NBA Picks: Top Fantasy Basketball Targets, Values For January 14

A dozen teams are scheduled to be in action this Monday night to give us a strong start to the fantasy basketball week with six good matchups. There are at least six games every day from now until next Sunday, so even though the total number of games is a bit reduced this week, there are still plenty of great chances to get your DFS NBA game on.

The Rockets and Trail Blazers are the only two of Monday’s 12 teams that are finishing out a back-to-back, and none of Monday’s team have a game scheduled for Tuesday. As a result, we should get fairly typical rotations for the most part. The one game you want to make sure to get a piece of is the late game between the Pelicans and Clippers, which starts the day with a sky-high over/under of 239, significantly higher than any other matchup on the board. There should be plenty of fantasy points in that contest, but there are also some other great plays you don’t want to overlook. Check out all my top plays below, and make sure to check out the DK Live app or live.draftkings.com for any late-breaking injury or availability news that impacts your lineup.


Point Guard

Stud

Donovan Mitchell, UTA vs. DET, $9,200 — The Jazz are still without Ricky Rubio (hamstring), Danté Exum (ankle) and Raul Neto (groin) as they host the Pistons, leaving Mitchell as the team’s primary PG. He has stepped up in the role over his past three games with more than 50 DKFP against the Magic, Lakers and Bulls each. He has scored 33, 33 and 34 points in those three contests, respectively, while adding at least six assists in each game as well. While he hasn’t played a road game or a tough defense as starting PG yet, that trend continues as the Jazz host the Pistons tonight, so I think Mitchell will be able to keep it rolling as chief playmaker and top scorer for the Jazz.

Other Options — Damian Lillard ($8,800), Jrue Holiday ($8,000)

Value

Derrick White, SA vs. CHA, $5,400 — White has stepped up lately for the Spurs and has more than 25 DKFP in eight of his past nine games. Over that stretch, the second-year guard out of Colorado has averaged 15.8 points, 4.3 rebounds, 3.3 assists, 1.4 steals and 30.4 DKFP in 31 minutes per game. White gets a favorable matchup at home against the Hornets and is a solid affordable guard option if you can’t afford to stack up studs in your backcourt.

Other Options — Austin Rivers ($4,700), Terry Rozier ($3,700)


Shooting Guard

Stud

James Harden, HOU vs. MEM, $12,400 — Harden has been absolutely on fire lately and shows no signs of slowing down any time soon. He has scored at least 30 points in 16 straight games and will look to set the record for most games with at least that many points as he and the Rockets host the Grizzlies. He had 38 points, 12 assists and nine rebounds for 75.25 DKFP on Sunday and has more than 70 DKFP in six of his past eight games. The matchup with Memphis isn’t one to worry about, as Harden hung 69.5 and 82.0 DKFP against them in two meetings earlier this season. There’s also no sign that a back-to-back should scare you off since he had 67.5, 51.5, 66, and 65.75 DKFP in the second games of his four back-to-backs since returning from injury in early November. Harden comes with a huge salary, but he has been regularly delivering other-worldly production, so keep rolling with The Beard against the Grizz.

Other Options — DeMar DeRozan ($8,500), D’Angelo Russell ($6,500)

Value

Shabazz Napier, BKN vs. BOS, $4,600 — The Nets have been getting great play from Napier off the bench over their past several games, and his production is virtually blowout proof since he also helps mop up in garbage time. Napier has at least 10 points and at least 25 DKFP in each of his past four games, including a 29.75-DKFP performance in the Nets’ previous meeting with the Celtics. He got a spot start in that contest due to injuries but has played more than 20 minutes in each of his past seven contests, establishing himself  as an important contributor in Brooklyn’s second unit.

Other Options — Reggie Bullock ($4,500), Marco Belinelli ($3,800)


Small Forward

Stud

Tobias Harris, LAC vs. NO, $7,700 — Harris gets a great matchup in what should be a high-scoring contest against the Pelicans. He comes in after posting double-doubles in each of his past two games and averaging 20.5 points, 7.9 rebounds, 2.3 assists, 1.2 steals and 37.3 DKFP over his past 13 contests. He had 44.25 and 39.0 DKFP in his two matchups with the Pelicans earlier this season and is a relatively safe play with good upside as the Clippers host New Orleans in the final game of the night.

Other Options — Danilo Gallinari ($7,200), Joe Ingles ($6,100)

Value

Royce O’Neale, UTA vs DET, $4,700 — O’Neale has entered the starting lineup as a result of Mitchell’s shift to PG and has played a big role in the Jazz’s two wins over the Lakers and Bulls. He had 17 points, seven rebounds and 32.75 DKFP in his first start of the year Friday and followed that with eight points, four assists, two blocks, 11 rebounds and 34.75 DKFP the next night against the Bulls. In both of those games, he played more than 36 minutes and should be locked into an involved role as long as he sticks in the starting lineup. O’Neale had a similarly solid run of production last season when given extra time while Rubio was out, so expect the second-year wing from Baylor to keep up his contributions in this matchup with the Pistons.

Other Options — Marcus Morris ($5,800), Jake Layman ($3,400)


Power Forward

Stud

Anthony Davis, NO at LAC, $11,600 — Davis hasn’t been quite as insanely productive as Harden lately, but his matchup and current form make him worth a look if you decide it’s time to get off the Harden train on the second night of his back-to-back. Davis has posted double-doubles in 13 straight games with at least 30 points in eight of those contests. In those 13 games, he has averaged 31.8 points, 15.4 rebounds, 2.2 blocks, 3.6 assists, 1.8 steals and 66.0 DKFP per contest. He did pull a classic “Anthony Davis” by leaving his previous game and heading to the locker room with a tweaked ankle in the third quarter but did return to the game just a few minutes later. There’s always risk of an in-game injury scare, but if you’re pivoting off of Harden, Davis is one of the few available options who can match his upside.

Other Options — Montrezl Harrell ($7,100), Jayson Tatum ($6,300)

Value

JaMychal Green, MEM at HOU, $4,800 — Green could be lined up to step into a larger role for Memphis after the injury to Kyle Anderson (ankle), who is expected to miss 2-to-4 weeks. Green played 22 minutes Saturday, including minutes with both Marc Gasol ($7,300) and Jaren Jackson Jr. ($5,100). Green matched his season high with 24 points and added 11 rebounds on his way to 41.25 DKFP. His erratic playing time has led to inconsistent production, but if he can play alongside those other two bigs in a jumbo-sized lineup, he could be set up for a nice run of production while Anderson is out. Green has at least 21 DKFP in four straight and more than 34 DKFP in each of his past two contests.

Other Options — Nikola Mirotic ($5,700), P.J. Tucker ($4,400)


Center

Stud

Jusuf Nurkic, POR at SAC, $8,600 — The most recent time the Blazers faced Sacramento, Nurkic had 24 points, 23 rebounds and 82.75 DKFP on New Year’s Day. In his seven contests dating back to that monster performance, The Bosnian Beast has averaged 18.9 points, 11.6 rebounds, 3.4 assists, 2.0 blocks, 1.9 steals and 45.8 DKFP per game. Nurkic will hope for another balanced monster performance against Sacramento’s suspect interior defense as the Trail Blazers visit Sacramento to start their week.

Other Options — Clint Capela ($7,500), Al Horford ($6,200)

Editor’s Note: Capela (thumb) has been ruled out for tonight’s game vs. the Grizzlies.

Value

Ed Davis, BKN vs. BOS, $3,700 — If you’re paying up to stock your backcourt, you might have to cut cost at center, and Davis is a great chance to do that and still get solid upside. The veteran big-man had more than 24 DKFP in five of his previous six games before a down game last Friday in a blowout loss to the Raptors. He had 25.75 when the Nets played the Celtics earlier this month on 11 points, nine rebounds and two steals in 20 minutes. He should be able to offer nice returns from under $4K and comes with relatively low risk since he almost always finds ways to contribute in the Nets’ second unit.

Other Options — Marvin Bagley III ($4,800), Bismack Biyombo ($4,200)


I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is Z.Thompson) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.