Greetings Gamers, here we are for the first round of the NBA Playoffs! The final day of the regular season was a wild one with the Kobe Bryant farewell game, the Golden State Warriors making history with their 73rd win of the season and Stephen Curry surpassing the 400 made three-pointer mark for a single season. The days of the value plays making it to the forty fantasy plateau are over as we are now in the playoffs, where the rotations will be tightened to eight players for most teams.
Stephen Curry – GSW vs HOU – $10,600 – At least we do not have to worry about any surprise “rest” for any of the superstars going on Saturday. In his two games against the Rockets this season, Curry is averaging a cool 53.0 DraftKings points and they just are not equipped to slow him down. Yes, even with Patrick Beverley and his solid one-on-one defense.
Deron Williams – DAL at OKC – $5,500 – Williams is back from his sports hernia, but he is dealing with a lot of pain still and will still likely need surgery in the off season. However, for now he is a sneaky play as a lot of gamers do not yet realize he is back and playing heavy minutes. He is a fine option for this price point.
Patrick Beverley – HOU at GS – $5,300 – As the only true point guard on the Rockets roster, he will see a secure 32-35 minutes in an up paced game against the Warriors who do allow opposing point guards to have solid games. With this being a “boring” play, too many people will overlook Beverley if they do not take a peek at his game log.
James Harden – HOU at GS – $10,800 – The pivot to rostering Curry, Harden is going to have to carry the Rockets this series if they want to make any noise at all and avoid a likely sweep.
DeMar DeRozan – TOR vs IND – $7,400 – This season DeMar DeRozan is averaging a hair shy of forty fantasy points per game against the Pacers. He should be relatively fresh after getting limited minutes and a game off down the stretch. Don’t forget, that teammate Norman Powell – $4,000 owes most of his success to other resting, and he is off the table unless he somehow remains in the starting lineup for the Raptors.
Evan Turner – BOS at ATL – $5,100 – This is going to be a great first round matchup and with Turner able to contribute across the box score he should be one of the biggest beneficiaries if Coach Brad Steven’s actually follows NBA convention and tightens up his rotation.
Kevin Durant – OKC vs DAL – $10,000 – Despite the slower play of the Dallas Mavericks, KD is just too efficient to let that slow him down. He is a better option in H2H formats; however, he has 45+ fantasy point upside in any game.
Paul George – IND at TOR – $8,400 – This is the time for Paul George to shine. The Raptors should be regaining the services of defensive wizard DeMarre Carroll who was eased back after his long injury layoff. With the volume still running through PG13, he is a fine option for his current price point. He averaged 37.1 DKFP against the Raptors this year, but I think he exceeds that number due to the increased volume and usage he’ll see.
Harrison Barnes – GS vs HOU – $4,700 – Finding value will be key and Barnes is one of the best options on the slate as he is guaranteed to start for the Warriors and should see close to 30 minutes. While he is deep down the list of offensive options, he still should see the ball enough to come close to paying off Saturday’s price tag.
Draymond Green – GS vs HOU – $8,700 – Green is a triple-double waiting to happen and while he does not quite possess the same upside as teammate Stephen Curry, from a price per dollar perspective, he is right in the mix as one of the top plays Saturday against this Houston team that has been shredded all season by opposing power forwards.
Paul Millsap – ATL vs BOS – $8,300 – All season we have loved Millsap for his steady production. In his four matchups with Boston this season, he is averaging 22.5 ppg, 10.3 rpg, 3.0 apg, 2.8 combined blocks/steals and 1.5 made three-pointers per game for a robust 44.7 DraftKings points. Enjoy!
Myles Turner – IND at TOR – $4,500 – Though there is a chance he will be coming off the bench, the Pacers really do need the size of Turner to do battle against the Toronto frontcourt. Personally, I would prefer Harrison Barnes at a similar price point, but Turner is definitely in the mix if you are looking to do a discount double punt and roster two stars.
Al Horford – ATL vs BOS – $6,700 – At some point in this series, Horford is going to break loose for 50+ fantasy points. The matchup against the under-sized Boston frontcourt plays right into his strengths, and at this price point, I want to have several lineups with Horford to capture his upside potential.
Jonas Valanciunas – TOR vs IND – $5,200 – While this is not going to be an easy matchup for Big Val, he should see right around his season average of 28.6 DraftKings points which is also in line with his production in the two games he played this season against the Pacers. From a ratio perspective, that is close to 6x value and he does have 5-10 fantasy points worth of upside in this matchup.
Ian Mahinmi – IND at TOR – $4,300 – As I have written several times this season, Mahinmi is never exciting, but he is always dependable, Mahinmi steady discount option if you need to save at the center or utility spot.