Happy Tuesday all! We tip off this evening with a small five-game slate. As we reach the end of the season, it’s important to identify what teams have something to play for and which teams do not, as this impacts the rotations. News throughout the day is also very important at this point in the season, which you can monitor on the DK Live app. That being said, let’s jump right into some of tonight’s players to target.
Tyler Ulis ($6,800) – Ulis is coming off of a nice game where he double-doubled, scoring 20 real points and 41.75 fantasy point. It marked his second 40+ fantasy point game in his last four. The matchup tonight favors him as the Kings rank 25th in defensive rating over their last 10 games and are giving up over a fantasy point per minute to opposing point guards. Ulis is locked in to play big minutes, making him both a safe and high-upside option at a reasonable price.
UPDATE: Russell Westbrook (rest) will NOT play tonight against Minnesota.
Other Options –
Russell Westbrook $13,900, Ricky Rubio $7,900, Dennis Schroder $7,600
Yogi Ferrell ($5,000) – Ferrell continues to play significant minutes for the Mavs, averaging 29 minutes per game in his last five while playing at least 30 minutes in three of those games. He has scored 28 or more fantasy points three times during that span, including two 30+ fantasy point outings. He gets a great matchup tonight, as the Nuggets rank 28th in defensive rating in their last 10 games and play up in pace. They are also yielding 63.2 fantasy points per game during that stretch and are allowing +3.55 points above expectation to opposing point guards. At this price point, he offers 6-7X upside, making him an enticing play in all formats.
Other Options – Jamal Murray $5,500, Tyler Ennis $4,400, Tim Frazier $3,600
UPDATE: Devin Booker (rest) will NOT play tonight against the Kings.
Devin Booker ($8,400) – The price is not one that I am intrigued by, but considering the slate and the options, Booker has to be considered. He should play big minutes tonight, as he has been, and gets a favorable matchup. The Kings are surrendering the most fantasy points per game to opposing shooting guards and are ranked 25th in defensive rating over their last 10 games. Booker has displayed his 50+ fantasy point upside several times over the last 10 games and offers a safe floor considering the minutes he is playing, as well as the matchup.
Other Options – Jrue Holiday $7,800
Jordan Crawford ($5,000) – Crawford has played 30 minutes in each of his last two games and should see plenty of run in tonight’s contest against the Lakers. Shooting guards are averaging 44.1 fantasy points per game against Los Angeles this season. The Lakers are ranked 29th in defensive rating and play at a fast pace, creating extra touch opportunities for opponents. With nothing to play for, the Pelicans will likely give Crawford plenty of time on the court tonight. He offers nice upside and a nice floor in this matchup, making him an interesting play in all formats.
Other Options – Tim Hardaway Jr. $6,000, Jordan Clarkson $5,700
Larry Nance Jr. ($5,300) – Nance is averaging a fantasy point per minute over his last six games and has played at least 28 minutes in three of his last four games. Both Boogie and Anthony Davis have been ruled out for tonight’s contest, which should make it easier for Nance to score some buckets and grab boards. He has come down with double-digit rebounds in 3 of his last 4 games, averaging 11 rebounds per game during that stretch. In addition, he has topped 29 fantasy points in four consecutive games, including two 38+ fantasy point outings. There is a lot to like about Nance tonight and he should have no issue paying off his reasonable salary.
Other Options – T.J. Warren $6,700, Wilson Chandler $5,600
Julius Randle ($6,700) – While $6,700 may not seem like a great bargain if you consider this New Orleans team that Randle will be facing tonight and his ability, you will realize that he offers plenty of value at this price point. Randle averages 8.7 rebounds per game for the season and has come down with eight or more rebounds in 3 of his last 4 games. With DeMarcus Cousins and Anthony Davis sidelined, Randle should have his way on the boards. He has the potential to score over 40 fantasy points, which is 6X and what we look for in tournaments. He is averaging nearly 30 minutes per game in his last six, so the minutes are secure, which is important at this stage of the season.
Other Options – Willie Cauley-Stein $6,600, Gorgui Dieng $6,000, Skal Labissiere $5,100
Karl-Anthony Towns ($10,200) – While the Timberwolves do not have anything to play for tonight, they are playing at home, so I anticipate that the starters will play big minutes for their fans tonight. Towns completely crushed in his last game, scoring 40 points with 21 rebounds, which was good for 76.75 fantasy points. That was against the Lakers and a repeat is unlikely, but he does have that type of upside on any given night. Towns has topped 50 fantasy points in three consecutive games and in 4 of his last 5. This game is in Minnesota where Towns averaged four more fantasy points per game this season. He has averaged 1.40 fantasy points per minute in three games against the Thunder this season and should play 35+ minutes tonight. He is my top play on tonight’s slate.
Other Options – Nikola Jokic $9,500, Dwight Howard $7,000
Alexis Ajinca ($4,100) – Ajinca has played at least 28 minutes in each of his last two games and with the two big men out for the Pelicans tonight, he should once again see plenty of run. The matchup is one that favors him as the Lakers allow 55.4 fantasy points per game to centers and are ranked 29th in defensive rating. They also yield 44.4 rebounds per game with a -0.9 differential. Ajinca has topped 25 fantasy points in each of his last two contests and should have no issue paying off his affordable salary.
Other Options – Cody Zeller $4,900, Frank Kaminsky $4,900, Alex Len $4,000
Note: Keep a close eye on news prior to lock as this could open up some value plays that were not considered early in the day.
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Armando28) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.