The NBA Game Breakdown takes an in-depth look at all of the games on the schedule each day in terms of expected pace of play, Vegas lines and defense vs. position matchups.

WIZARDS AT MAGIC

Game Analysis

The Wizards shouldn’t have much trouble dispatching the Magic on Thursday, covering the line in the process. Dating back to their last 10 games played, the Wizards have covered 7-of-10 times. Don’t be surprised to see a blowout, even on the road in Orlando. John Wall is your superstar stud to snag for your lineup with Magic rookie Elfrid Payton likely getting defensive duty against Wall. I see a nice mismatch for DraftKings owners. Keep in mind that there are some solid values overall, including Kris Humphries off the bench for the Wizards as he netted 19.6 FPPG last year while averaging under 20 minutes a game.

Line: WSH -4.0

Players to Watch

  • John Wall, PG, Wizards ($9,100)
  • Nikola Vucevic, C, Magic ($8,000)
  • Paul Pierce, SF, Wizards ($6,200)
  • Kris Humphries, C, Wizards ($3,600)

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PISTONS AT TIMBERWOLVES

Game Analysis

Neither the Timberwolves or Pistons are safe bets, although if I’m laying money on this one I’m looking at the Wolves to cover at home with a better than 60 percent shot of doing so. Josh Smith is your money player in this one and a solid value, although the matchup facing Thaddeus Young won’t be terribly easy. This game could come down to the wire with things being decided at the free throw line, giving the Wolves a slight advantage there.

Line: MIN -4.0

Players to Watch

  • Andre Drummond, C, Pistons ($8,600)
  • Josh Smith, SF, Pistons ($7,500)
  • Andrew Wiggins, PF, Timberwolves ($5,500)
  • Corey Brewer, SF, Timberwolves ($5,500)

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KNICKS AT CAVALIERS

Game Analysis

This game is easy to spot studly players to start off your daily lineup, including LeBron James ($10,500, 48.2 FPPG), Carmelo Anthony ($9,300, 46.3 FPPG) and Kevin Love ($9,000, 52.2 FPPG). And, let’s not forget about the lovely Kyrie Irving ($7,500, 37.9 FPPG). It’s really too bad we couldn’t lock ’em all in, eh? But, those price tags hit your cap fairly hard. You do get what you pay for, however. The Cavs are easily the most improved team in the NBA this season, if you’re considering star power additions with James and Love joining Irving. As tempted as I am with the Cavs, I’d actually go with the Knicks and the double-digit points in this one with Anthony having a highlight game.

Line: CLE – 10.5

Players to Watch

  • Carmelo Anthony, SF, Knicks ($9,300)
  • Kyrie Irving, PG, Cavaliers ($7,500)
  • Dion Waiters, SG, Cavaliers ($4,800)
  • Tim Hardaway, Jr., SG, Knicks ($4,200)

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JAZZ AT MAVERICKS

Game Analysis

On paper this sets up to be a pretty lopsided game, although the Jazz do have some interesting one-on-one matchups they may be able to exploit. Trey Burke and Enes Kanter are nice options to consider, with both averaging around 25 FPPG last year. For the price, that’s not bad considering how poor the Jazz were in 2013-14. Monta Ellis and Dirk Nowitzki are your offensive options for the Mavs, although their salaries aren’t too much of a value. It’s tough to say if the Mavs will cover at home giving up 10 points, although they did cover their last eight contests including yesterday’s game against San Antonio.

Line: DAL -10.0

Players to Watch

  • Monta Ellis, SG, Mavericks ($7,700)
  • Dirk Nowitzki, C, Mavericks ($7,200)
  • Trey Burke, PG, Jazz ($6,500)
  • Enes Kanter, C, Jazz ($6,100)

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THUNDER AT CLIPPERS

Game Analysis

No Kevin Durant for the Thunder means they’re spotted 11 points in this one, with Chris Paul being someone to take advantage of even though he’ll cost you a pretty penny. DeAndre Jordan catches my eye as well in this game. I know Durant is out to injury, but 11 points is a lot to give. Give me the Thunder and the points in this game.

Line: LAC -11.0

Players to Watch

  • Chris Paul, PG, Clippers ($9,300)
  • DeAndre Jordan, C, Clippers ($8,500)
  • Spencer Hawes, C, Clippers ($4,800)
  • Steven Adams, C, Thunder ($3,500)

 

Happy NBA Thursday and if you’re into the Twitter thing you can catch me here: @TheRolyPolyBoy