The NBA Game Breakdown takes an in-depth look at all of the games on the schedule each day in terms of expected pace of play, Vegas lines and defense vs. position matchups.

There’s only a two-game slate tonight but we can still make this work, right? Right.


Game Analysis

The Rockets remain one of only three undefeated teams in the league right now, along with the Grizzlies and Warriors. I’m sure you aren’t expecting 82-0 this year for the Rockets but their club is really starting to take shape. As of right now, there’s a +14.2 point differential against opponents which is only second to the Warriors. Expect the Spurs to put up a larger fight than any other opponent to this point, with the game being a grind-it-out slug match. Don’t be surprised to see a combined score of 200 or less considering the defensive make-up of both teams. If you’re a betting man, and I know you are, I’d take the 202.5 under in this one. And, I like the Spurs and the three points here with a one or two point victory. Yeah, calling it close. James Harden is your no-brainer play-of-the-day with a 51.7 FPPG average, but he’s worth every dollar of his current salary. Not many can beat that production, eh?

Line: HOU -3.0

Players to Watch

  • James Harden, SG, Rockets ($11,200)
  • Tim Duncan, C, Spurs ($7,700)
  • Tony Parker, PG, Spurs ($7,000)
  • Patrick Beverley, PG, Rockets ($4,700)



Game Analysis

If you want players on a high-scoring team to fill your DFS lineup, then the Mavericks a great option to scour through. In their three victories this season, the Mavs have averaged 115.7 points while shooting 53.5 percent. Expect this game to run up-and-down the court. Dirk Nowitzki seems to be gelling well with newcomer Chandler Parsons, and while the Trail Blazers do present a tough defensive matchup I’m betting we’ll see a high-point game. There’s just too many individual stars in this game for it to be a poop-fest. I may be going out on a limb here, but I like the over at 207.5 and I’d take the Mavericks and the points on the road. Damian Lillard is someone to watch considering his slight stomach injury, although I expect him to match his 33.7 FPPG average. Steve Blake is a sneaky under-the-radar type guy on Thursday.

Line: POR -2.5

Players to Watch

  • LaMarcus Aldridge, PF, Trail Blazers ($8,800)
  • Chandler Parsons, SF, Mavericks ($6,900)
  • Wesley Matthews, SG, Trail Blazers ($6,300)
  • Steve Blake, PG, Trail Blazers ($3,000)


Good luck on Thursday, and don’t forget you can catch me on Twitter @TheRolyPolyBoy