nowitzki @ HOU ($7,600) – Nowitzki is another “old” guy that has been struttin’ his stuff on the hardwood, as he’s been scoring points, rebounding and dishing the ball. It’s just like 2007 or something, eh? However, don’t get as worked up over Nowtizki as you would Duncan.
Boris Diaw @ LAC ($5,100) -Talk about surprising, huh? For the $5.1 K, Diaw is the best value-play at PF on Tuesday. His production has dipped a tad over the last three playoff games, although I’m okay if he can reach the 25-point mark. His potential for 30 points though is solid.
Dwight Howard vs. DAL ($8,100) – I like DeAndre Jordan better, but Howard does give you the best upside potential on the night. I wouldn’t be surprised if Howard tanks another game like he did on Sunday, so fill your C slot as you would assemble your DFS lineup. If you’re going with risk and upside, lock in Howard. If you’re playing the safer route, lock in Jordan.
DeAndre Jordan vs. SA ($8,000) – You’ve got three center options to choose from on Tuesday, with the others just being crud for any DFS lineup. So, the best of the three is Jordan, who I consider the safest to reach his regular season 37.8 FPPG average.
Tyson Chandler @ HOU ($6,800) – Chandler has been all over the place with his playoff production, but below him at the C slot? Yuck. Chandler is my third choice, but the below $7 K price tag is intriguing to me if I’m looking to avoid spending too much salary with my big man.
Catch me on Twitter @TheRolyPolyBoy where I may sometimes answer your questions, but only if I really, really feel like it.