Check out our breakdown, game by game, for tonight’s NBA action. We’ll look at the Vegas lines, recent trends and who you should be targeting for tonight’s games.
Detroit Pistons @ Atlanta Hawks
Line: Hawks -6.5
The Atlanta Hawks are a fantastically efficient offensive team, but you must know that the production and minutes are spread around, leaving no for sure target game to game. Also, the minutes played are greatly managed. For example, last season, Paul Millsap led the team with 32 minutes per game. Kent Bazemore will draw the start for the Hawks and is 3K, but beware that the Hawks are going to mix and match quite a bit and Thabo Sefolosha lingers. Even getting to 18 DK points could be a stretch for Baze.
The Hawks get back on defense and don’t chase the offensive boards, meaning big rebounding ops for Mr. Drummond. Reggie Jackson led the team in Usage over the last 20 games of the season with a 29% number. Ersan Ilyasova has bitten the Hawks in the past and he and Marcus Morris will start, but Van Gundy may also do some early mixing as well, limiting minutes there.
The Hawks were middle of the pack in pace over the last 20 games and the Pistons were close to last.
– Andre Drummond ($8,200)
– Jeff Teague ($7,000)
– Reggie Jackson ($7,800)
– Kyle Korver ($4,900)
Cleveland Cavaliers @ Chicago Bulls
Line: Bulls -3
This will be a grindfest and I am surprised a little by the game total considering both teams are bottom five in pace in the league and the Cavs will not have Kyrie Irving to pick up what little pace there is.
LeBron James, Kevin Love and new mega-millionaire Tristan Thompson will all be active and slated to play for the Cavs. Derrick Rose, despite blurred vision, is expected to play but have some sort of minutes restriction. Rose was terrible defensively last season with a personal 107.6 defensive rating (points given up per 100 possessions) for the season. For comparisons, Stephen Curry carried a 101.1 rating.
New Bulls coach Fred Hoiberg has decided to start the season with Joakim Noah coming off the bench and putting Nikola Mirotic in the starting lineup with Pau Gasol. Hoiberg also tabbed Tony Snell to start and Snell has looked very good in the preseason, showing off his three-point range.
With Irving out, it’s Mo Williams in the lineup for the Cavs. Williams was among the leaders in Usage after his trade to the Charlotte Hornets last season, but will be stunted by the presence of Usage leader LeBron. Also, Timofey Mozgov is expected to be ready to play, log jamming the Cavs frontcourt with Love, Thompson and Anderson Varejao.
– LeBron James ($9,800)
– Mo Williams ($4,900)
– Tony Snell ($3,000)
– Pau Gasol ($8,000)
New Orleans Pelicans @ Golden State Warriors
Line: Warriors -9.5
Here is where the goodness for the slate lay….as well as a ton of overlap. Oh well, this game should be where the points are scored on the slate.
Jrue Holiday is on a minutes limit of between 15-20, meaning Nate Robinson will be seeing plenty of time since Norris Cole is out and he’s at the DK minimum. Anthony Davis had a Usage percentage of about 29 percent last season, but the arrival of former Warriors assistant Alvin Gentry foretells that Davis’ usage could get up to at least LaMarcus Aldridge levels from last season (32-33%). Tyreke Evans is also out for the Pelicans, so Eric Gordon gets a bump in minutes. Omer Asik is still very questionable which opens up good minutes for Ryan Anderson.
The Warriors should be at full strength, including Andrew Bogut, who had another injury to his nose. Stephen Curry for under 10K should be automatic, but measure in a healing Holiday and Nate Robinson, even better.
– Stephen Curry ($9,500)
– Nate Robinson ($3,000)
– Dante Cunningham ($3,000)
– Anthony Davis ($10,400)