We only have a small six game slate to look at for Monday night. Some of them are featuring high paced teams that put up a lot of points though, so we should see a high scoring night for fantasy purposes.


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Dallas Mavericks vs. Philadelphia 76ers

Over/Under: 200
Line: Dallas -8.5

This is probably not the greatest spot to target for fantasy purposes, but we may see some value open up depending on the inactive list. Dirk Nowitzki, Wes Matthews, and Chandler Parsons all sat out the Saturday night game this week. All have played in most of the recent games, so they may all be active here tonight. Parson is the one I would be most concerned with. Even if he does play, he is still on a minutes limit as he rolls himself back into shape. The assumption is they will all play and that would limit the minutes for guys like Charlie Villanueva and Raymond Felton who saw big minutes last game with that trio out. On the other side, the 76ers are a little bit of a mess. They are one of the lowest scoring teams in the NBA and have struggled in the early part of the season. They do have some attractively priced backcourt players who will see big minutes, but they all made more sense before the salaries were bumped up a little. None of them are super expensive, but they are all priced where only a really good game pays off their price tags. The total here is pretty high, with Dallas the more likely team to be putting up points. If none of the big three are out for the Mavericks though, we may not have any attractively priced options here.

Targets

  • Zaza Pachulia ($5700)
  • J.J. Barea ($3800)
  • Isaiah Canaan ($4000)
  • Jahlil Okafor ($7200)


Indiana Pacers vs. Chicago Bulls

Over/Under: 197
Line: Chicago -5

The Pacers and Bulls are both very solid defensive teams. The Bulls starting giving up a few more points earlier in the season, but have since gone back to a more defensive approach and the public has not caught up to some of the changes. Joakim Noah and Pau Gasol are both back to seeing more minutes. The Noah – Gasol pairing has performed better than the pairing of Gasol and Mirotic that started the season. Rebounding has a lot to do with it, but also having a second rim protector never hurts. On the other side, the Pacers have always been a solid defensive unit. The return of Paul George only goes to improve that for them. They did lose the front court from those solid teams, but with Paul George playing a stretch 4 role more often and the slower pace of play, they are still holding opponents to one of the lower scoring outputs this season. This game should remain close, but will likely be one of the lower scoring ones on the day. It’s probably better to use some of the value options here rather than pay up for the studs.

Targets

  • Joakim Noah ($4700)
  • Pau Gasol ($7400)
  • C.J. Miles ($4100)
  • Ian Mahinmi ($3900)


Boston Celtics vs. Houston Rockets

Over/Under: 209
Line: Houston -6

This game should be a great spot for fantasy points tonight. Both Teams are playing at a fast pace this season and the Rockets are surprisingly paced up in this game. The Rockets are also starting to get healthy. Dwight Howard does not play on the tail ends of a back to back, but that will not be applicable here. He should have a great game against a Celtics team that has not defended Centers well in over a year. James Harden is one of the best scorers in the league in a high paced game. While he should be able to put up a ton of points, he might not be the greatest start based on his price. Guys like Trevor Ariza and Terrence Jones might make more sense at prices of $6K and below. On the flip side, we have a Celtics team that is deep and everyone sees minutes. Not an ideal spot to target specific players in for fantasy. Isaiah Thomas had been putting up numbers recently, but he also now has a crowded back court with Smart, Bradley, and even Evan Turner seeing some minutes. He may still reach value, but his upside is limited now by a few less minutes on the floor and a higher price. The guys like Sullinger and Smart seeing big minutes for cheaper could be the way to go tonight.

Targets

  • Marcus Smart ($4500)
  • Jared Sullinger ($5800)
  • Dwight Howard ($7400)
  • Terrence Jones ($6000)


Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Memphis Grizzlies

Over/Under: 198.5
Line: Memphis -2

With Durant still out, it’s going to be the Russell Westbrook show again. We have all seen this before. Westbrook’s usage rate goes up without Durant and so does every other stat across the board. Russ is a true triple double threat every night and with no Durant it is tough to fade him at any price. He is very likely to be the highest scorer on the day, but the question is really whether or not he is worth it. Memphis plays slow and is a solid defensive unit. They Play through Conley and Gasol so that is where I think this game plays out. It should be close and is higher scoring than Memphis usually sees. The cheap Memphis guys are interesting if they see minutes and are playing in a paced up situation here.

Targets

  • Serge Ibaka ($6900)
  • Russell Westbrook ($12200)
  • Mike Conley ($6000)
  • Marc Gasol ($7000)


Los Angeles Lakers v. Phoenix Suns

Over/Under: 209
Line: Phoenix -10

Injuries are a big story with this game. Kobe is out, Markieff Morris may be too and so is Ronnie Price for the Suns. In a game with a high total and projected pace, that is good news for the guys who get minute and usage bumps. The beneficiaries on the Lakers will likely be guys like Jordan Clarkson and Swaggy P (Nick Young) who will see more minutes and shots. For the Suns, Jon Leuer would see the Markieff minutes, but the shots bump would likely go to the back court duo Bledsoe and Knight who are also upgraded due to the bump in pace here. The Lakers play very little defense and a high pace, so we could see some real nice stat lines come from this game.

Targets

  • Eric Bledsoe ($8400)
  • Tyson Chandler ($5300)
  • Jordan Clarkson ($5200)
  • Lou Williams ($4600)


Portland Trailblazers vs. San Antonio Spurs

Over/Under:
Line: San Antonio -12

The Spurs and Trailblazers are headed in opposite directions. The Spurs are as solid a team as they have ever been again this year. Kawhi’s emergence and the addition of LaMarcus Aldridge to that core have helped add to their strength. Kawhi and Manu both sat out last game, but it looks like both will be active here. The Spurs offense efficiency will be a real problem for a porous defensive unit that likes to play at a high pace like Portland does. Portland does match up well though as the Spurs struggle to defend point guards and that is where the best player on Portland plays. The Front court for the Blazers is very soft though and that advantage clearly lies with the Spurs and will likely decide the game.

Targets

  • Damian Lillard ($8700)
  • Mason Plumlee ($5500)
  • Tim Duncan ($6200)
  • LaMarcus Aldridge ($7100)