We are returning for the second weekend of the NBA Playoffs with back-to-back days with four games. Saturday we see two Game 3s and two Game 4s and we now have a little clarity for how the teams may be utilizing their shortened rotation. Let’s dive in to the targets you need today!
Russell Westbrook – OKC at DAL – $11,000 – OKC is up 2-1 in the series and this game is in Dallas, which gives the Mavericks a puncher’s chance and they are just 2.5 point underdogs. Through the first three games of the series, Westbrook is averaging around 51 DraftKings points per game, and he has been at 48.8+ in all three. For the season, in seven meetings he is averaging 32.1 minutes per game and 47.9 fantasy points. He will be very popular once again; however, it is hard to pass him over.
Chris Paul – LAC at POR – $9,600 – The Clippers are 1.5 point favorites heading into Game 3 in Portland with a chance to move one step closer to the sweep. It is likely that Portland will steal one of the next two, however. With the chance to lock things up early, we should see CP3 play his usual 30-33 minutes since they would get a break prior to the beginning of the second round series. It is hard to envision him with less than 40 fantasy points, and there is upside from there that is available against the weak defense of the Trail Blazers backcourt.
Cory Joseph – TOR at IND – $3,500 – Through the first three games of this series, CoJo has seen exactly 24 minutes in each game and produced just shy of 24 DraftKings points on average in this series. He has a secure role backing up both DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry and provides much needed safe salary relief.
Dwyane Wade – MIA at CHA – $7,200 – At this price point, D-Wade will be incredibly popular and is a fine way to lock up the shooting guard slot. He has 40+ fantasy point upside and should have close to a 30 fantasy point floor. The Hornets are -3 point favorites, though this looks to be a spirited game with a 202 projected point total. It will be important for Miami to get some rest, so once again, this is a team that should pull out the stops to get the win and keep the early clinching prospect in play. Wade can be trusted in all formats now that we are in the playoffs, particularly now that Nicolas Batum is out of the picture.
Raymond Felton – DAL vs OKC – $5,300 – With Deron Williams and J.J. Barea both fighting through nagging injuries, I like the chances for Felton to again see 35ish minutes and produce about a fantasy point per minute in an up-tempo game with Oklahoma City.
Courtney Lee – CHA vs MIA – $4,000 – Lee should be one of the beneficiaries with Nicolas Batum already ruled out for Game 3. There is a chance that the Hornets will go big, but they are running out of wing players, and Lee should see a secure 30-35 minutes which is enough time to approach 20 fantasy points.
Kevin Durant – OKC at DAL – $10,300 – KD flashed his efficiency with 48.8 DraftKings points on Thursday in Dallas. He is taking 24 shots per game in this series, and that sort of volume is fantastic and supports a solid fantasy floor. He is a better H2H option; however, that is what most gamers initial reaction will be, so that in turn means he is a nice tournament play.
Paul George – IND vs TOR – $9,100 – George has posted 50+ DraftKings points in two of the three games this series, and he should again flirt with that range at home against the Raptors. He will be one of the most popular options at this position with his $1,200 discount to Kevin Durant and his phenomenal production through the first three games of this series. The Pacers’ backs are against the wall and PG13 is going to need to do everything to keep their hopes alive.
Maurice Harkless – POR vs LAC – $4,400 – Gimme some Mo’! Harkless provides a safe source of production for a discounted price, and in the six games this season against the Clippers, he is averaging a solid 18 fantasy points per game. He has 25 fantasy point upside and is a fine discount option in all formats Saturday.
Serge Ibaka – OKC at DAL – $6,000 – Ibaka has really been productive now that the Thunder have shortened their rotation. He will likely be the most popular option at the power forward position, and it will not be a surprise to see him on 60% or more of all rosters given the lack of options at this spot. I have no issues rolling with him for the block (pun intended) and am willing to make my differentiation plays at other positions.
Dirk Nowitzki – DAL vs OKC – $6,100 – Dirk is a daring play and a tournament wild card as we have seen his resurgence this season. However, he has surpassed 37 DraftKings points just once in his last ten games, so that leaves him as a contrarian option only.
Patrick Patterson – TOR at IND – $3,700 – At his current price point, Patterson is another relatively safe option for his discounted price point. In the first three games of this series he is averaging 22 DraftKings points which is close to 6x value at this price point. He is a nice option at the forward or utility positions, and if you are feeling adventurous, he could be the power forward if you want to stray from the Serge Ibaka believers.
Hassan Whiteside – MIA at CHA – $8,500 – The savvy move will likely be to once again play two centers on Saturday. The Hornets just do not have an answer for Whiteside in the paint as he has made 17 of 19 shots in the first two games and is averaging 19 ppg, 12 rpg and 2.5 bpg. Lock him in once more!
Jonas Valanciunas – TOR at IND – $6,400 – After averaging 16 field goal attempts through the first two tilts, Big Val took just eight shots in Game 3. He should be back to double digits tonight, and he is a great candidate to flirt with the forty fantasy point plateau in this essentially must win game.
Bismack Biyombo – TOR at IND – $3,100 – If you are looking for a sneaky option, then Bismack is your guy. He is averaging 16.7 fantasy points per game, and in the event Valanciunas is in foul trouble, he becomes the primary rim protector for the Raptors and has tremendous upside potential if things break just right.