Wednesday’s fantasy basketball slate has 11 games. For up-to-the-minute news, analysis and lineups, download the DK Live app, as NBA news, injury reports and betting lines on DraftKings Sportsbook can change throughout the day. Value also unexpectedly can open up due to late lineup changes and late injury news, making it important to stay up-to-the-minute with the DK Live app until lineups lock.
Let’s take a look at some plays fantasy owners can consider using on DraftKings.
StudD’Angelo Russell, BKN vs. WAS ($8,700): Russell has a strong matchup against a Wizards team that has allowed the second most points and third most assists to opponents. Washington also has been the league’s worst rebounding team by the percentage of missed shots it rebounds.
Washington has been poor at defending the 3-point line, allowing the second most 3s per game while showcasing below-average 3-point shot contesting. The Wizards have allowed the eighth most wide-open triples based on the league’s player tracking system, which measures the closest defender to the shooter.
Russell did not have success against the Wizards earlier in the year, but his most recent meeting against them was all the way back on Dec. 14, and Russell’s play has picked up significantly since then. Russell also has a giant 35 percent usage rate over the last month. The heavy volume against a team prone to allowing points and assists makes Russell an appealing play Wednesday.
Tyus Jones, MIN at ATL ($4,500): With Jeff Teague (knee) out of the lineup Monday, Jones started at point guard, playing 31 minutes and scoring 37 DKFP. If Jones is in the starting lineup again, he has a strong matchup against a Hawks team that has allowed the most points and most assists to opponents on the back of a poor defense combined with the league’s fastest pace. Download the DK Live app for up-to-the-minute news on the Timberwolves’ starting lineup.
StudJrue Holiday, NO at LAL ($7,600): The Pelicans indicated they were planning on placing a soft minutes limit on Holiday for the rest of the season, although Holiday still has played a respectable 33 and 34 minutes over his past two games, scoring 49 and 46 DKFP in each game, respectively. Holiday also has benefited from the Pelicans slashing Anthony Davis’ minutes.
One of those aforementioned games was against the Lakers, who play a fast pace, which fits into the style the Pelicans like playing. In the Pelicans’ most recent matchup vs. the Lakers two games ago, the Pelicans played an explosive 111 possessions, eight more than their season average of 103 and 11 more than the league average of 100 possessions per game.
The Lakers have allowed the eighth most points to opponents in part due to their fast pace. The Lakers also have been prone to allowing wide-open shots from deep, allowing the third most wide-open 3s per game based on the league’s player tracking system. Holiday hit 5-of-9 3-point attempts against the Lakers two games ago in part due to better looks.
Buddy Hield, SAC vs. MIL ($6,400): The Bucks have the league’s best team defense on a possession-adjusted basis due to their elite rim protection but have the league’s worst defense at preventing 3-pointers. Hield takes about eight triples per game, eighth most among all players, and is shooting an elite 45 percent on treys.
Milwaukee also has been poor at contesting 3-point shots, allowing the second most wide-open 3s per game based on the league’s player tracking system, which measures the closest defender to the shooter. Hield has destroyed opponents when given extra space from deep, shooting 52 percent on wide-open 3s, one of the most elite marks in the league. If Milwaukee gives Hield extra space to shoot Wednesday, Hield is a strong candidate for 3-point volume.
StudGiannis Antetokounmpo, MIL at SAC ($11,000): Antetokounmpo is expected to play Wednesday after sitting out Monday’s game due to knee soreness. He draws an excellent matchup against the Kings, who play the second fastest pace in the league and have allowed the fifth most points to opponents. The Kings are also poor on the glass, ranking as the sixth worst rebounding team by the percentage of missed shots they rebound, giving Antetokounmpo a good matchup for points and rebounds.
The Kings also have been poor at defending the interior, allowing the third most field goals within five feet of the basket while allowing opponents to shoot 64 percent in that zone, fifth highest. Antetokounmpo leads the league in shot attempts in that zone, taking 11 of his 17 field goal attempts per game there.
In his previous game against the Kings, Antetokounmpo recorded 68 DKFP on a 26-point, 15-rebound, 11-assist triple-double.
Joe Harris, BKN vs. WAS ($4,500): Harris is a cheap source of Nets exposure for the aforementioned game against the Wizards, who have allowed the second most points and third most assists to opponents while ranking as the league’s worst rebounding team by the percentage of missed shots they rebound. Harris is shooting a ridiculous 48 percent on 3s this year, and the Wizards have allowed the second most 3s per game to opponents while allowing the eighth most wide-open 3s based on the league’s player tracking system.
StudLeBron James, LAL vs. NO ($11,100): James has a good matchup against the Pelicans, who play a similarly fast pace to the Lakers, with the teams ranking fourth and fifth, respectively, in possessions per game. In two games against the Pelicans this year, the Lakers are averaging about 109 possessions per game, six more than their season average and nine more possessions than the league average of about 100 possessions per game.
New Orleans combines its fast pace with bottom-third team defense, which has it allowing the fourth most points to opponents.
James has taken advantage of the Pelicans’ fast pace and poor defense, averaging 65 DKFP in two games against New Orleans on 24.5 points, 9.5 rebounds and 13 assists per game. James’ facilitating has been even more outstanding than normal against the Pelicans, creating a heavy 24 potential assists per game vs. the Pelicans, eight more than his season average of 16 potential assists per game.
Dirk Nowitzki, DAL vs. IND ($3,100): Dirk has made two consecutive starts for the Mavericks, playing 25 and 26 minutes after failing to pass 19 minutes in any other game this season. The extra minutes has given Nowitzki two of his three highest shot attempts in games this season over those two starts, and he’s scored 22.5 and 22.75 DKFP in those games. If he remains in the starting five again Wednesday, Nowitzki is an option as a punt play at just $100 over the minimum.
StudKarl-Anthony Towns, MIN at ATL ($10,600): Towns has a strong matchup against the Hawks, who play the fastest pace in the league and have a poor defense, which has them allowing the most points and most assists to opponents. The Hawks also rank as a bottom-third team by the percentage of missed shots they rebound.
Towns took advantage of the Hawks’ poor point prevention and poor rebounding in his previous game against them, scoring 70 DKFP on 31 points and 19 rebounds, including getting to the free-throw line 15 times.
Dwight Powell, DAL vs. IND ($4,300): Powell started for the first time this season and played 37 minutes in the Mavericks’ most recent game, scoring 49 DKFP. Powell previously had not played more than 30 minutes in any game this season. If Powell remains in the starting five again Wednesday, the boost in minute volume would make him a salary relief candidate. Powell has a solid 20.0 player efficiency rating in about 1,000 minutes this season.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is timfinn521) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
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