Happy Monday all! We tip-off this evening with a nine-game slate and some interesting options to target. There are a couple of teams playing for a playoff spot, while others are shaking things up with their rotations and allowing players who typically do not see big minutes to receive extra run. With that said, let’s jump right into it and take a look at some players to target for tonight’s slate.

Point Guard

Stud

Goran Dragic ($7,200) – The Heat are battling it out for the eighth seed in the East and need to win tonight in order to keep their hopes alive. That being the case, Dragic should be in for big minutes this evening and gets a nice matchup. The Cavs rank 19th in defense efficiency over the last 10 games and have given up 1.09 fantasy points per minute to opposing point guards during that stretch. Cleveland has also allowed +3.1 points above expectations to the position for the season. Dragic is averaging 1.04 fantasy points per minutes in three games against the Cavs this season. This is a favorable situation for him and one he should be able to exploit. There is a ceiling here and a nice floor, making him an enticing option in all formats.

Other Options – James Harden $12,300, John Wall $9,200, Isaiah Thomas $8,300, Elfrid Payton $7,400

Value

T.J. McConnell ($5,900) – McConnell continues to play big minutes for Philadelphia, and that should remain the case for the remainder of the season. He has now topped 30 fantasy points in three consecutive games and in five of his last seven, while exceeded expectations in seven of his last 10 games by an average of 2.50 points. The Pacers rank 23rd in defense rating over their last 10 games and are yielding 1.03 fantasy points per minute to opposing point guards during that stretch. Despite the lack of upside, I think McConnell is a fine play in all formats, as he is capable of reaching the 6X we are looking for in tournaments at this price point.

Other Options – Ish Smith $5,900, Tyler Johnson $5,000, Jerian Grant $4,700 (if Rondo is out)


Shooting Guard

Value

Avery Bradley ($6,100) – Bradley and the Celtics are currently in a tie for first place in the East and need a win tonight. He gets a phenomenal matchup against the Nets, who rank 24th in defense rating and play up in pace, creating extra potential touch opportunities. Brooklyn has allowed 1.34 points above expectations to opposing shooting guards and are yielding 46.1 fantasy points per game to the position, which is the sixth most surrendered by a team. Bradley is averaging 35.1 fantasy points per game against the Nets in three meeting this season. He continues to play 30 minutes per game and should have no trouble paying off his salary, while also providing a nice ceiling in the matchup.

Other Options – Evan Fournier $5,500, Dwyane Wade $5,500, Marcus Smart $5,300, Nik Stauskas $4,100


Small Forward

Stud

Jimmy Butler ($10,500) – Butler has seen a significant increase in salary in recent games, but that goes hand-in-hand with his recent production. He has topped 50 fantasy points in six of his last 10 games, including two 60+ fantasy point outings in the span. During that stretch, he has exceeded expectations 70 percent of the time by an average of 7.72 points. The matchup is one that favors him as the Magic rank 23rd in defense rating and are giving up 56.3 fantasy points per game to the position in their last five. With the Bulls hanging on to the eighth seed in the East, at this time, they need to win tonight to hang on to that spot, so Butler should bring his A-game in a favorable spot.

UPDATE: The Cavaliers may rest LeBron James, Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love tonight, per Joe Vardon. Be sure to check their statuses closer to lock.

Other Options – LeBron James $10,600, Giannis Antetokounmpo $10,000, Paul George $9,900, Kawhi Leonard $8,500, Kevin Durant $8,000

Value

Kelly Oubre ($4,100) – Oubre has topped 20 fantasy points in seven of his last eight games. During that stretch, he has averaged 26.9 minutes, 12 points, five rebounds and 21.75 fantasy points per game. Otto Porter missed last game and Oubre played 33 minutes, Porter is questionable for tonight‘s game and if he misses, that could open up the door for additional minutes for Oubre once again. Even if Porter plays, Oubre will likely see minutes in the mid-20s, which should be enough to be able to pay off his reasonable salary in this contest.

Other Options – Jae Crowder $5,900, Josh Richardson $5,500


Power Forward

Stud

Blake Griffin ($8,400) – Griffin is coming off of a subpar performance against the Spurs, but prior to that, he had topped 46 fantasy points in four straight games, including two 55+ fantasy point outings. He gets a favorable matchup against the Rockets who have allowed +1.46 points above expectations to the position and are yielding 1.01 fantasy points per minute over their last 10 games. During that stretch, they also rank 17th in defense rating, while playing at a fast pace. In addition, Houston surrenders 44 rebounds per game to opposing teams. Griffin is fairly priced for his ability and the Clippers have something to play for tonight so we should see him play his normal allotment of minutes.

UPDATE: The Cavaliers may rest LeBron James, Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love tonight, per Joe Vardon. Be sure to check their statuses closer to lock.

Other Options – Kevin Love $7,800, Draymond Green $7,000, James Johnson $6,800

Value

Henry Ellenson ($4,100) – Ellenson got a spot start on Friday and played 25.4 minutes, scoring 32.3 fantasy points in that contest. He returned to the bench on Sunday, but played 28 minutes and scored 23.25 fantasy points, finishing one point and one rebound shy of a double-double. The Pistons have made it clear that they are going to make adjustments to their rotations to close out the season, so we could see Ellenson play decent minutes once again. If that ends up being the case, he has displayed his ability to score over a fantasy point per minute and gets a nice matchup against the Wizards who are yielding 49.3 fantasy points per game to the position. Washington is also ranked 27th in defense rating over their last 10 games. He is a tournament play only for me, as there are some question marks regarding his minutes.

Other Options – Thaddeus Young $5,600, Al-Farouq Aminu $5,400, Frank Kaminsky $4,900


Center

Stud

DeAndre Jordan ($7,300) – Jordan should be able to have his way against the Rockets who are yielding 24.2 points, 16 rebounds and 59.7 fantasy points per game to centers over their last 10. In addition, they have allowed +1.89 points above expectations to the position. Jordan has grabbed at least 17 boards in four of his last five games and is in a good spot to dominate in the paint tonight. He typically goes under owned and makes for an intriguing tournament option.

Other Options – Rudy Gobert $8,500, Hassan Whiteside $8,100

Value

Boban Marjanovic ($5,000) – Boban is becoming a thing again and tonight will likely continue. He has a double-double in consecutive games and has played over 20 minutes in each of those contests. He produces over a fantasy point per minutes and offers nice upside whenever he gets the run. Considering what the Pistons are doing, we should see him play decent minutes tonight, putting him in a good spot to exceed expectations. He faces off against the Wizards, who are yielding 51.1 fantasy points per game to centers this season, as well as allowing +3.4 points above expectations this season.

Other Options – Robin Lopez $5,100, Pau Gasol $5,000, Marcin Gortat $4,300 

Note: Keep a close eye on news prior to lock as this could open up some value plays that were not considered early in the day.

 


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Armando28) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above.